Paddock House, 23 Packhorse Lane, Marcham, Abingdon, OX13 6NT

UPRN:100120908893Detached House4 bedsBuilt before 1900

FreeholdCouncil Tax: Band GEPC: D (60)

Data freshness:Listing· freshPrice Paid· freshPlanning· 2mo agoEPC· 6mo agoRisk· 5mo agoConnectivity· 1mo agoAmenities· 1mo agoArea· Census 2021Council Tax· 3mo ago

Paddock House, 23 Packhorse Lane, Marcham, Abingdon, OX13 6NT

HP Score

/ 100

Mixed

Verdict

yesterday

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Mixed signals - investigate

Evidence

20 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£602,000

£572k - £632kHigh

Estimate

£602k

Range

£572k – £632k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£2,300

£2k - £3k

Monthly

£2,300

Yield

3.07%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

Paddock House earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 69/100. Investment score 61/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Crime intensity is very low. Walkability is limited (26/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is freehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressDefra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)Walk ScoreONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry company ownershipHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry leasesHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

69/ 100

Mixed

Investment Score

61/ 100

Moderate

Crime Score

14/ 100

Low

Walkability

26/ 100

Low

Transit & Bike

Transit 12Bike 48

Walk Score, out of 100

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence0 independent sourcesListing checked 3 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Valuation edge-1.6/15
claims [AVM -49.5% (HIGH)] → measured edge -0.33pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp; asking more than 10% above the estimate (measured -0.33pp)
Market estimate used (HIGH confidence) · snapshot 10 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 100120908893· as of 10 Oct 2026
Rental economics0/40
gross yield 3.1%; range width penalty ×0.77
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 2300/mo (range 2050-2550)· as of 10 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -2,236/mo, -97% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 3 Nov 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 58 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 3 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity14.6/15
138 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 10%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£675,000£1,035,000

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£900,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£2,300/mo

Evidenced range £2,050-£2,550

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £306,300
Net cash flow: -£1,445/mo
Cash on cash: -5.7%
Score at this price: 13

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 0.76 - below the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 100120908893Valuation edge · as of 10 Oct 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 2300/mo (range 2050-2550)Rental economics · as of 10 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 3 Nov 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 3 Nov 2026
property_intelligencetransactions_12moRisk & liquidity

Sold comparables in depth

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 2300/mo (range 2050-2550)
Seller motivation could not be scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 58 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge

Property risk deep-dive →

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£602,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£2,300

Gross Yield3.07%

1y Growth-9.4%

3y Growth-4.2%

5y Growth-1.7%

10y Growth-0.1%

Last Sold Price£720,000 (2020-12-18)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceSignificant
RadonModerate
MiningUnknown
LandslideLow
Air QualityLow
NoiseModerate

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

3OX13 6NT

Approval Rate

100%12mo

Development

low

P26/V4818/DIS
Discharge of condition(s) 3 (CEMP Ecology) and 5 (Biodiversity Enhancement Plan) on planning application P23/V1128/FUL. Proposed extension of existing lake and associated landscape work
Pending
P26/V3433/TCA
Reduce Scots pine to ground level, it is a species to large for the location planted and there exists no practical way of pruning such a species. The idea will be in time, once roots have died back, to plant a fruit tree in its place.
Approved
P26/V3106/HH
Single and two storey extensions
Approved

View Planning Timeline