38 York Road, Headington, Oxford, OX3 8NW

UPRN:100120844565Semi-Detached House4 bedsBuilt 1900-1929

FreeholdCouncil Tax: Band DEPC: D (68)

Data freshness:Price Paid· freshPlanning· 2mo agoEPC· 6mo agoRisk· 5mo agoConnectivity· 1mo agoAmenities· 1mo agoArea· Census 2021Council Tax· 3mo ago

38 York Road, Headington, Oxford, OX3 8NW

HP Score

/ 100

Mixed

Verdict

3 days ago

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Mixed signals - investigate

Evidence

18 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£716,000

£681k - £752kHigh

Estimate

£716k

Range

£681k – £752k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£3,850

£4k - £4k

Monthly

£3,850

Yield

6.84%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

38 York Road earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 73/100. Investment score 59/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Crime intensity is low. Walkability is limited (51/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is freehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)Defra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)Walk ScoreONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry company ownershipHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

73/ 100

Mixed

Investment Score

59/ 100

Moderate

Crime Score

17/ 100

Moderate

Walkability

51/ 100

Moderate

Transit & Bike

Transit 25Bike 73

Walk Score, out of 100

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence0 independent sourcesListing checked 27 Oct 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Valuation edge0/15
claims [AVM +5.7% (HIGH), sold-comps -13.6%, £/sqft -13.7%] → measured edge +0.00pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (HIGH confidence) · snapshot 13 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 100120844565· as of 13 Oct 2026
- property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 12 comps, dispersion 13.9%· as of 1 Nov 2026
Rental economics13.9/40
gross yield 6.8%; range width penalty ×0.94
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 3850/mo (range 3600-4100)· as of 13 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -148/mo, -4% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 27 Oct 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 1 price cut(s), 63 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 27 Oct 2026
Risk & liquidity14.7/15
292 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 10%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£506,000£776,000

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£675,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£3,850/mo

Evidenced range £3,600-£4,100

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £227,550
Net cash flow: £387/mo
Cash on cash: 2.0%
Score at this price: 29

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.69 - clears the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 100120844565Valuation edge · as of 13 Oct 2026
property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 12 comps, dispersion 13.9%Valuation edge · as of 1 Nov 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 3850/mo (range 3600-4100)Rental economics · as of 13 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 27 Oct 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 27 Oct 2026

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 3850/mo (range 3600-4100)
Seller motivation could not be scored
context, not scored: 1 price cut(s), 63 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge

Property risk deep-dive →

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Ask the agent why the price was reduced and whether a previous sale fell through.
1 price cut(s) recorded on the listing history.
3. Treat the gap to the estimate as unproven - compare recent sold prices on the street yourself before pricing an offer around it.
On later completions, homes listed below their estimate sold at the same share of the asking price as the rest.
4. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£716,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£3,850

Gross Yield6.84%

1y Growth-7.4%

3y Growth-1.3%

5y Growth+0.8%

10y Growth+1.4%

Last Sold Price-

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceSignificant
RadonLow
MiningUnknown
LandslideLow
Air QualityLow
NoiseLow

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

0OX3 8NW

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

26/02513/TPO
Fell 1no Sycamore tree as identified by Sam Prior in the Oxford City Council- Old Road Campus, Roosevelt Drive (No.1) Tree Preservation Order-2015
Pending
26/02472/FUL
Demolition of existing rear extension, Erection of a single storey extension to the front, side and rear elevation. Alterations to landscaping and associated works.
Pending
26/02436/CAT
Works to 1no. stone pine tree as specified by Arbor Vitae Oxford in the Headington Quarry Conservation Area. T1 Stone Pine. Remove to source selected primary lateral (pic 1) Crown reduce remaing overhanging section of crown back as far as possible leaving green.
Pending

View Planning Timeline

Ownership

Corporate Ownership63.1%
Overseas OwnershipNo
Lease Term Remaining-
CovenantsRestrictive
Lease TypeFreehold
Last Ownership Change-
SourceLand Registry

View Ownership Details

Connectivity

Broadband (Standard)

15 Mbps

Mobile 4G/5G Coverage

EEThreeO2Vodafone

EV Charger

PTAL Rating

View Connectivity Map

Area Profile

Median EarningsLocal authority£36,517

Population Density3,355 /km²

Owner Occupied58%

Age Distribution

0-15 17%16-64 67%65+ 16%

View Area Profile

Schools Nearby

Windmill Primary School
0.1 mi
Area grades2025
Inspected after Ofsted withdrew the single overall grade.
Slade Nursery School
0.3 mi
Report card2026
Ofsted no longer awards a single overall grade.
Wood Farm Primary School
0.3 mi
Good
St Andrew's Church of England Primary School, Oxford
0.4 mi
Good

1 of 9 nearby schools with published figures were oversubscribed in 2026 - demand, not a catchment.

View All Schools

Comparables

View All

40A York Road
-
£540k
-
3A York Road
-
£885k
-
20 York Road
-
£635k
-
42 York Road
-
£550k
-

Boundary data not available for this property

No registered title polygon, building footprint, or street match for this property yet.

Why: No HMLR INSPIRE / OSM footprint / OS Open USRN match for this UPRN

Source: HM Land Registry INSPIRE / OpenStreetMap / OS Open USRN