33 Church Lane, Barnwood, Gloucester, GL4 3EJ

UPRN:100120466280Detached House3 bedsBuilt 1983-1990

FreeholdCouncil Tax: Band DEPC: C (72)

Data freshness:Listing· freshPlanning· 4mo agoOwnership· freshRisk· 5mo agoCrime· freshConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 1mo agoAmenities· 2mo agoArea· Census 2021Council Tax· 1mo ago

33 Church Lane, Barnwood, Gloucester, GL4 3EJ

HP Score

/ 100

Strong

Verdict

yesterday

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Strong fundamentals; flood risk not assessed

Evidence

18 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£402,000

£382k - £423kHigh

Estimate

£402k

Range

£382k – £423k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£1,700

£2k - £2k

Monthly

£1,700

Yield

3.89%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

33 Church Lane earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 78/100. Investment score 61/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Crime intensity is very low. Walkability is limited (55/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is freehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressDefra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)Walk ScoreONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

78/ 100

Strong

Investment Score

61/ 100

Moderate

Crime Score

3/ 100

Low

Walkability

55/ 100

Moderate

Transit & Bike

Transit 20Bike 58

Walk Score, out of 100

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence0 independent sourcesListing checked 11 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Valuation edge-1.6/15
claims [AVM -30.6% (HIGH)] → measured edge -0.33pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp; asking more than 10% above the estimate (measured -0.33pp)
Market estimate used (HIGH confidence) · snapshot 14 Nov 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 100120466280· as of 14 Nov 2026
Rental economics0/40
gross yield 3.9%; range width penalty ×0.91
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1700/mo (range 1600-1850)· as of 14 Nov 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -1,095/mo, -64% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 11 Nov 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 41 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 11 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity14.6/15
428 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 10%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£394,000£604,000

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£525,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£1,700/mo

Evidenced range £1,600-£1,850

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £175,050
Net cash flow: -£595/mo
Cash on cash: -4.1%
Score at this price: 13

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 0.96 - below the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 100120466280Valuation edge · as of 14 Nov 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1700/mo (range 1600-1850)Rental economics · as of 14 Nov 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 11 Nov 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 11 Nov 2026
property_intelligencetransactions_12moRisk & liquidity

Sold comparables in depth

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 1700/mo (range 1600-1850)
Seller motivation could not be scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 41 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge

Property risk deep-dive →

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£402,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£1,700

Gross Yield3.89%

1y Growth-

3y Growth+0.3%

5y Growth+3.5%

10y Growth+4.0%

Last Sold Price£187,500 (2004-01-19)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceModerate
RadonLow
MiningUnknown
LandslideSignificant
Air QualityLow
NoiseLow

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

0GL4 3EJ

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

26/00983/FUL
Proposed installation of 2 No. Air Conditioning Systems
Pending
26/00961/FUL
Two storey side extension, revised design to former approval 25/00432/FUL
Pending
26/00958/CONDIT
Discharge of Conditions 3 (SuDS), 5 (Planting and Landscaping), 7 (Landscape and Ecological Management Plan), 8 (Scheme for Biodiversity Enhancement), and 9 (Lighting Design Strategy) and Statutory Biodiversity Gain Plan of planning permission 26/00114/FUL.
Pending

View Planning Timeline

Ownership

Corporate Ownership64.1%
Overseas OwnershipNo
Lease Term Remaining-
CovenantsRestrictive
Lease TypeFreehold
Last Ownership Change2004-01-19
SourceLand Registry

View Ownership Details

Connectivity

Broadband (Standard)

16 Mbps

Mobile 4G/5G Coverage

EEThreeO2Vodafone

EV Charger

PTAL Rating

View Connectivity Map

Area Profile

Median EarningsLocal authority£30,455

Population Density4,819 /km²

Owner Occupied81%

Age Distribution

0-15 19%16-64 69%65+ 12%

View Area Profile

Schools Nearby

Barnwood Park School
0.1 mi
Inspected as Barnwood Park Arts College (URN 115720) on 3 Jul 2019
Barnwood Church of England Primary School
0.2 mi
Good
Coney Hill Community Primary School
0.5 mi
Good
Dinglewell Infant School
0.6 mi
Good

3 of 12 nearby schools with published figures were oversubscribed in 2026 - demand, not a catchment.

View All Schools

Comparables

View All

35 Church Lane
-
£215k
-
33 Church Lane
-
£188k
-
39 Church Lane
-
£210k
-
33 Church Lane
-
£79k
-

Boundary data not available for this property

No registered title polygon, building footprint, or street match for this property yet.

Why: No HMLR INSPIRE / OSM footprint / OS Open USRN match for this UPRN

Source: HM Land Registry INSPIRE / OpenStreetMap / OS Open USRN