53 Cranley Road, Headington, Oxford, OX3 8BP

UPRN:100120813860Semi-Detached House3 bedsBuilt 1950-1966

FreeholdCouncil Tax: Band BEPC: D (62)

Data freshness:Price Paid· freshPlanning· 4mo agoEPC· 4mo agoRisk· 5mo agoConnectivity· 1mo agoAmenities· 1mo agoArea· Census 2021Council Tax· 3mo ago

53 Cranley Road, Headington, Oxford, OX3 8BP

HP Score

/ 100

Mixed

Verdict

3 days ago

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Mixed signals - investigate

Evidence

19 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£322,000

£306k - £339kHigh

Estimate

£322k

Range

£306k – £339k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£1,750

£2k - £2k

Monthly

£1,750

Yield

7.92%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

53 Cranley Road earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 74/100. Investment score 60/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Crime intensity is very low. Walkability is limited (60/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is freehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressDefra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)Walk ScoreONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry company ownershipHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

74/ 100

Mixed

Investment Score

60/ 100

Moderate

Crime Score

13/ 100

Low

Walkability

60/ 100

Moderate

Transit & Bike

Transit 16Bike 71

Walk Score, out of 100

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence1 independent sourceLead to verifyListing checked 28 Oct 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Check before relying on this score: the estimate sits 18% above the ask. It ranks after every home whose inputs are verified.

Valuation edge2.5/15
claims [AVM +17.7% (HIGH), sold-comps +46.5%, £/sqft +46.4%] → measured edge +0.50pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (HIGH confidence) · snapshot 9 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 100120813860· as of 9 Oct 2026
- property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 12 comps, dispersion 16.9%· as of 3 Nov 2026
Rental economics21.4/40
gross yield 7.9%; range width penalty ×0.91; the estimate this rent rides on sits 18% above the ask - check the rent describes the advertised home
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1750/mo (range 1600-1850)· as of 9 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
- valuation_snapshotssale estimate 18% above the ask on the same snapshot - verify the rent describes this home· as of 9 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin2.2/30
stressed cash flow +38/mo, +2% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); passes the stress
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 28 Oct 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 244 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 28 Oct 2026
Risk & liquidity14.6/15
292 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 10%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivityScores 70+ up to £205,500

£199,000£305,000

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£265,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£1,750/mo

Evidenced range £1,600-£1,850

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £84,050
Net cash flow: £317/mo
Cash on cash: 4.5%
Score at this price: 41

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.96 - clears the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 100120813860Valuation edge · as of 9 Oct 2026
property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 12 comps, dispersion 16.9%Valuation edge · as of 3 Nov 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1750/mo (range 1600-1850)Rental economics · as of 9 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
valuation_snapshotssale estimate 18% above the ask on the same snapshot - verify the rent describes this homeRental economics · as of 9 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 1750/mo (range 1600-1850)
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
sale estimate 18% above the ask on the same snapshot - verify the rent describes this home

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The market estimate this rent rides on sits far above the asking price, so the rent may describe a different home.
2. Set your walk-away price before viewing - above £205,500 the deal stops scoring well.
Computed by re-running the score at higher prices.
3. Treat the gap to the estimate as unproven - compare recent sold prices on the street yourself before pricing an offer around it.
On later completions, homes listed below their estimate sold at the same share of the asking price as the rest.
4. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£322,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£1,750

Gross Yield7.92%

1y Growth-

3y Growth-1.3%

5y Growth+0.8%

10y Growth+1.4%

Last Sold Price£65,495 (2000-03-31)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceSignificant
RadonLow
MiningUnknown
LandslideLow
Air QualityLow
NoiseLow

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

0OX3 8BP

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

26/02474/TPO
Works to 1no. Lime Tree as specified by Top Leaf Tree Services as identified in Oxford City Council London Road (No.1) Tree Preservation Order 1990. T Large Lime. to crown thin by 20% throughout the canopy. Reducing the side closest to the property and clear by 2.5m and to raise the canopy to approximately 6/7m above ground level.
Pending
26/02436/CAT
Works to 1no. stone pine tree as specified by Arbor Vitae Oxford in the Headington Quarry Conservation Area. T1 Stone Pine. Remove to source selected primary lateral (pic 1) Crown reduce remaing overhanging section of crown back as far as possible leaving green.
Pending
26/02412/FUL
Demolition of existing rear extension, erection of a two storey side and a part two, part single rear storey extension.
Pending

View Planning Timeline