16 Blackthorn Road, Launton, Bicester, OX26 5DA

UPRN:100120776072Detached House3 bedsBuilt 1967-1975

FreeholdCouncil Tax: Band DEPC: D (68)

Data freshness:Planning· 4mo agoOwnership· freshEPC· 1mo agoRisk· 5mo agoConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 1mo agoAmenities· 2mo agoArea· Census 2021Council Tax· 3mo ago

16 Blackthorn Road, Launton, Bicester, OX26 5DA

HP Score

/ 100

Mixed

Verdict

yesterday

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Mixed signals - investigate

Evidence

19 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£628,000

£565k - £691kMedium

Estimate

£628k

Range

£565k – £691k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£2,400

£2k - £3k

Monthly

£2,400

Yield

3.84%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

16 Blackthorn Road earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 70/100. Investment score 54/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Crime intensity is very low. Walkability is limited (37/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is freehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressDefra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)Walk ScoreONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry company ownershipHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

70/ 100

Mixed

Investment Score

54/ 100

Moderate

Crime Score

14/ 100

Low

Walkability

37/ 100

Mixed

Transit & Bike

Transit 9Bike 31

Walk Score, out of 100

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence0 independent sourcesLead to verifyListing checked 4 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Check before relying on this score: the advert has 5 bedrooms but the valuation snapshot describes 3 - an extension, conversion or HMO the evidence does not reflect, or a different home. It ranks after every home whose inputs are verified.

Valuation edge-0.6/15
claims [AVM -19.4% (MEDIUM)] → measured edge -0.12pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp; asking more than 10% above the estimate (measured -0.33pp)
Market estimate used (MEDIUM confidence) · snapshot 9 Nov 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 100120776072· as of 9 Nov 2026
Rental economics0/40
gross yield 3.8%; range width penalty ×0.82
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 2400/mo (range 2200-2650)· as of 9 Nov 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -1,530/mo, -64% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 4 Nov 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 65 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 4 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity12.8/15
388 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 20%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£562,500£862,500

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£750,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£2,400/mo

Evidenced range £2,200-£2,650

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £253,800
Net cash flow: -£870/mo
Cash on cash: -4.1%
Score at this price: 12

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 0.95 - below the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 100120776072Valuation edge · as of 9 Nov 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 2400/mo (range 2200-2650)Rental economics · as of 9 Nov 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 4 Nov 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 4 Nov 2026
property_intelligencetransactions_12moRisk & liquidity

Sold comparables in depth

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 2400/mo (range 2200-2650)
Seller motivation could not be scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 65 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge

Property risk deep-dive →

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£628,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£2,400

Gross Yield3.84%

1y Growth-

3y Growth-1.7%

5y Growth-0.1%

10y Growth+1.3%

Last Sold Price£325,000 (2009-08-25)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceSignificant
RadonLow
MiningUnknown
LandslideLow
Air QualityLow
NoiseLow

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

0OX26 5DA

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

26/02558/F
Demolition of existing conservatory and erection of a two-storey rear extension. Formation of a side dormer and insertion of windows in the front and rear gables
Pending
26/02559/NMA
Omit Larch weatherboarding to upper wall areas and change to timber effect Cedral Lap cement fibre board. Colour - Cocoa Brown (proposed as non-material amendment to 24/02524/F)
Approved
26/02272/TPO
Various Tree Works - Subject to TPO 001/1981
Pending

View Planning Timeline

Ownership

Corporate Ownership67.4%
Overseas OwnershipNo
Lease Term Remaining-
CovenantsRestrictive
Lease TypeFreehold
Last Ownership Change2009-08-25
SourceLand Registry

View Ownership Details

Connectivity

Broadband (Standard)

3 Mbps

Mobile 4G/5G Coverage

EEThreeO2Vodafone

EV Charger

PTAL Rating

View Connectivity Map

Area Profile

Median EarningsLocal authority£36,568

Population Density108 /km²

Owner Occupied78%

Age Distribution

0-15 18%16-64 60%65+ 22%

View Area Profile

Schools Nearby

Launton Church of England Primary School
0.3 mi
Requires improvement
Langford Village Community Primary School
1.1 mi
Good
Longfields Primary and Nursery School
1.4 mi
Report card2026
Ofsted no longer awards a single overall grade.
Glory Farm Primary School
1.4 mi
Good

2 of 14 nearby schools with published figures were oversubscribed in 2026 - demand, not a catchment.

View All Schools

Comparables

View All

The Marsh Blackthorn Road
-
£490k
-
Cherry Tree Cottage Blackthorn Road
-
£240k
-
Jasmine Cottage Blackthorn Road
-
£415k
-
13 Blackthorn Road
-
£415k
-

Boundary data not available for this property

No registered title polygon, building footprint, or street match for this property yet.

Why: No HMLR INSPIRE / OSM footprint / OS Open USRN match for this UPRN

Source: HM Land Registry INSPIRE / OpenStreetMap / OS Open USRN