39 Downside End, Oxford, OX3 8JF

UPRN:100120815949Semi-Detached House8 bedsBuilt -

FreeholdCouncil Tax: -EPC: -

Data freshness:Listing· freshPlanning· 4mo agoOwnership· freshRisk· 5mo agoConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 1mo agoAmenities· 2mo agoArea· Census 2021

HP Score

/ 100

Strong

Verdict

today

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Strong fundamentals; flood risk not assessed

Evidence

19 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£681,000

£647k - £715kHigh

Estimate

£681k

Range

£647k – £715k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£3,650

£3k - £4k

Monthly

£3,650

Yield

5.15%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

39 Downside End earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 76/100. Investment score 56/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Crime intensity is very low. Walkability is limited (63/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is freehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressDefra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)Walk ScoreONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry company ownershipHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry leasesHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

76/ 100

Strong

Investment Score

56/ 100

Moderate

Crime Score

12/ 100

Low

Walkability

63/ 100

Moderate

Transit & Bike

Transit 17Bike 77

Walk Score, out of 100

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence0 independent sourcesListing checked 6 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Valuation edge-1.6/15
claims [AVM -24.8% (HIGH)] → measured edge -0.33pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp; asking more than 10% above the estimate (measured -0.33pp)
Market estimate used (HIGH confidence) · snapshot 9 Nov 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 100120815949· as of 9 Nov 2026
Rental economics1.1/40
gross yield 5.2%; range width penalty ×0.93
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 3650/mo (range 3400-3900)· as of 9 Nov 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -1,033/mo, -28% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 6 Nov 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 160 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 6 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity14.6/15
292 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 10%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£637,500£977,500

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£850,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£3,650/mo

Evidenced range £3,400-£3,900

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £288,800
Net cash flow: -£342/mo
Cash on cash: -1.4%
Score at this price: 14

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.27 - clears the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 100120815949Valuation edge · as of 9 Nov 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 3650/mo (range 3400-3900)Rental economics · as of 9 Nov 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 6 Nov 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 6 Nov 2026
property_intelligencetransactions_12moRisk & liquidity

Sold comparables in depth

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 3650/mo (range 3400-3900)
Seller motivation could not be scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 160 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge

Property risk deep-dive →

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£681,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£3,650

Gross Yield5.15%

1y Growth-

3y Growth-1.3%

5y Growth+0.8%

10y Growth+1.4%

Last Sold Price£320,000 (2006-08-15)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceSignificant
RadonLow
MiningUnknown
LandslideLow
Air QualityLow
NoiseModerate

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

0OX3 8JF

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

26/02596/FUL
Installation of 2no. condenser units to south elevation and 1no. louvre to east elevation.
Pending
26/02479/FUL
Demolition of the existing garage and rear extension, erection of a single storey side and rear extension. Alterations to fenestration.
Pending
P26/S4714/LDP
The provision of an incidental outbuilding (garden store and gym).
Pending

View Planning Timeline