The Old Forge House, Chittlehampton, Umberleigh, EX37 9RG

UPRN:10012099286Detached House5 bedsBuilt before 1900

FreeholdCouncil Tax: Band DEPC: E (40)

Data freshness:Price Paid· freshPlanning· freshEPC· 6mo agoRisk· 5mo agoConnectivity· 1mo agoAmenities· 1mo agoArea· Census 2021

The Old Forge House, Chittlehampton, Umberleigh, EX37 9RG

HP Score

/ 100

Mixed

Verdict

3 days ago

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Mixed signals - investigate

Evidence

18 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£510,000

£485k - £536kHigh

Estimate

£510k

Range

£485k – £536k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£1,750

£2k - £2k

Monthly

£1,750

Yield

4.67%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

The Old Forge House earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 61/100. Investment score 70/100 reflects strong fundamentals. Crime intensity is very low. Walkability is limited (5/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is freehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressDefra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)Walk ScoreONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

61/ 100

Mixed

Investment Score

70/ 100

High

Crime Score

10/ 100

Low

Walkability

5/ 100

Low

Transit & Bike

Transit 2Bike 10

Walk Score, out of 100

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence1 independent sourceListing checked 27 Oct 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Valuation edge2.5/15
claims [AVM +11.8% (HIGH), sold-comps +19.6%, £/sqft +19.7%] → measured edge +0.50pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (HIGH confidence) · snapshot 12 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 10012099286· as of 12 Oct 2026
- property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 9 comps, dispersion 18.5%· as of 28 Oct 2026
Rental economics0/40
gross yield 4.7%; range width penalty ×0.74
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1750/mo (range 1550-1950)· as of 12 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -742/mo, -42% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 27 Oct 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 33 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 27 Oct 2026
Risk & liquidity14.6/15
29 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 10%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£337,500£517,500

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£450,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£1,750/mo

Evidenced range £1,550-£1,950

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £148,800
Net cash flow: -£307/mo
Cash on cash: -2.5%
Score at this price: 17

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.15 - below the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 10012099286Valuation edge · as of 12 Oct 2026
property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 9 comps, dispersion 18.5%Valuation edge · as of 28 Oct 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1750/mo (range 1550-1950)Rental economics · as of 12 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 27 Oct 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 27 Oct 2026

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 1750/mo (range 1550-1950)
Seller motivation could not be scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 33 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge

Property risk deep-dive →

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Treat the gap to the estimate as unproven - compare recent sold prices on the street yourself before pricing an offer around it.
On later completions, homes listed below their estimate sold at the same share of the asking price as the rest.
3. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£510,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£1,750

Gross Yield4.67%

1y Growth-

3y Growth+4.9%

5y Growth-0.2%

10y Growth+1.8%

Last Sold Price£315,000 (2013-02-12)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceLow
RadonModerate
MiningLow
LandslideModerate
Air QualityLow
NoiseModerate

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

1EX37 9RG

Approval Rate

100%12mo

Development

low

82206
Outline application for conversion of pottery to a dwelling including access and appearance (Landscaping, Layout and Scale reserved)
Pending
82194
Notification of works to trees in a conservation area in respect of crown reduction of 1x Bay Tree
Approved
81474
Variation of conditions 2 (approved plans), 3 (materials), 5 (garaging use) , condition 6 (landscaping) and 9 (access, parking and turning area) attached to planning permission 78569 (Demolition of agricultural building and erection of one dwelling house and one detached garage Class C3 with parking and garden) to allow amended garage design and location and change to dwelling finished floor level
Approved

View Planning Timeline

Ownership

Corporate Ownership79.7%
Overseas OwnershipNo
Lease Term Remaining-
CovenantsRestrictive
Lease TypeFreehold
Last Ownership Change2013-02-12
SourceLand Registry

View Ownership Details

Connectivity

Broadband (Standard)

14 Mbps

Mobile 4G/5G Coverage

EEThreeO2Vodafone

EV Charger

PTAL Rating

View Connectivity Map

Area Profile

Median EarningsLocal authority£28,386

Population Density24 /km²

Owner Occupied75%

Age Distribution

0-15 15%16-64 56%65+ 29%

View Area Profile

Schools Nearby

Umberleigh Primary Academy
1.9 mi
Good
Filleigh Community Primary School
2.3 mi
Area grades2024
Inspected after Ofsted withdrew the single overall grade.
Swimbridge Church of England Primary School
3.0 mi
Good
High Bickington Church of England Primary Academy
3.9 mi
Report card2026
Ofsted no longer awards a single overall grade.

1 of 12 nearby schools with published figures were oversubscribed in 2026 - demand, not a catchment.

View All Schools

Comparables

View All

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The Vines
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Boundary data not available for this property

No registered title polygon, building footprint, or street match for this property yet.

Why: No HMLR INSPIRE / OSM footprint / OS Open USRN match for this UPRN

Source: HM Land Registry INSPIRE / OpenStreetMap / OS Open USRN