Valfleur, River Ash Estate, Felix Lane, Shepperton, TW17 8NH

UPRN:10012064565Detached Bungalow3 bedsBuilt 1930-1949

FreeholdCouncil Tax: Band EEPC: D (66)

Data freshness:Price Paid· freshPlanning· 4mo agoEPC· 6mo agoRisk· 5mo agoConnectivity· 1mo agoAmenities· 1mo agoArea· Census 2021

Valfleur, River Ash Estate, Felix Lane, Shepperton, TW17 8NH

HP Score

/ 100

Mixed

Verdict

3 days ago

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Mixed signals - investigate

Evidence

18 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£537,000

£484k - £591kMedium

Estimate

£537k

Range

£484k – £591k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£2,200

£2k - £2k

Monthly

£2,200

Yield

4.59%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

Valfleur earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 61/100. Investment score 60/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Crime intensity is moderate. Walkability is limited (24/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is freehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressDefra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)Walk ScoreONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

61/ 100

Mixed

Investment Score

60/ 100

Moderate

Crime Score

42/ 100

Elevated

Walkability

24/ 100

Low

Transit & Bike

Transit 6Bike 52

Walk Score, out of 100

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence0 independent sourcesListing checked 28 Oct 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Valuation edge0/15
claims [AVM -7.1% (MEDIUM)] → measured edge +0.00pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (MEDIUM confidence) · snapshot 13 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 10012064565· as of 13 Oct 2026
Rental economics0/40
gross yield 4.6%; range width penalty ×0.84
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 2200/mo (range 2000-2400)· as of 13 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -939/mo, -43% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 28 Oct 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 88 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 28 Oct 2026
Risk & liquidity12.9/15
158 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 20%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£431,000£661,000

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£575,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£2,200/mo

Evidenced range £2,000-£2,400

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £192,550
Net cash flow: -£418/mo
Cash on cash: -2.6%
Score at this price: 13

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.13 - below the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 10012064565Valuation edge · as of 13 Oct 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 2200/mo (range 2000-2400)Rental economics · as of 13 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 28 Oct 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 28 Oct 2026
property_intelligencetransactions_12moRisk & liquidity

Sold comparables in depth

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 2200/mo (range 2000-2400)
Seller motivation could not be scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 88 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge

Property risk deep-dive →

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£537,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£2,200

Gross Yield4.59%

1y Growth+9.7%

3y Growth+2.8%

5y Growth+2.2%

10y Growth+2.5%

Last Sold Price£475,000 (2023-10-26)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceModerate
RadonLow
MiningUnknown
LandslideLow
Air QualityLow
NoiseLow

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

0TW17 8NH

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

26/01050/TPO
TPO090/T001 - 1 x Ash (shown as T1 on plan) to crown reduce back to previous reduction points, reducing height from 12m to 9.5m and spread from 8m to 4m.
Pending
26/01021/HOU
Erection of a single storey side/rear extension with gable end roof on the southern side (following demolition of existing attached single storey structures on the eastern side).
Pending
2026/2240
Confirmation of Compliance with Condition: Partial discharge of Condition 24 (Potential Land Contamination) of planning permission 2019/3601.
Pending

View Planning Timeline

Ownership

Corporate Ownership64%
Overseas OwnershipNo
Lease Term Remaining-
CovenantsRestrictive
Lease TypeFreehold
Last Ownership Change2023-10-26
SourceLand Registry

View Ownership Details

Connectivity

Broadband (Standard)

20 Mbps

Mobile 4G/5G Coverage

EEThreeO2Vodafone

EV Charger

PTAL Rating

View Connectivity Map

Area Profile

Median EarningsLocal authority£42,607

Population Density-

Owner Occupied78%

Age Distribution

0-15 19%16-64 59%65+ 22%

View Area Profile

Schools Nearby

Ashley Church of England Primary School
0.6 mi
Good
Thamesmead School
0.7 mi
Report card2026
Ofsted no longer awards a single overall grade.
Halliford School
0.8 mi
Inspected by ISI
Hopescourt School
0.9 mi
-

4 of 9 nearby schools with published figures were oversubscribed in 2026 - demand, not a catchment.

View All Schools

Comparables

View All

Valfleur River Ash Estate
-
£475k
-
Valfleur River Ash Estate
-
£235k
-
Clynton River Ash Estate
-
£374k
-
Mynhurst River Ash Estate
-
£442k
-

Boundary data not available for this property

No registered title polygon, building footprint, or street match for this property yet.

Why: No HMLR INSPIRE / OSM footprint / OS Open USRN match for this UPRN

Source: HM Land Registry INSPIRE / OpenStreetMap / OS Open USRN