Ty Gwyn, The Ridgeway, Manorbier, Tenby, SA70 8LQ

UPRN:100101021935Detached House5 bedsBuilt 1950-1966

FreeholdCouncil Tax: Band GEPC: E (51)

Data freshness:Listing· freshPlanning· 6mo agoEPC· 4mo agoRisk· 2y agoConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 1mo agoAmenities· 2mo agoArea· Census 2021

Ty Gwyn, The Ridgeway, Manorbier, Tenby, SA70 8LQ

HP Score

/ 100

Mixed

Verdict

4 days ago

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Mixed signals - investigate

Evidence

13 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£602,000

£572k - £632kHigh

Estimate

£602k

Range

£572k – £632k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£1,650

£1k - £2k

Monthly

£1,650

Yield

3.30%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

Ty Gwyn earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 74/100. Investment score 64/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Crime intensity is low. Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is freehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsMarket estimates (third-party AVM)ONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

74/ 100

Mixed

Investment Score

64/ 100

Moderate

Crime Score

17/ 100

Moderate

Walkability

No data

Transit & Bike

No data

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence0 independent sourcesListing checked 5 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Valuation edge0/15
claims [AVM +0.3% (HIGH)] → measured edge +0.00pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (HIGH confidence) · snapshot 13 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 100101021935· as of 13 Oct 2026
Rental economics0/40
gross yield 3.3%; range width penalty ×0.65
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1650/mo (range 1450-1900)· as of 13 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -1,449/mo, -88% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 5 Nov 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 55 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 5 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity14.6/15
103 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 10%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£450,000£690,000

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£600,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£1,650/mo

Evidenced range £1,450-£1,900

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £201,300
Net cash flow: -£883/mo
Cash on cash: -5.3%
Score at this price: 15

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 0.81 - below the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 100101021935Valuation edge · as of 13 Oct 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1650/mo (range 1450-1900)Rental economics · as of 13 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 5 Nov 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 5 Nov 2026
property_intelligencetransactions_12moRisk & liquidity

Sold comparables in depth

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 1650/mo (range 1450-1900)
Seller motivation could not be scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 55 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge

Property risk deep-dive →

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Treat the gap to the estimate as unproven - compare recent sold prices on the street yourself before pricing an offer around it.
On later completions, homes listed below their estimate sold at the same share of the asking price as the rest.
3. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£602,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£1,650

Gross Yield3.30%

1y Growth-

3y Growth-6.4%

5y Growth-0.2%

10y Growth+2.9%

Last Sold Price-

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceLow
RadonModerate
MiningLow
LandslideModerate
Air QualityLow
NoiseWithheld

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

1SA70 8LQ

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

NP/26/0219/CLE
The siting of any unit which complies with the Legal Definition of a Caravan, with no restriction on layout or location of the units
Pending
NP/26/0179/CLP
Permission PR/972/2 and NP/80/88 both granted planning consent for a Caravan Site and any Unit which meets the Legal Definition of a Caravan. Therefore the permissions do not place any restriction upon the type of caravan which may be sited. The park has been operated on the basis of providing both Static Caravan and Touring Caravan Pitches, the Planning Approval NP/80/88 clearly gives permission for any type of caravan which complies with the Legal Definition of a Caravan. That permission does not restrict the type of unit to either Static or Touring Caravans and does not restrict the layout of the holiday park It is therefore concluded that Planning Permission NP/80/88 (D3/79L/87) dated 12th April 1988 allows for the siting of any unit which complies with the Legal Definition of a Caravan, and does not restrict the layout or location of the units. The Applicant therefore seeks confirmation from the LPA to that effect via this Certificate of Lawful (proposed) Use application. Please see Planning Statement which details the evidence.
Pending
NP/26/0073/NMA
Non-material amendment to NP/25/0380/S73 (Variation of condition No. 2 of NP/24/0034/FUL) approved 17/12/2025. The addition of inset Solar Panels to the south roof of the proposed dwelling. Solar panels to be low glare and colour matching with roof material (Slate)
Conditions

View Planning Timeline