The Old Cottage, Stanford Rivers Road, Ongar, CM5 9BT

UPRN:10012164248Detached House2 bedsBuilt before 1900

FreeholdCouncil Tax: Band EEPC: E (43)

Data freshness:Listing· freshOwnership· 1mo agoEPC· 6mo agoRisk· 5mo agoConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 1mo agoAmenities· 2mo agoArea· Census 2021

The Old Cottage, Stanford Rivers Road, Ongar, CM5 9BT

HP Score

/ 100

Mixed

Verdict

3 days ago

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Mixed signals - investigate

Evidence

18 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£890,000

£845k - £934kHigh

Estimate

£890k

Range

£845k – £934k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£3,350

£3k - £4k

Monthly

£3,350

Yield

4.47%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

The Old Cottage earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 70/100. Investment score 58/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Crime intensity is very low. Walkability is limited (40/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is freehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)Defra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)Walk ScoreONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry company ownershipHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

70/ 100

Mixed

Investment Score

58/ 100

Moderate

Crime Score

10/ 100

Low

Walkability

40/ 100

Mixed

Transit & Bike

Transit 8Bike 32

Walk Score, out of 100

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence0 independent sourcesListing checked 6 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Valuation edge0/15
claims [AVM -1.1% (HIGH), sold-comps -132.0%, £/sqft -132.0%] → measured edge +0.00pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (HIGH confidence) · snapshot 10 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 10012164248· as of 10 Oct 2026
- property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 6 comps, dispersion 1.6%· as of 23 Oct 2026
Rental economics0/40
gross yield 4.5%; range width penalty ×0.78
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 3350/mo (range 3000-3700)· as of 10 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -1,465/mo, -44% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 6 Nov 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 157 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 6 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity14.6/15
93 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 10%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£675,000£1,035,000

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£900,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£3,350/mo

Evidenced range £3,000-£3,700

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £306,300
Net cash flow: -£718/mo
Cash on cash: -2.8%
Score at this price: 15

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.10 - below the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 10012164248Valuation edge · as of 10 Oct 2026
property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 6 comps, dispersion 1.6%Valuation edge · as of 23 Oct 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 3350/mo (range 3000-3700)Rental economics · as of 10 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 6 Nov 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 6 Nov 2026

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 3350/mo (range 3000-3700)
Seller motivation could not be scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 157 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge

Property risk deep-dive →

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£890,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£3,350

Gross Yield4.47%

1y Growth-

3y Growth+0.3%

5y Growth+0.2%

10y Growth+3.0%

Last Sold Price-

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceSignificant
RadonLow
MiningUnknown
LandslideLow
Air QualityLow
NoiseModerate

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

8CM5 9BT

Approval Rate

100%12mo

Development

high

EPF/2112/26
Certificate of Lawful Development for proposed single storey rear extension and loft conversion with rear dormer.
Pending
EPF/2071/26
Chipping Ongar Conservation Area T1 & T2: Maple - Crown reduce to previous points. T3: Weeping Willow - Crown reduce to previous points.
Pending
EPF/2034/26
Approval of Details Reserved by Condition 3 Additional Details of EPF/0063/14 (Proposed extensions to existing bungalow, including provision of first floor accommodation; extension to existing detached annexe; demolition of two outbuildings; extension to residential curtilage; garage block, swimming pool, changing room and pump room).
Pending

View Planning Timeline