Carswell, Rye Hill Road, Harlow, CM18 7JG

UPRN:10012163261Detached Bungalow3 bedsBuilt 1950-1966

FreeholdCouncil Tax: Band GEPC: E (54)

Data freshness:Planning· 4mo agoOwnership· 1mo agoEPC· 6mo agoRisk· 5mo agoConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 1mo agoAmenities· 2mo agoArea· Census 2021

Carswell, Rye Hill Road, Harlow, CM18 7JG

HP Score

/ 100

Mixed

Verdict

5 days ago

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Mixed signals - investigate

Evidence

17 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£886,000

£797k - £974kMedium

Estimate

£886k

Range

£797k – £974k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£3,950

£4k - £4k

Monthly

£3,950

Yield

5.58%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

Carswell earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 58/100. Investment score 54/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Crime intensity is low. Walkability is limited (3/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is freehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressDefra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)Walk ScoreONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

58/ 100

Mixed

Investment Score

54/ 100

Moderate

Crime Score

28/ 100

Moderate

Walkability

3/ 100

Low

Transit & Bike

Transit 25Bike 23

Walk Score, out of 100

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence0 independent sourcesLead to verifyListing checked 3 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Check before relying on this score: the advert has 5 bedrooms but the valuation snapshot describes 3 - an extension, conversion or HMO the evidence does not reflect, or a different home. It ranks after every home whose inputs are verified.

Valuation edge0/15
claims [AVM +4.1% (MEDIUM), sold-comps -39.8%, £/sqft -39.8%] → measured edge +0.00pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (MEDIUM confidence) · snapshot 13 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 10012163261· as of 13 Oct 2026
- property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 12 comps, dispersion 24.2%· as of 8 Nov 2026
Rental economics3.9/40
gross yield 5.6%; range width penalty ×0.85
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 3950/mo (range 3600-4300)· as of 13 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -813/mo, -21% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 3 Nov 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 1 price cut(s), 403 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 3 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity12.8/15
206 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 20%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£637,500£977,500

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£850,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£3,950/mo

Evidenced range £3,600-£4,300

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £288,800
Net cash flow: -£134/mo
Cash on cash: -0.6%
Score at this price: 17

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.38 - clears the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 10012163261Valuation edge · as of 13 Oct 2026
property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 12 comps, dispersion 24.2%Valuation edge · as of 8 Nov 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 3950/mo (range 3600-4300)Rental economics · as of 13 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 3 Nov 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 3 Nov 2026

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 3950/mo (range 3600-4300)
Seller motivation could not be scored
context, not scored: 1 price cut(s), 403 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge

Property risk deep-dive →

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Ask the agent why the price was reduced and whether a previous sale fell through.
1 price cut(s) recorded on the listing history.
3. Treat the gap to the estimate as unproven - compare recent sold prices on the street yourself before pricing an offer around it.
On later completions, homes listed below their estimate sold at the same share of the asking price as the rest.
4. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£886,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£3,950

Gross Yield5.58%

1y Growth-

3y Growth+1.3%

5y Growth+2.9%

10y Growth+3.1%

Last Sold Price£720,000 (2019-11-13)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceSignificant
RadonLow
MiningUnknown
LandslideLow
Air QualityLow
NoiseLow

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

0CM18 7JG

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

EPF/2041/26
Certificate of Lawful Development for proposed ancillary outbuilding.
Pending
EPF/1965/26
Approval of Details Reserved by Conditions 3 Biodiversity Enhancement Statement, 4 Hard and Soft Landscaping and 5 Surface Water Drainage of EPF/2071/25 Allowed on Appeal (Retrospective application for retention of 3 dwellings with amendments, including removal of plant room, reduction of curtilage, replacement of fencing, revised landscaping and biodiversity enhancements).
Pending
HW/LDCP/26/00386
Proposed use of the existing dwelling for supported living and care to be provided to young adults between the ages of 16-25
Pending

View Planning Timeline

Ownership

Corporate Ownership59.8%
Overseas OwnershipNo
Lease Term Remaining-
CovenantsRestrictive
Lease TypeFreehold
Last Ownership Change2019-11-13
SourceLand Registry

View Ownership Details

Connectivity

Broadband (Standard)

16 Mbps

Mobile 4G/5G Coverage

EEThreeO2Vodafone

EV Charger

PTAL Rating

View Connectivity Map

Area Profile

Median EarningsLocal authority£38,171

Population Density81 /km²

Owner Occupied79%

Age Distribution

0-15 17%16-64 62%65+ 21%

View Area Profile

Schools Nearby

St James Church of England Primary School
0.7 mi
Good
Longwood Primary Academy
0.8 mi
Good
The Greenwell Academy
0.8 mi
Report card2026
Ofsted no longer awards a single overall grade.
Beckmead Moundwood Academy
0.9 mi
Area grades2024
Inspected after Ofsted withdrew the single overall grade.

1 of 12 nearby schools with published figures were oversubscribed in 2026 - demand, not a catchment.

View All Schools

Comparables

View All

Whipps Cottage Rye Hill
-
£715k
-
Carswell Rye Hill Road
-
£720k
-
Webbs Cottage Rye Hill
-
£820k
-
Rye Hill House Rye Hill
-
£1.10M
-

Boundary data not available for this property

No registered title polygon, building footprint, or street match for this property yet.

Why: No HMLR INSPIRE / OSM footprint / OS Open USRN match for this UPRN

Source: HM Land Registry INSPIRE / OpenStreetMap / OS Open USRN