21 Gipsy Castle, Gipsy Castle Lane, Hay-on-Wye, Hereford, HR3 5EG

UPRN:10011756364End Terrace House3 bedsBuilt 1950-1966

FreeholdCouncil Tax: -EPC: C (70)

Data freshness:Listing· freshPlanning· 4mo agoOwnership· freshEPC· 3mo agoRisk· 2y agoConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 1mo agoAmenities· 2mo agoArea· Census 2021

21 Gipsy Castle, Gipsy Castle Lane, Hay-on-Wye, Hereford, HR3 5EG

HP Score

/ 100

Strong

Verdict

yesterday

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Strong fundamentals; flood risk not assessed

Evidence

18 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£338,000

£321k - £354kHigh

Estimate

£338k

Range

£321k – £354k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£1,000

£900 - £1k

Monthly

£1,000

Yield

3.53%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

21 Gipsy Castle earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 77/100. Investment score 68/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Crime intensity is low. Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is freehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry company ownershipHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry leasesHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

77/ 100

Strong

Investment Score

68/ 100

Moderate

Crime Score

16/ 100

Moderate

Walkability

No data

Transit & Bike

No data

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence0 independent sourcesListing checked 9 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Valuation edge0/15
claims [AVM -0.6% (HIGH)] → measured edge +0.00pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (HIGH confidence) · snapshot 11 Nov 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 10011756364· as of 11 Nov 2026
Rental economics0/40
gross yield 3.5%; range width penalty ×0.70
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1000/mo (range 900-1150)· as of 11 Nov 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -829/mo, -83% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 9 Nov 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 113 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 9 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity14.7/15
79 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 10%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£255,000£391,000

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£340,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£1,000/mo

Evidenced range £900-£1,150

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £110,300
Net cash flow: -£455/mo
Cash on cash: -5.0%
Score at this price: 15

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 0.87 - below the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 10011756364Valuation edge · as of 11 Nov 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1000/mo (range 900-1150)Rental economics · as of 11 Nov 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 9 Nov 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 9 Nov 2026
property_intelligencetransactions_12moRisk & liquidity

Sold comparables in depth

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 1000/mo (range 900-1150)
Seller motivation could not be scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 113 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge

Property risk deep-dive →

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£338,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£1,000

Gross Yield3.53%

1y Growth-39.3%

3y Growth-4.8%

5y Growth-0.5%

10y Growth+2.6%

Last Sold Price£175,000 (2015-11-06)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceLow
RadonModerate
MiningLow
LandslideSignificant
Air QualityLow
NoiseWithheld

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

0HR3 5EG

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

P/26/1228/CAM
Creation of temporary campsite
Pending
26/24985/DISCON
Discharge of condition 10 (archaeology) pursuant to Listed Building Consent 19/17051/LBC
Pending
26/24977/DISCON
Discharge of condition 7 (Slate details) pursuant to Listed Building Consent 26/24708/LBC
Pending

View Planning Timeline