12 Defoe Crescent, Newton Aycliffe, DL5 4JP

UPRN:100110478510Semi-Detached PropertyBeds -Built -

FreeholdCouncil Tax: Band BEPC: -

Data freshness:Listing· freshPrice Paid· freshPlanning· 6mo agoRisk· 5mo agoConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 1mo agoAmenities· 2mo agoArea· Census 2021

12 Defoe Crescent, Newton Aycliffe, DL5 4JP

HP Score

/ 100

Mixed

Verdict

3 days ago

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Mixed signals - investigate

Evidence

19 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£167,000

£150k - £183kMedium

Estimate

£167k

Range

£150k – £183k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£1,300

£1k - £1k

Monthly

£1,300

Yield

15.60%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

12 Defoe Crescent earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 64/100. Investment score 61/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Crime intensity is moderate. Walkability is limited (58/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is freehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressDefra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)Walk ScoreONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry company ownershipHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry leasesHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

64/ 100

Mixed

Investment Score

61/ 100

Moderate

Crime Score

56/ 100

Elevated

Walkability

58/ 100

Moderate

Transit & Bike

Transit 17Bike 41

Walk Score, out of 100

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence0 independent sourcesLead to verifyListing checked 3 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Check before relying on this score: the estimate sits 40% above the ask. It ranks after every home whose inputs are verified.

Valuation edge0/15
claims [AVM +40.1% (MEDIUM)] → measured edge +0.00pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (MEDIUM confidence) · snapshot 12 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 100110478510· as of 12 Oct 2026
Rental economics40/40
gross yield 15.6%; range width penalty ×1.00; the estimate this rent rides on sits 40% above the ask - check the rent describes the advertised home
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1300/mo (range 1250-1350)· as of 12 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
- valuation_snapshotssale estimate 40% above the ask on the same snapshot - verify the rent describes this home· as of 12 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
- listing_factslisting text signals condition works - budget before trusting any yield· as of 3 Nov 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin30/30
stressed cash flow +404/mo, +31% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); passes the stress
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 3 Nov 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 2 price cut(s), 79 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 3 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity12.9/15
270 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 20%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivityScores 80+ up to £112,500

£85,000£115,000

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£100,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£1,300/mo

Evidenced range £1,250-£1,350

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £31,300
Net cash flow: £563/mo
Cash on cash: 21.6%
Score at this price: 83

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 3.85 - clears the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 100110478510Valuation edge · as of 12 Oct 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1300/mo (range 1250-1350)Rental economics · as of 12 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
valuation_snapshotssale estimate 40% above the ask on the same snapshot - verify the rent describes this homeRental economics · as of 12 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
listing_factslisting text signals condition works - budget before trusting any yieldRental economics · as of 3 Nov 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 1300/mo (range 1250-1350)
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
sale estimate 40% above the ask on the same snapshot - verify the rent describes this home

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The market estimate this rent rides on sits far above the asking price, so the rent may describe a different home.
2. Ask the agent why the price was reduced and whether a previous sale fell through.
2 price cut(s) recorded on the listing history.
3. Set your walk-away price before viewing - above £112,500 the deal stops scoring well.
Computed by re-running the score at higher prices.
4. Treat the gap to the estimate as unproven - compare recent sold prices on the street yourself before pricing an offer around it.
On later completions, homes listed below their estimate sold at the same share of the asking price as the rest.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£167,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£1,300

Gross Yield15.60%

1y Growth-

3y Growth+3.7%

5y Growth+0.1%

10y Growth+2.4%

Last Sold Price£56,000 (2001-05-25)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceLow
RadonLow
MiningUnknown
LandslideLow
Air QualityLow
NoiseLow

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

1DL5 4JP

Approval Rate

100%12mo

Development

low

DM/26/02722/DRC
Discharge of Planning Condtion 14 (Biodiversity Monitoring Report) of DM/23/02421/FPA (as amended by NMA applications DM/24/02506/NMA, DM/25/01330/NMA and DM/25/01959/NMA).
Pending
DM/26/02495/AD
Hub entrance signage
Approved
DM/26/02460/PN56
Prior notification under Class MA of Part 3 of Schedule 2 to the Town and Country Planning (General Permitted Development) (England) Order 2015 (as amended) for change of use of first and second floors from offices (Use Class E) to 22 no. apartments (Use Class C3) (proposal amended)
Pending

View Planning Timeline

Ownership

Corporate Ownership74.9%
Overseas OwnershipNo
Lease Term Remaining-
CovenantsRestrictive
Lease TypeFreehold
Last Ownership Change2001-05-25
SourceLand Registry

View Ownership Details

Connectivity

Broadband (Standard)

11 Mbps

Mobile 4G/5G Coverage

EEThreeO2Vodafone

EV Charger

PTAL Rating

View Connectivity Map

Area Profile

Median EarningsLocal authority£29,718

Population Density3,216 /km²

Owner Occupied54%

Age Distribution

0-15 16%16-64 58%65+ 26%

View Area Profile

Schools Nearby

St Mary's Catholic Primary School, Newton Aycliffe
0.1 mi
Area grades2025
Inspected after Ofsted withdrew the single overall grade.
Woodham Academy
0.2 mi
Good
Vane Road Primary School
0.3 mi
Report card2026
Ofsted no longer awards a single overall grade.
Sugar Hill Primary School
0.5 mi
Area grades2025
Inspected after Ofsted withdrew the single overall grade.

3 of 11 nearby schools with published figures were oversubscribed in 2026 - demand, not a catchment.

View All Schools

Comparables

View All

16 Defoe Crescent
-
£110k
-
20 Defoe Crescent
-
£140k
-
30 Defoe Crescent
-
£160k
-
2 Defoe Crescent
-
£113k
-

Boundary data not available for this property

No registered title polygon, building footprint, or street match for this property yet.

Why: No HMLR INSPIRE / OSM footprint / OS Open USRN match for this UPRN

Source: HM Land Registry INSPIRE / OpenStreetMap / OS Open USRN