11 Windmill Close, Rugby, CV21 4EJ

UPRN:10010515643Detached House5 bedsBuilt 2022

FreeholdCouncil Tax: Band EEPC: B (86)

Data freshness:Listing· freshPrice Paid· freshPlanning· 4mo agoOwnership· freshEPC· 6mo agoRisk· 5mo agoConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 1mo agoAmenities· 2mo agoArea· Census 2021

HP Score

/ 100

Strong

Verdict

yesterday

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Strong fundamentals; flood risk not assessed

Evidence

19 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£560,000

£532k - £588kHigh

Estimate

£560k

Range

£532k – £588k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£2,450

£2k - £3k

Monthly

£2,450

Yield

5.88%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

11 Windmill Close earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 75/100. Investment score 65/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Crime intensity is very low. Walkability is limited (52/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is freehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressDefra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)Walk ScoreONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry company ownershipHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry leasesHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

75/ 100

Strong

Investment Score

65/ 100

Moderate

Crime Score

14/ 100

Low

Walkability

52/ 100

Moderate

Transit & Bike

Transit 16Bike 33

Walk Score, out of 100

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence1 independent sourceListing checked 2 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Valuation edge2.5/15
claims [AVM +10.7% (HIGH), sold-comps +22.2%, £/sqft +22.3%] → measured edge +0.50pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (HIGH confidence) · snapshot 10 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 10010515643· as of 10 Oct 2026
- property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 12 comps, dispersion 21.2%· as of 24 Oct 2026
Rental economics6.2/40
gross yield 5.9%; range width penalty ×0.87
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 2450/mo (range 2250-2650)· as of 10 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -438/mo, -18% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 2 Nov 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 31 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 2 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity14.6/15
414 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 10%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£375,000£575,000

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£499,950

At the asking price

Monthly rent£2,450/mo

Evidenced range £2,250-£2,650

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £166,283
Net cash flow: £9/mo
Cash on cash: 0.1%
Score at this price: 23

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.45 - clears the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 10010515643Valuation edge · as of 10 Oct 2026
property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 12 comps, dispersion 21.2%Valuation edge · as of 24 Oct 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 2450/mo (range 2250-2650)Rental economics · as of 10 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 2 Nov 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 2 Nov 2026

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 2450/mo (range 2250-2650)
Seller motivation could not be scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 31 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge

Property risk deep-dive →

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Treat the gap to the estimate as unproven - compare recent sold prices on the street yourself before pricing an offer around it.
On later completions, homes listed below their estimate sold at the same share of the asking price as the rest.
3. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£560,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£2,450

Gross Yield5.88%

1y Growth+5.9%

3y Growth+0.4%

5y Growth+2.6%

10y Growth+3.3%

Last Sold Price£577,000 (2022-10-05)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceModerate
RadonLow
MiningUnknown
LandslideLow
Air QualityLow
NoiseLow

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

0CV21 4EJ

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

R26/0999
Non material amendment of R21/1152 to change the design of the windows and doors.
Pending
R26/0942
Erection of pair of semi-detached dwellings to rear of 19 Bucknill Crescent
Sitenoticerequired
R26/0941
Erection of 1.no dwellinghouse with a detached garage and part demolition with alterations to existing dwellinghouse along with subdivision of plot to provide seperate access, parking and amenity spaces. (part retrospective).
Pending

View Planning Timeline

Ownership

Corporate Ownership67.3%
Overseas OwnershipNo
Lease Term Remaining-
CovenantsRestrictive
Lease TypeFreehold
Last Ownership Change2022-10-05
SourceLand Registry

View Ownership Details

Connectivity

Broadband (Standard)

3 Mbps

Mobile 4G/5G Coverage

EV Charger

PTAL Rating

View Connectivity Map

Area Profile

Median EarningsLocal authority£41,814

Population Density1,089 /km²

Owner Occupied77%

Age Distribution

0-15 21%16-64 61%65+ 18%

View Area Profile

Schools Nearby

Hillmorton Primary School
0.1 mi
Inspected as Hillmorton Primary School (URN 130887) on 11 Oct 2023
English Martyrs Catholic Primary School
0.4 mi
Area grades2025
Inspected after Ofsted withdrew the single overall grade.
Ashlawn School
0.8 mi
Area grades2025
Inspected after Ofsted withdrew the single overall grade.
Abbots Farm Junior School
0.9 mi
Area grades2025
Inspected after Ofsted withdrew the single overall grade.

6 of 12 nearby schools with published figures were oversubscribed in 2026 - demand, not a catchment.

View All Schools

Comparables

View All

10 Windmill Close
-
£458k
-
1 Windmill Close
-
£432k
-
11 Windmill Close
-
£577k
-
8 Windmill Close
-
£420k
-

Boundary data not available for this property

No registered title polygon, building footprint, or street match for this property yet.

Why: No HMLR INSPIRE / OSM footprint / OS Open USRN match for this UPRN

Source: HM Land Registry INSPIRE / OpenStreetMap / OS Open USRN