Flat 4, Fairlawn, 2 First Turn, Oxford, OX2 8AP

UPRN:100120846420Purpose Built Flat2 bedsBuilt 1950-1966

LeaseholdCouncil Tax: -EPC: C (76)

Data freshness:Listing· freshPlanning· 4mo agoOwnership· freshEPC· 3mo agoRisk· 5mo agoCrime· freshConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 1mo agoAmenities· 2mo agoArea· Census 2021

Flat 4, Fairlawn, 2 First Turn, Oxford, OX2 8AP

HP Score

/ 100

Strong

Verdict

2 days ago

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Strong fundamentals; flood risk not assessed

Evidence

20 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£374,000

£355k - £393kHigh

Estimate

£374k

Range

£355k – £393k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£1,750

£2k - £2k

Monthly

£1,750

Yield

5.60%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

Flat 4 earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 81/100. Investment score 69/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Crime intensity is very low. Walkability is good (73/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is leasehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressDefra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)Walk ScoreONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry company ownershipHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry leasesHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

81/ 100

Strong

Investment Score

69/ 100

Moderate

Crime Score

13/ 100

Low

Walkability

73/ 100

High

Transit & Bike

Transit 20Bike 74

Walk Score, out of 100

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence1 independent sourceListing checked 13 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Valuation edge2.5/15
claims [AVM -0.3% (HIGH), sold-comps +25.4%, £/sqft +25.4%] → measured edge +0.50pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (HIGH confidence) · snapshot 9 Nov 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 100120846420· as of 9 Nov 2026
- property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 6 comps, dispersion 17.3%· as of 15 Nov 2026
Rental economics4.4/40
gross yield 5.6%; range width penalty ×0.91
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1750/mo (range 1600-1850)· as of 9 Nov 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -602/mo, -34% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; disclosed service charge and ground rent); fails the stress - earns nothing
- listing_factsservice charge / ground rent from the advert· as of 13 Nov 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 261 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 13 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity14.6/15
338 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 10%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£281,000£431,000

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£375,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£1,750/mo

Evidenced range £1,600-£1,850

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £122,550
Net cash flow: -£54/mo
Cash on cash: -0.5%
Score at this price: 22

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.38 - clears the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 100120846420Valuation edge · as of 9 Nov 2026
property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 6 comps, dispersion 17.3%Valuation edge · as of 15 Nov 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1750/mo (range 1600-1850)Rental economics · as of 9 Nov 2026 · verify before relying on this
listing_factsservice charge / ground rent from the advertStress margin · as of 13 Nov 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 13 Nov 2026

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 1750/mo (range 1600-1850)
Seller motivation could not be scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 261 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge

Property risk deep-dive →

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Treat the gap to the estimate as unproven - compare recent sold prices on the street yourself before pricing an offer around it.
On later completions, homes listed below their estimate sold at the same share of the asking price as the rest.
3. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£374,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£1,750

Gross Yield5.60%

1y Growth-

3y Growth-4.3%

5y Growth-1.7%

10y Growth+0.6%

Last Sold Price£350,000 (2017-11-22)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceSignificant
RadonLow
MiningUnknown
LandslideSignificant
Air QualityLow
NoiseLow

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

0OX2 8AP

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

26/01342/CND
Details submitted in compliance with condition 12 (BNG plan) of planning permission 26/01342/FUL.
Pending
26/01256/CND
Details submitted in compliance with conditions 11 (Landscape Surface Design), 12 (Underground Services), 13 (TPP), and 15 (Details of Boundary Treatment) of planning permission 26/01256/FUL.
Pending
26/02632/FUL
Erection of a two storey side and a single storey rear extension, alterations to roof. Formation of front porch, installation of external rendal. Removal of 2no. windows and insertion of 6no. windows to side elevation
Pending

View Planning Timeline