The Lodge, Old Birmingham Road, Alvechurch, Birmingham, B48 7TQ

UPRN:100120585992Detached House3 bedsBuilt before 1900

FreeholdCouncil Tax: Band EEPC: D (66)

Data freshness:Listing· freshPlanning· 4mo agoEPC· 4mo agoRisk· 5mo agoConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 1mo agoAmenities· 2mo agoArea· Census 2021

The Lodge, Old Birmingham Road, Alvechurch, Birmingham, B48 7TQ

HP Score

/ 100

Mixed

Verdict

6 days ago

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Mixed signals - investigate

Evidence

19 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£593,000

£563k - £622kHigh

Estimate

£593k

Range

£563k – £622k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£1,650

£1k - £2k

Monthly

£1,650

Yield

3.60%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

The Lodge earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 60/100. Investment score 56/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Crime intensity is moderate. Walkability is limited (21/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is freehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressDefra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)Walk ScoreONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry company ownershipHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

60/ 100

Mixed

Investment Score

56/ 100

Moderate

Crime Score

38/ 100

Elevated

Walkability

21/ 100

Low

Transit & Bike

Transit 5Bike 27

Walk Score, out of 100

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence0 independent sourcesListing checked 2 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Valuation edge0/15
claims [AVM +7.3% (HIGH)] → measured edge +0.00pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (HIGH confidence) · snapshot 12 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 100120585992· as of 12 Oct 2026
Rental economics0/40
gross yield 3.6%; range width penalty ×0.65
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1650/mo (range 1450-1900)· as of 12 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -1,238/mo, -75% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 2 Nov 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 2 price cut(s), 198 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 2 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity14.6/15
44 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 10%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£412,500£632,500

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£550,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£1,650/mo

Evidenced range £1,450-£1,900

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £183,800
Net cash flow: -£714/mo
Cash on cash: -4.7%
Score at this price: 15

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 0.89 - below the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 100120585992Valuation edge · as of 12 Oct 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1650/mo (range 1450-1900)Rental economics · as of 12 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 2 Nov 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 2 Nov 2026
property_intelligencetransactions_12moRisk & liquidity

Sold comparables in depth

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 1650/mo (range 1450-1900)
Seller motivation could not be scored
context, not scored: 2 price cut(s), 198 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge

Property risk deep-dive →

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Ask the agent why the price was reduced and whether a previous sale fell through.
2 price cut(s) recorded on the listing history.
3. Treat the gap to the estimate as unproven - compare recent sold prices on the street yourself before pricing an offer around it.
On later completions, homes listed below their estimate sold at the same share of the asking price as the rest.
4. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£593,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£1,650

Gross Yield3.60%

1y Growth-

3y Growth-5.2%

5y Growth-2.6%

10y Growth+1.0%

Last Sold Price£325,000 (2006-09-01)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceLow
RadonLow
MiningUnknown
LandslideLow
Air QualityLow
NoiseModerate

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

0B48 7TQ

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

TPO26/099
oak tree Oak (T3) ? Whole crown reduction to 12m above ground level, to provide sufficient clearance to property. would like to cut off damaged parts of the bows/trunks stemming off and general tidy up
Approved
26/00750/CPL
Porch and outbuilding - See attached supporting document
Pending
26/00620/A21
scaled drawings of window details, consisting primarily of redwood and sapele. Additional material details on the drawing. Heat pump, currently there is no what source in the building. details provided on the size, technical data and images of the unit.
Approved

View Planning Timeline

Ownership

Corporate Ownership79.9%
Overseas OwnershipNo
Lease Term Remaining-
CovenantsRestrictive
Lease TypeFreehold
Last Ownership Change2006-09-01
SourceLand Registry

View Ownership Details

Connectivity

Broadband (Standard)

8 Mbps

Mobile 4G/5G Coverage

EEThreeO2Vodafone

EV Charger

PTAL Rating

View Connectivity Map

Area Profile

Median EarningsLocal authority£36,409

Population Density138 /km²

Owner Occupied80%

Age Distribution

0-15 19%16-64 56%65+ 25%

View Area Profile

Schools Nearby

Crown Meadow First School & Nursery
0.5 mi
Report card2026
Ofsted no longer awards a single overall grade.
Alvechurch CofE Middle School
0.5 mi
Inspected as Alvechurch CofE Middle School (URN 116983) on 13 Sep 2012
Graduately Developing Futures
0.8 mi
Report card2026
Ofsted no longer awards a single overall grade.
St Andrew's CofE First School
1.2 mi
Area grades2024
Inspected after Ofsted withdrew the single overall grade.

3 of 12 nearby schools with published figures were oversubscribed in 2026 - demand, not a catchment.

View All Schools

Comparables

View All

The Leys Rest Home Old Birmingham Road
-
£575k
-
Arrow Fields Business Park Old Birmingham Road
-
£198k
-
The Stables Old Birmingham Road
-
£368k
-
The Stables Old Birmingham Road
-
£270k
-

Boundary data not available for this property

No registered title polygon, building footprint, or street match for this property yet.

Why: No HMLR INSPIRE / OSM footprint / OS Open USRN match for this UPRN

Source: HM Land Registry INSPIRE / OpenStreetMap / OS Open USRN