Flat 15, 2 Southern Street, Manchester, M3 4NJ

UPRN:10012208627Flat/Maisonette1 bedsBuilt 1996-2002

LeaseholdCouncil Tax: -EPC: C (72)

Data freshness:Listing· freshPlanning· 4mo agoOwnership· freshEPC· 6mo agoRisk· 5mo agoConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 1mo agoAmenities· 2mo agoArea· Census 2021

Flat 15, 2 Southern Street, Manchester, M3 4NJ

HP Score

/ 100

Strong

Verdict

3 days ago

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Strong fundamentals; flood risk not assessed

Evidence

20 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£158,000

£142k - £173kMedium

Estimate

£158k

Range

£142k – £173k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£1,000

£950 - £1k

Monthly

£1,000

Yield

7.50%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

Flat 15 earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 85/100. Investment score 63/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Walkability is excellent (97/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is leasehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressDefra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)Walk ScoreONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry company ownershipHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry leasesHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

85/ 100

Strong

Investment Score

63/ 100

Moderate

Crime Score

No data

Walkability

97/ 100

Excellent

Transit & Bike

Transit 98Bike 53

Walk Score, out of 100

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence1 independent sourceListing checked 11 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Valuation edge0/15
claims [AVM -1.3% (MEDIUM)] → measured edge +0.00pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (MEDIUM confidence) · snapshot 9 Nov 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 10012208627· as of 9 Nov 2026
Rental economics20/40
gross yield 7.5%; range width penalty ×1.00
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1000/mo (range 950-1050)· as of 9 Nov 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -184/mo, -18% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; disclosed service charge and ground rent); fails the stress - earns nothing
- listing_factsservice charge / ground rent from the advert· as of 11 Nov 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 40 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 11 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity12.9/15
456 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 20%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£120,000£184,000

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£160,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£1,000/mo

Evidenced range £950-£1,050

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £50,000
Net cash flow: £152/mo
Cash on cash: 3.7%
Score at this price: 33

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.85 - clears the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 10012208627Valuation edge · as of 9 Nov 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1000/mo (range 950-1050)Rental economics · as of 9 Nov 2026 · verify before relying on this
listing_factsservice charge / ground rent from the advertStress margin · as of 11 Nov 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 11 Nov 2026
property_intelligencetransactions_12moRisk & liquidity

Sold comparables in depth

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 1000/mo (range 950-1050)
Seller motivation could not be scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 40 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge

Property risk deep-dive →

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£158,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£1,000

Gross Yield7.50%

1y Growth-2.0%

3y Growth+6.3%

5y Growth+3.4%

10y Growth+6.0%

Last Sold Price£172,500 (2024-10-18)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceLow
RadonLow
MiningUnknown
LandslideLow
Air QualityLow
NoiseHigh

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

0M3 4NJ

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

PLA-2026-001835
Alterations to shopfront including replacement of door.
Pending
OTH-2026-002259
Discharge of Conditions 3 (Signage), 5 (Wall Repairs) and 6 (Plumbing) attached Listed Building Consent application PLA-2026-000757.
Pending
PLA-2026-001804
Installation of CCTV, public address systems and external lighting.
Pending

View Planning Timeline