Fairlea, Church Lane, Abenhall, Mitcheldean, GL17 0DX

UPRN:100121243386Detached House5 bedsBuilt 2007-2011

FreeholdCouncil Tax: Band EEPC: D (66)

Data freshness:Listing· freshPlanning· 4mo agoOwnership· 1mo agoEPC· 6mo agoRisk· 5mo agoConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 1mo agoAmenities· 2mo agoArea· Census 2021

Fairlea, Church Lane, Abenhall, Mitcheldean, GL17 0DX

HP Score

/ 100

Mixed

Verdict

yesterday

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Mixed signals - investigate

Evidence

19 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£873,000

£786k - £961kMedium

Estimate

£873k

Range

£786k – £961k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£2,850

£3k - £3k

Monthly

£2,850

Yield

3.60%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

Fairlea earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 63/100. Investment score 54/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Crime intensity is very low. Walkability is limited (2/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is freehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressDefra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)Walk ScoreONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry company ownershipHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

63/ 100

Mixed

Investment Score

54/ 100

Moderate

Crime Score

3/ 100

Low

Walkability

2/ 100

Low

Transit & Bike

Transit 4Bike 13

Walk Score, out of 100

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence0 independent sourcesLead to verifyListing checked 9 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Check before relying on this score: the advert has 8 bedrooms but the valuation snapshot describes 5 - an extension, conversion or HMO the evidence does not reflect, or a different home. It ranks after every home whose inputs are verified.

Valuation edge0/15
claims [AVM -8.8% (MEDIUM)] → measured edge +0.00pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (MEDIUM confidence) · snapshot 10 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 100121243386· as of 10 Oct 2026
Rental economics0/40
gross yield 3.6%; range width penalty ×0.71
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 2850/mo (range 2500-3200)· as of 10 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -2,043/mo, -72% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 9 Nov 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 75 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 9 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity12.8/15
115 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 20%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£712,500£1,092,500

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£950,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£2,850/mo

Evidenced range £2,500-£3,200

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £325,050
Net cash flow: -£1,233/mo
Cash on cash: -4.6%
Score at this price: 13

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 0.89 - below the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 100121243386Valuation edge · as of 10 Oct 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 2850/mo (range 2500-3200)Rental economics · as of 10 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 9 Nov 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 9 Nov 2026
property_intelligencetransactions_12moRisk & liquidity

Sold comparables in depth

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 2850/mo (range 2500-3200)
Seller motivation could not be scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 75 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge

Property risk deep-dive →

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£873,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£2,850

Gross Yield3.60%

1y Growth+7.8%

3y Growth-5.8%

5y Growth+0.8%

10y Growth+4.1%

Last Sold Price£770,000 (2024-01-05)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceLow
RadonLow
MiningSignificant
LandslideModerate
Air QualityLow
NoiseBelow 40 dB

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

0GL17 0DX

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

P1211/26/LD1
Application under section 191 to establish whether continued occupation of building as a C3 dwelling in breach of occupation condition (d) of P9211/79/FUL is lawful.
Pending
P1133/26/DISCON
Discharge of conditions 02 (noise) and 03 (flood plan) relating to Planning Application P0410/26/COU.
Pending
P0410/26/COU
Change of use from private dwelling to Holiday Let (retrospective)
Approved

View Planning Timeline

Ownership

Corporate Ownership79%
Overseas OwnershipNo
Lease Term Remaining-
CovenantsRestrictive
Lease TypeFreehold
Last Ownership Change2024-01-05
SourceLand Registry

View Ownership Details

Connectivity

Broadband (Standard)

1 Mbps

Mobile 4G/5G Coverage

EEThreeO2Vodafone

EV Charger

PTAL Rating

View Connectivity Map

Area Profile

Median EarningsLocal authority£36,589

Population Density170 /km²

Owner Occupied87%

Age Distribution

0-15 16%16-64 59%65+ 25%

View Area Profile

Schools Nearby

Dene Magna and Sixth Form
1.0 mi
Area grades2024
Inspected after Ofsted withdrew the single overall grade.
Mitcheldean Endowed Primary School
1.3 mi
Good
SGS Forest High School
1.4 mi
Report card2026
Ofsted no longer awards a single overall grade.
Forest View Primary School
1.5 mi
Inspected as Forest View Primary School (URN 115517) on 12 Sep 2011

3 of 15 nearby schools with published figures were oversubscribed in 2026 - demand, not a catchment.

View All Schools

Comparables

View All

Wren Cottage Abenhall Road
-
£45k
-
Robin Cottage Abenhall Road
-
£55k
-
Fairlea Church Lane
-
£770k
-
Rock Haven Church Lane
-
£960k
-

Boundary data not available for this property

No registered title polygon, building footprint, or street match for this property yet.

Why: No HMLR INSPIRE / OSM footprint / OS Open USRN match for this UPRN

Source: HM Land Registry INSPIRE / OpenStreetMap / OS Open USRN