The Fosse, Sheepstead Road, Marcham, Abingdon, OX13 6QG

UPRN:100120932744Detached House6 bedsBuilt 1983-1990

FreeholdCouncil Tax: Band FEPC: D (63)

Data freshness:Planning· 4mo agoOwnership· 1mo agoEPC· 6mo agoRisk· 5mo agoConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 1mo agoAmenities· 2mo agoArea· Census 2021Council Tax· 3mo ago

The Fosse, Sheepstead Road, Marcham, Abingdon, OX13 6QG

HP Score

/ 100

Mixed

Verdict

5 days ago

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Mixed signals - investigate

Evidence

17 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£1,273,000

£1.15M - £1.40MMedium

Estimate

£1.27M

Range

£1.15M – £1.40M

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£4,850

£4k - £5k

Monthly

£4,850

Yield

5.06%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

The Fosse earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 63/100. Investment score 59/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Crime intensity is very low. Walkability is limited (7/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is freehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressDefra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)Walk ScoreONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

63/ 100

Mixed

Investment Score

59/ 100

Moderate

Crime Score

14/ 100

Low

Walkability

7/ 100

Low

Transit & Bike

Transit 39Bike 21

Walk Score, out of 100

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence0 independent sourcesListing checked 3 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Valuation edge0/15
claims [AVM +9.7% (MEDIUM), sold-comps -30.8%, £/sqft -30.8%] → measured edge +0.00pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (MEDIUM confidence) · snapshot 13 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 100120932744· as of 13 Oct 2026
- property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 10 comps, dispersion 11.5%· as of 29 Oct 2026
Rental economics0.4/40
gross yield 5.1%; range width penalty ×0.79
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 4850/mo (range 4350-5350)· as of 13 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -1,417/mo, -29% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 3 Nov 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 42 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 3 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity12.8/15
138 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 20%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£862,500£1,322,500

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£1,150,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£4,850/mo

Evidenced range £4,350-£5,350

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £405,050
Net cash flow: -£524/mo
Cash on cash: -1.6%
Score at this price: 13

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.25 - below the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 100120932744Valuation edge · as of 13 Oct 2026
property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 10 comps, dispersion 11.5%Valuation edge · as of 29 Oct 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 4850/mo (range 4350-5350)Rental economics · as of 13 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 3 Nov 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 3 Nov 2026

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 4850/mo (range 4350-5350)
Seller motivation could not be scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 42 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge

Property risk deep-dive →

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Treat the gap to the estimate as unproven - compare recent sold prices on the street yourself before pricing an offer around it.
On later completions, homes listed below their estimate sold at the same share of the asking price as the rest.
3. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£1,273,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£4,850

Gross Yield5.06%

1y Growth-

3y Growth-4.2%

5y Growth-1.7%

10y Growth-0.1%

Last Sold Price£910,000 (2015-07-16)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceSignificant
RadonLow
MiningUnknown
LandslideLow
Air QualityLow
NoiseBelow 40 dB

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

0OX13 6QG

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

P26/V4818/DIS
Discharge of condition(s) 3 (CEMP Ecology) and 5 (Biodiversity Enhancement Plan) on planning application P23/V1128/FUL. Proposed extension of existing lake and associated landscape work
Pending
P26/V4466/LDE
Lawful Development Certificate for an Existing Use of residential garden land
Pending
P26/V2907/HH
The proposed work involves: 1. The careful taking down of the two existing Bath stone piers with half pineapple finials, numbering stones to enable accurate construction. 2.Provide new foundations and rebuild the piers incorporating a central galvanised column in the centre of each. The to be rebuilt stern in its existing location and the right in its new location making use of the existing stones but replacing with matching Bath stone where damaged or badly degraded. 3. Install below ground automatic opening mechanism with remote control. 4. Provide and Hang a pair of wrought iron gates as proposal drawing.
Pending

View Planning Timeline