Walnut Cottage, Chapel Lane, Northmoor, Witney, OX29 5TB

UPRN:100120970387Detached House4 bedsBuilt 2007-2011

FreeholdCouncil Tax: Band GEPC: D (62)

Data freshness:Planning· 4mo agoOwnership· 1mo agoEPC· 1mo agoRisk· 5mo agoConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 1mo agoAmenities· 2mo agoArea· Census 2021Council Tax· 3mo ago

Walnut Cottage, Chapel Lane, Northmoor, Witney, OX29 5TB

HP Score

/ 100

Mixed

Verdict

4 days ago

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Mixed signals - investigate

Evidence

16 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£841,000

£757k - £925kMedium

Estimate

£841k

Range

£757k – £925k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£3,400

£3k - £4k

Monthly

£3,400

Yield

3.26%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

Walnut Cottage earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 60/100. Investment score 57/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Crime intensity is very low. Walkability is limited (0/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is freehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressDefra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)Walk ScoreONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

60/ 100

Mixed

Investment Score

57/ 100

Moderate

Crime Score

8/ 100

Low

Walkability

0/ 100

Low

Transit & Bike

Transit 2Bike 17

Walk Score, out of 100

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence0 independent sourcesListing checked 3 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Valuation edge-0.6/15
claims [AVM -48.6% (MEDIUM), sold-comps -36.8%, £/sqft -36.8%] → measured edge -0.12pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp; asking more than 10% above the estimate (measured -0.33pp)
Market estimate used (MEDIUM confidence) · snapshot 13 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 100120970387· as of 13 Oct 2026
- property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 12 comps, dispersion 18.2%· as of 1 Nov 2026
Rental economics0/40
gross yield 3.3%; range width penalty ×0.82
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 3400/mo (range 3050-3700)· as of 13 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -2,904/mo, -85% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 3 Nov 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 33 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 3 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity12.8/15
249 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 20%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£937,500£1,437,500

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£1,250,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£3,400/mo

Evidenced range £3,050-£3,700

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £445,050
Net cash flow: -£1,865/mo
Cash on cash: -5.0%
Score at this price: 12

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 0.81 - below the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 100120970387Valuation edge · as of 13 Oct 2026
property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 12 comps, dispersion 18.2%Valuation edge · as of 1 Nov 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 3400/mo (range 3050-3700)Rental economics · as of 13 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 3 Nov 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 3 Nov 2026

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 3400/mo (range 3050-3700)
Seller motivation could not be scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 33 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge

Property risk deep-dive →

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£841,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£3,400

Gross Yield3.26%

1y Growth-

3y Growth-0.4%

5y Growth+1.9%

10y Growth+2.0%

Last Sold Price£380,000 (2004-08-16)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceSignificant
RadonLow
MiningUnknown
LandslideLow
Air QualityLow
NoiseLow

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

0OX29 5TB

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

26/01217/TCA
T2 Western Red Cedar - Fell in sections to ground level.
Approved
26/00773/HHD
Erection of single storey rear orangery extension, and associated works
Approved
26/00742/CND
Discharge of condition 4 (full surface water drainage scheme) of planning permission 25/02824/HHD.
Decided

View Planning Timeline

Ownership

Corporate Ownership74.6%
Overseas OwnershipNo
Lease Term Remaining-
CovenantsRestrictive
Lease TypeFreehold
Last Ownership Change2004-08-16
SourceLand Registry

View Ownership Details

Connectivity

Broadband (Standard)

6 Mbps

Mobile 4G/5G Coverage

EV Charger

PTAL Rating

View Connectivity Map

Area Profile

Median EarningsLocal authority£35,388

Population Density106 /km²

Owner Occupied83%

Age Distribution

0-15 16%16-64 56%65+ 28%

View Area Profile

Schools Nearby

Standlake Church of England Primary School
1.3 mi
Good
Stanton Harcourt CofE Primary School
1.4 mi
Good
Mulberry Bush School
1.8 mi
Area grades2024
Inspected after Ofsted withdrew the single overall grade.
Appleton Church of England (A) Primary School
2.0 mi
Good

0 of 12 nearby schools with published figures were oversubscribed in 2026 - demand, not a catchment.

View All Schools

Comparables

View All

Greystones Chapel Lane
-
£750k
-
Old Farm Cottage Chapel Lane
-
£700k
-
Greystones Chapel Lane
-
£461k
-
Walnut Cottage Chapel Lane
-
£380k
-

Boundary data not available for this property

No registered title polygon, building footprint, or street match for this property yet.

Why: No HMLR INSPIRE / OSM footprint / OS Open USRN match for this UPRN

Source: HM Land Registry INSPIRE / OpenStreetMap / OS Open USRN