77 Kemble Drive, Cirencester, GL7 1WZ

UPRN:100120420744Purpose Built Flat1 bedsBuilt 1976-1982

LeaseholdCouncil Tax: Band AEPC: D (62)

Data freshness:Listing· freshPlanning· 5mo agoOwnership· freshEPC· 6mo agoRisk· 5mo agoConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 1mo agoAmenities· 2mo agoArea· Census 2021Council Tax· 1mo ago

HP Score

/ 100

Strong

Verdict

yesterday

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Strong fundamentals; flood risk not assessed

Evidence

20 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£158,000

£142k - £173kMedium

Estimate

£158k

Range

£142k – £173k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£850

£800 - £900

Monthly

£850

Yield

6.00%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

77 Kemble Drive earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 75/100. Investment score 62/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Crime intensity is very low. Walkability is limited (40/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is leasehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressDefra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)Walk ScoreONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry company ownershipHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry leasesHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

75/ 100

Strong

Investment Score

62/ 100

Moderate

Crime Score

2/ 100

Low

Walkability

40/ 100

Mixed

Transit & Bike

Transit 21Bike 54

Walk Score, out of 100

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence0 independent sourcesListing checked 10 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Valuation edge0/15
claims [AVM -7.6% (MEDIUM), sold-comps -16.4%, £/sqft -16.1%] → measured edge +0.00pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (MEDIUM confidence) · snapshot 12 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 100120420744· as of 12 Oct 2026
- property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 6 comps, dispersion 13.5%· as of 30 Oct 2026
Rental economics7.7/40
gross yield 6.0%; range width penalty ×0.96
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 850/mo (range 800-900)· as of 12 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -242/mo, -29% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; disclosed service charge and ground rent); fails the stress - earns nothing
- listing_factsservice charge / ground rent from the advert· as of 10 Nov 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 35 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 10 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity12.9/15
499 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 20%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£127,500£195,500

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£170,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£850/mo

Evidenced range £800-£900

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £53,200
Net cash flow: £15/mo
Cash on cash: 0.3%
Score at this price: 21

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.48 - clears the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 100120420744Valuation edge · as of 12 Oct 2026
property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 6 comps, dispersion 13.5%Valuation edge · as of 30 Oct 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 850/mo (range 800-900)Rental economics · as of 12 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
listing_factsservice charge / ground rent from the advertStress margin · as of 10 Nov 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 10 Nov 2026

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 850/mo (range 800-900)
Seller motivation could not be scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 35 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge

Property risk deep-dive →

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£158,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£850

Gross Yield6.00%

1y Growth-29.4%

3y Growth-2.5%

5y Growth+1.6%

10y Growth+3.4%

Last Sold Price£103,000 (2010-12-17)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceSignificant
RadonModerate
MiningUnknown
LandslideLow
Air QualityLow
NoiseLow

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

0GL7 1WZ

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

26/03400/COMPLY
Compliance of condition 8 (Sample Materials) of application 25/02763/REM - Reserved Matters pursuant to outline permission 16/00054/OUT relating to appearance, layout, landscaping and scale for the erection of 100 dwellings, landscaping and public open space for Phase 2 A of the development, and discharge of conditions 11, 16, 18, 48, 56
Pending
26/03394/TPO
T1 Holly, reduce by approx 1.5m and reshape crown to balance G1 Group of pollarded Lime trees, Repollard to previous points G2 2 x Yew, reduce by approx 1.5m and reshape crown to balance. Remove secondary leader from yew G3 Lime trees Remove hazardous deadwood from canopies and clear epicormic growth from lower 4m of stem for 5 years
Pending
26/03356/DD
There is a dead sycamore at the above address which has sooty bark
Pending

View Planning Timeline

Ownership

Corporate Ownership68.6%
Overseas OwnershipNo
Lease Term Remaining999+ yrs
CovenantsRestrictive
Lease TypeLeasehold
Last Ownership Change2010-12-17
SourceLand Registry

View Ownership Details

Connectivity

Broadband (Standard)

11 Mbps

Mobile 4G/5G Coverage

EEThreeO2Vodafone

EV Charger

PTAL Rating

View Connectivity Map

Area Profile

Median EarningsLocal authority£32,927

Population Density-

Owner Occupied53%

Age Distribution

0-15 13%16-64 67%65+ 20%

View Area Profile

Schools Nearby

Chesterton Primary School
0.4 mi
Area grades2025
Inspected after Ofsted withdrew the single overall grade.
Cirencester College
0.4 mi
-
Cirencester Deer Park School
0.5 mi
Good
Royal Agricultural University
0.6 mi
-

3 of 12 nearby schools with published figures were oversubscribed in 2026 - demand, not a catchment.

View All Schools

Comparables

View All

48 Kemble Drive
-
£275k
-
37 Kemble Drive
-
£248k
-
5 Kemble Drive
-
£300k
-
31 Kemble Drive
-
£175k
-

Boundary data not available for this property

No registered title polygon, building footprint, or street match for this property yet.

Why: No HMLR INSPIRE / OSM footprint / OS Open USRN match for this UPRN

Source: HM Land Registry INSPIRE / OpenStreetMap / OS Open USRN