408 Warwick Road, Carlisle, CA1 2RU

UPRN:100110300609Semi-Detached House3 bedsBuilt 1930-1949

FreeholdCouncil Tax: Band BEPC: C (69)

Data freshness:Listing· freshPlanning· 4mo agoOwnership· freshEPC· 1mo agoRisk· 5mo agoConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 1mo agoAmenities· 2mo agoArea· Census 2021Council Tax· 1mo ago

HP Score

/ 100

Strong

Verdict

today

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Strong fundamentals; flood risk not assessed

Evidence

18 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£210,000

£189k - £231kMedium

Estimate

£210k

Range

£189k – £231k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£1,200

£1k - £1k

Monthly

£1,200

Yield

8.00%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

408 Warwick Road earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 78/100. Investment score 56/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Crime intensity is low. Walkability is excellent (96/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is freehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)Defra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)Walk ScoreONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry company ownershipHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

78/ 100

Strong

Investment Score

56/ 100

Moderate

Crime Score

23/ 100

Moderate

Walkability

96/ 100

Excellent

Transit & Bike

Transit 48Bike 54

Walk Score, out of 100

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence1 independent sourceListing checked 10 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Valuation edge0/15
claims [AVM +14.3% (MEDIUM)] → measured edge +0.00pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (MEDIUM confidence) · snapshot 9 Nov 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 100110300609· as of 9 Nov 2026
Rental economics22.8/40
gross yield 8.0%; range width penalty ×0.95
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1200/mo (range 1100-1250)· as of 9 Nov 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -7/mo, -1% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 10 Nov 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 64 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 10 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity12.8/15
351 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 20%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£135,000£207,000

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£180,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£1,200/mo

Evidenced range £1,100-£1,250

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £56,400
Net cash flow: £223/mo
Cash on cash: 4.8%
Score at this price: 36

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.98 - clears the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 100110300609Valuation edge · as of 9 Nov 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1200/mo (range 1100-1250)Rental economics · as of 9 Nov 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 10 Nov 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 10 Nov 2026
property_intelligencetransactions_12moRisk & liquidity

Sold comparables in depth

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 1200/mo (range 1100-1250)
Seller motivation could not be scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 64 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge

Property risk deep-dive →

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Treat the gap to the estimate as unproven - compare recent sold prices on the street yourself before pricing an offer around it.
On later completions, homes listed below their estimate sold at the same share of the asking price as the rest.
3. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£210,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£1,200

Gross Yield8.00%

1y Growth-

3y Growth+2.2%

5y Growth+2.5%

10y Growth+3.9%

Last Sold Price-

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceLow
RadonLow
MiningUnknown
LandslideLow
Air QualityLow
NoiseModerate

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

0CA1 2RU

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

26/0590
Display Of Non Illuminated Totem Sign
Pending
26/0055/TNA
Erection Of 2no. Telecommunication Poles (9 Metres & 10 Metres In Height) For Fibre Network Development
Approved
26/0547
Variation Of Condition 2 (Approved Documents) Of Previously Approved Permission 23/0765 (Erection Of Single Storey Rear Extension To Provide Extended Kitchen/Dining Room) For Amendments To Proposed Elevations To Consider New Cladding Materials To External Walls And Alteration To Door Size
Pending

View Planning Timeline

Ownership

Corporate Ownership72.1%
Overseas OwnershipNo
Lease Term Remaining-
CovenantsRestrictive
Lease TypeFreehold
Last Ownership Change-
SourceLand Registry

View Ownership Details

Connectivity

Broadband (Standard)

8 Mbps

Mobile 4G/5G Coverage

EEThreeO2Vodafone

EV Charger

PTAL Rating

View Connectivity Map

Area Profile

Median EarningsLocal authority£33,840

Population Density-

Owner Occupied70%

Age Distribution

0-15 16%16-64 64%65+ 20%

View Area Profile

Schools Nearby

St Cuthberts Catholic Primary School, Carlisle
0.2 mi
Good
Norman Street Primary School
0.7 mi
Good
Richard Rose Central Academy
0.8 mi
Area grades2025
Inspected after Ofsted withdrew the single overall grade.
Brook Street Primary School
0.8 mi
Report card2026
Ofsted no longer awards a single overall grade.

2 of 11 nearby schools with published figures were oversubscribed in 2026 - demand, not a catchment.

View All Schools

Comparables

View All

380 Warwick Road
-
£230k
-
394 Warwick Road
-
£145k
-
388 Warwick Road
-
£162k
-
398B Warwick Road
-
£105k
-

Boundary data not available for this property

No registered title polygon, building footprint, or street match for this property yet.

Why: No HMLR INSPIRE / OSM footprint / OS Open USRN match for this UPRN

Source: HM Land Registry INSPIRE / OpenStreetMap / OS Open USRN