Flat, 1 Churchill Way, Mitcheldean, GL17 0AZ

UPRN:100121243355End Terrace House3 bedsBuilt -

FreeholdCouncil Tax: Band AEPC: -

Data freshness:Listing· freshPlanning· 4mo agoOwnership· freshRisk· 5mo agoConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 1mo agoAmenities· 2mo agoArea· Census 2021Council Tax· 1mo ago

Flat, 1 Churchill Way, Mitcheldean, GL17 0AZ

HP Score

/ 100

Strong

Verdict

yesterday

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Strong fundamentals; flood risk not assessed

Evidence

18 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£205,000

£194k - £215kHigh

Estimate

£205k

Range

£194k – £215k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£950

£850 - £1k

Monthly

£950

Yield

5.56%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

Flat earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 76/100. Investment score 56/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Crime intensity is very low. Walkability is limited (61/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is freehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)Defra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)Walk ScoreONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry company ownershipHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry leasesHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

76/ 100

Strong

Investment Score

56/ 100

Moderate

Crime Score

5/ 100

Low

Walkability

61/ 100

Moderate

Transit & Bike

Transit 18Bike 27

Walk Score, out of 100

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence0 independent sourcesListing checked 6 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Valuation edge0/15
claims [AVM +0.0% (HIGH)] → measured edge +0.00pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (HIGH confidence) · snapshot 9 Nov 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 100121243355· as of 9 Nov 2026
Rental economics4/40
gross yield 5.6%; range width penalty ×0.88
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 950/mo (range 850-1000)· as of 9 Nov 2026· verify before relying on this
- listing_factslisting text signals condition works - budget before trusting any yield· as of 6 Nov 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -297/mo, -31% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 6 Nov 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 272 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 6 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity14.6/15
115 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 10%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£154,000£235,500

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£205,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£950/mo

Evidenced range £850-£1,000

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £64,400
Net cash flow: -£34/mo
Cash on cash: -0.6%
Score at this price: 19

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.37 - clears the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 100121243355Valuation edge · as of 9 Nov 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 950/mo (range 850-1000)Rental economics · as of 9 Nov 2026 · verify before relying on this
listing_factslisting text signals condition works - budget before trusting any yieldRental economics · as of 6 Nov 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 6 Nov 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 6 Nov 2026

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 950/mo (range 850-1000)
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
listing text signals condition works - budget before trusting any yield

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Treat the gap to the estimate as unproven - compare recent sold prices on the street yourself before pricing an offer around it.
On later completions, homes listed below their estimate sold at the same share of the asking price as the rest.
3. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£205,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£950

Gross Yield5.56%

1y Growth-20.5%

3y Growth-5.8%

5y Growth+0.8%

10y Growth+4.1%

Last Sold Price-

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceLow
RadonModerate
MiningSignificant
LandslideModerate
Air QualityLow
NoiseLow

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

0GL17 0AZ

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

P1099/26/FUL
Change of use of sports and social club to pool and snooker hall incorporating existing bar and associated facilities
Pending
P0891/26/FUL
Construction of new permacrib retaining wall in front of existing collapsed permacrib wall. (Retrospective)
Approved
P0776/26/FUL
Construction of a hipped roof to replace flat roof on rear extension.
Approved

View Planning Timeline

Ownership

Corporate Ownership79%
Overseas OwnershipNo
Lease Term Remaining-
CovenantsRestrictive
Lease TypeFreehold
Last Ownership Change-
SourceLand Registry

View Ownership Details

Connectivity

Broadband (Standard)

6 Mbps

Mobile 4G/5G Coverage

EEThreeO2Vodafone

EV Charger

PTAL Rating

View Connectivity Map

Area Profile

Median EarningsLocal authority£36,589

Population Density893 /km²

Owner Occupied59%

Age Distribution

0-15 21%16-64 60%65+ 19%

View Area Profile

Schools Nearby

Mitcheldean Endowed Primary School
0.2 mi
Good
Dene Magna and Sixth Form
0.6 mi
Area grades2024
Inspected after Ofsted withdrew the single overall grade.
Drybrook Primary School
1.4 mi
Area grades2024
Inspected after Ofsted withdrew the single overall grade.
Hope Brook CofE Primary School
1.6 mi
Inspected as Hope Brook CofE Primary School (URN 133395) on 6 Jul 2021

3 of 15 nearby schools with published figures were oversubscribed in 2026 - demand, not a catchment.

View All Schools

Comparables

View All

20 Churchill Way
-
£215k
-
14 Churchill Way
-
£220k
-
4 Churchill Way
-
£208k
-
29 Churchill Way
-
£175k
-

Boundary data not available for this property

No registered title polygon, building footprint, or street match for this property yet.

Why: No HMLR INSPIRE / OSM footprint / OS Open USRN match for this UPRN

Source: HM Land Registry INSPIRE / OpenStreetMap / OS Open USRN