Garwen, 8 Clos yr Efail, Trefeglwys, Caersws, SY17 5QH

UPRN:10011794772Detached Bungalow3 bedsBuilt 1983-1990

FreeholdCouncil Tax: -EPC: E (53)

Data freshness:Listing· freshPlanning· 4mo agoOwnership· freshEPC· 4mo agoRisk· 2y agoConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 1mo agoAmenities· 2mo agoArea· Census 2021

Garwen, 8 Clos yr Efail, Trefeglwys, Caersws, SY17 5QH

HP Score

/ 100

Strong

Verdict

3 days ago

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Strong fundamentals; flood risk not assessed

Evidence

17 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£261,000

£235k - £288kMedium

Estimate

£261k

Range

£235k – £288k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£900

£800 - £1k

Monthly

£900

Yield

3.93%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

Garwen earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 76/100. Investment score 64/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Crime intensity is very low. Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is freehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry company ownershipHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

76/ 100

Strong

Investment Score

64/ 100

Moderate

Crime Score

14/ 100

Low

Walkability

No data

Transit & Bike

No data

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence0 independent sourcesListing checked 4 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Valuation edge0/15
claims [AVM -5.4% (MEDIUM)] → measured edge +0.00pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (MEDIUM confidence) · snapshot 13 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 10011794772· as of 13 Oct 2026
Rental economics0/40
gross yield 3.9%; range width penalty ×0.76
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 900/mo (range 800-1000)· as of 13 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -629/mo, -70% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 4 Nov 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 1 price cut(s), 87 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 4 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity12.8/15
38 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 20%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£206,000£316,000

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£275,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£900/mo

Evidenced range £800-£1,000

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £87,550
Net cash flow: -£305/mo
Cash on cash: -4.2%
Score at this price: 13

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 0.97 - below the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 10011794772Valuation edge · as of 13 Oct 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 900/mo (range 800-1000)Rental economics · as of 13 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 4 Nov 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 4 Nov 2026
property_intelligencetransactions_12moRisk & liquidity

Sold comparables in depth

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 900/mo (range 800-1000)
Seller motivation could not be scored
context, not scored: 1 price cut(s), 87 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge

Property risk deep-dive →

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Ask the agent why the price was reduced and whether a previous sale fell through.
1 price cut(s) recorded on the listing history.
3. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£261,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£900

Gross Yield3.93%

1y Growth-

3y Growth+2.2%

5y Growth+4.1%

10y Growth+4.8%

Last Sold Price£155,000 (2014-12-12)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceLow
RadonModerate
MiningLow
LandslideModerate
Air QualityLow
NoiseWithheld

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

0SY17 5QH

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

P/26/0991/OUT
Outline application for up to 3 dwellings and creation of new vehicular access (all other matters reserved)
Pending
P/26/0843/REM
Section 73 application to vary condition 1 of planning approval 21/1286/HH in relation to extension to commencement
Pending
P/26/0661/DIS
To discharge conditions 3, 4, 7, 13 and 21 of planning approval 25/0881/FUL
Conditions

View Planning Timeline