11 Bayleaf Avenue, Swindon, SN2 2RU

UPRN:100121116623Terrace Property1 bedsBuilt 1983-1990

FreeholdCouncil Tax: Band BEPC: D (64)

Data freshness:Planning· 4mo agoOwnership· freshEPC· 6mo agoRisk· 5mo agoConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 1mo agoAmenities· 2mo agoArea· Census 2021Council Tax· 1mo ago

HP Score

/ 100

Strong

Verdict

today

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Strong fundamentals; flood risk not assessed

Evidence

20 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£199,000

£189k - £209kHigh

Estimate

£199k

Range

£189k – £209k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£1,050

£950 - £1k

Monthly

£1,050

Yield

7.20%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

11 Bayleaf Avenue earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 77/100. Investment score 63/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Crime intensity is very low. Walkability is limited (49/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is freehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressDefra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)Walk ScoreONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry company ownershipHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry leasesHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

77/ 100

Strong

Investment Score

63/ 100

Moderate

Crime Score

6/ 100

Low

Walkability

49/ 100

Mixed

Transit & Bike

Transit 23Bike 52

Walk Score, out of 100

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Reduced confidence2 independent sourcesListing checked 4 Nov 2026

Fewer independent sources agree, or a component could not be scored.

Valuation edge1.4/15
claims [AVM +12.1% (HIGH), sold-comps +1.7%, £/sqft +1.7%] → measured edge +0.28pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (HIGH confidence) · snapshot 9 Nov 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 100121116623· as of 9 Nov 2026
- property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 12 comps, dispersion 8.3%· as of 29 Oct 2026
Rental economics16.1/40
gross yield 7.2%; range width penalty ×0.91
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1050/mo (range 950-1100)· as of 9 Nov 2026· verify before relying on this
- listing_factslisting text signals condition works - budget before trusting any yield· as of 4 Nov 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -97/mo, -9% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 4 Nov 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 50 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 4 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity14.6/15
384 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 10%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£131,000£201,000

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£175,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£1,050/mo

Evidenced range £950-£1,100

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £54,800
Net cash flow: £136/mo
Cash on cash: 3.0%
Score at this price: 32

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.78 - clears the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 100121116623Valuation edge · as of 9 Nov 2026
property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 12 comps, dispersion 8.3%Valuation edge · as of 29 Oct 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1050/mo (range 950-1100)Rental economics · as of 9 Nov 2026 · verify before relying on this
listing_factslisting text signals condition works - budget before trusting any yieldRental economics · as of 4 Nov 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 4 Nov 2026

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is reduced
fewer independent sources agree, or a component could not be scored
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 1050/mo (range 950-1100)
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
listing text signals condition works - budget before trusting any yield

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Treat the gap to the estimate as unproven - compare recent sold prices on the street yourself before pricing an offer around it.
On later completions, homes listed below their estimate sold at the same share of the asking price as the rest.
3. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£199,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£1,050

Gross Yield7.20%

1y Growth-

3y Growth+0.6%

5y Growth+3.9%

10y Growth+3.4%

Last Sold Price£123,500 (2017-01-06)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceSignificant
RadonLow
MiningUnknown
LandslideLow
Air QualityLow
NoiseModerate

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

0SN2 2RU

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

S/LDE/26/1324
Certificate of Lawfulness (existing) for the continued use as a Residential Dwelling (Class C3).
Pending
S/AMEND/26/1260
Non Material Amendment relating to swap the 1st floor side windows either side of the chimney from previous application S/HOU/26/0542.
Approved
S/HOU/26/1222
Erection of a single storey rear extension, garage extension and 1.8 metre high boundary fence.
Pending

View Planning Timeline

Ownership

Corporate Ownership58.2%
Overseas OwnershipNo
Lease Term Remaining-
CovenantsRestrictive
Lease TypeFreehold
Last Ownership Change2017-01-06
SourceLand Registry

View Ownership Details

Connectivity

Broadband (Standard)

4 Mbps

Mobile 4G/5G Coverage

EEThreeO2Vodafone

EV Charger

PTAL Rating

View Connectivity Map

Area Profile

Median EarningsLocal authority£33,135

Population Density5,457 /km²

Owner Occupied89%

Age Distribution

0-15 16%16-64 63%65+ 21%

View Area Profile

Schools Nearby

St Francis CofE Primary School
0.3 mi
Good
Haydonleigh Primary School
0.4 mi
Inspected as Haydonleigh Primary School (URN 126295) on 22 Jan 2019
Orchid Vale Primary School
0.5 mi
Good
Haydon Wick Primary School
0.5 mi
Outstanding

4 of 12 nearby schools with published figures were oversubscribed in 2026 - demand, not a catchment.

View All Schools

Comparables

View All

1 Bayleaf Avenue
-
£288k
-
8 Bayleaf Avenue
-
£188k
-
16 Bayleaf Avenue
-
£210k
-
12 Bayleaf Avenue
-
£207k
-

Boundary data not available for this property

No registered title polygon, building footprint, or street match for this property yet.

Why: No HMLR INSPIRE / OSM footprint / OS Open USRN match for this UPRN

Source: HM Land Registry INSPIRE / OpenStreetMap / OS Open USRN