11 Bakers Mill, Elmswell, Bury St. Edmunds, IP30 9HU

UPRN:10012170938End Terrace House2 bedsBuilt 2003-2006

FreeholdCouncil Tax: Band BEPC: C (76)

Data freshness:Listing· freshPlanning· 4mo agoOwnership· freshEPC· 6mo agoRisk· 5mo agoConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 1mo agoAmenities· 2mo agoArea· Census 2021Council Tax· 5mo ago

11 Bakers Mill, Elmswell, Bury St. Edmunds, IP30 9HU

HP Score

/ 100

Mixed

Verdict

today

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Mixed signals - investigate

Evidence

18 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£222,000

£210k - £233kHigh

Estimate

£222k

Range

£210k – £233k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£950

£850 - £1k

Monthly

£950

Yield

5.43%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

11 Bakers Mill earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 74/100. Investment score 67/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Crime intensity is low. Walkability is limited (56/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is freehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressDefra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)Walk ScoreONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

74/ 100

Mixed

Investment Score

67/ 100

Moderate

Crime Score

18/ 100

Moderate

Walkability

56/ 100

Moderate

Transit & Bike

Transit 24Bike 45

Walk Score, out of 100

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence1 independent sourceListing checked 6 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Valuation edge2.5/15
claims [AVM +5.4% (HIGH), sold-comps +13.9%, £/sqft +13.8%] → measured edge +0.50pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (HIGH confidence) · snapshot 10 Nov 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 10012170938· as of 10 Nov 2026
- property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 12 comps, dispersion 8.8%· as of 24 Oct 2026
Rental economics3/40
gross yield 5.4%; range width penalty ×0.88
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 950/mo (range 850-1000)· as of 10 Nov 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -318/mo, -33% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 6 Nov 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 1 price cut(s), 358 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 6 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity14.6/15
163 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 10%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£157,500£241,500

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£210,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£950/mo

Evidenced range £850-£1,000

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £66,000
Net cash flow: -£51/mo
Cash on cash: -0.9%
Score at this price: 20

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.34 - clears the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 10012170938Valuation edge · as of 10 Nov 2026
property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 12 comps, dispersion 8.8%Valuation edge · as of 24 Oct 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 950/mo (range 850-1000)Rental economics · as of 10 Nov 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 6 Nov 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 6 Nov 2026

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 950/mo (range 850-1000)
Seller motivation could not be scored
context, not scored: 1 price cut(s), 358 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge

Property risk deep-dive →

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Ask the agent why the price was reduced and whether a previous sale fell through.
1 price cut(s) recorded on the listing history.
3. Treat the gap to the estimate as unproven - compare recent sold prices on the street yourself before pricing an offer around it.
On later completions, homes listed below their estimate sold at the same share of the asking price as the rest.
4. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£222,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£950

Gross Yield5.43%

1y Growth-9.3%

3y Growth-1.3%

5y Growth+1.7%

10y Growth+3.2%

Last Sold Price£225,250 (2022-06-30)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceModerate
RadonLow
MiningLow
LandslideLow
Air QualityLow
NoiseModerate

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

0IP30 9HU

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

DC/26/04595
Application for Works to Trees subject to Tree Preservation Order WS47/A2 - Fell leaning holly Trees (G1), Lift crown of 1 no. Yew (T1) to approximately 15ft, Fell 1 No. Laurel (T2), Fell 1 No. Holly (T3), Lift crown of 1 No. Yew (T4) to approximately 20ft, Remove leaning mid range limb from 1 No. Holly (T5) and coppice 1 No. Holly (T6)
Pending
DC/26/04466
Planning Application - Erection of 2 houses and associated landscaping following demolition of existing outbuilding and swimming pool.
Pending
DC/26/04405
Householder Application - Erection of porch to front and associated alterations to fenestration
Pending

View Planning Timeline

Ownership

Corporate Ownership67.9%
Overseas OwnershipNo
Lease Term Remaining-
CovenantsRestrictive
Lease TypeFreehold
Last Ownership Change2022-06-30
SourceLand Registry

View Ownership Details

Connectivity

Broadband (Standard)

18 Mbps

Mobile 4G/5G Coverage

EEThreeO2Vodafone

EV Charger

PTAL Rating

View Connectivity Map

Area Profile

Median EarningsLocal authority£31,507

Population Density-

Owner Occupied83%

Age Distribution

0-15 20%16-64 62%65+ 18%

View Area Profile

Schools Nearby

Elmswell Community Primary School
0.3 mi
-
Woolpit Primary Academy
1.3 mi
Good
Thurston Church of England Primary Academy
2.1 mi
Area grades2024
Inspected after Ofsted withdrew the single overall grade.
Norton CEVC Primary School
2.2 mi
Area grades2024
Inspected after Ofsted withdrew the single overall grade.

3 of 13 nearby schools with published figures were oversubscribed in 2026 - demand, not a catchment.

View All Schools

Comparables

View All

15 Bakers Mill
-
£236k
-
10 Bakers Mill
-
£299k
-
8 Bakers Mill
-
£295k
-
11 Bakers Mill
-
£225k
-

Boundary data not available for this property

No registered title polygon, building footprint, or street match for this property yet.

Why: No HMLR INSPIRE / OSM footprint / OS Open USRN match for this UPRN

Source: HM Land Registry INSPIRE / OpenStreetMap / OS Open USRN