20 Elm Park Drive, Ainsdale, Southport, PR8 3HA

UPRN:10012344355Detached House4 bedsBuilt 1996-2002

LeaseholdCouncil Tax: Band EEPC: D (67)

Data freshness:Listing· freshPrice Paid· freshPlanning· 4mo agoEPC· 6mo agoRisk· 5mo agoConnectivity· 1mo agoAmenities· 1mo agoArea· Census 2021

20 Elm Park Drive, Ainsdale, Southport, PR8 3HA

HP Score

/ 100

Strong

Verdict

3 days ago

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Strong fundamentals; flood risk not assessed

Evidence

20 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£402,000

£382k - £422kHigh

Estimate

£402k

Range

£382k – £422k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£2,050

£2k - £2k

Monthly

£2,050

Yield

6.15%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

20 Elm Park Drive earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 76/100. Investment score 64/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Crime intensity is low. Walkability is limited (59/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is leasehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressDefra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)Walk ScoreONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry company ownershipHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry leasesHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

76/ 100

Strong

Investment Score

64/ 100

Moderate

Crime Score

16/ 100

Moderate

Walkability

59/ 100

Moderate

Transit & Bike

Transit 16Bike 29

Walk Score, out of 100

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence0 independent sourcesListing checked 30 Oct 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Valuation edge0/15
claims [AVM +0.5% (HIGH)] → measured edge +0.00pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (HIGH confidence) · snapshot 9 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 10012344355· as of 9 Oct 2026
Rental economics8.4/40
gross yield 6.2%; range width penalty ×0.91
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 2050/mo (range 1900-2200)· as of 9 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -311/mo, -15% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 30 Oct 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 1 price cut(s), 460 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 30 Oct 2026
Risk & liquidity14.6/15
616 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 10%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£300,000£460,000

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£399,950

At the asking price

Monthly rent£2,050/mo

Evidenced range £1,900-£2,200

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £131,283
Net cash flow: £69/mo
Cash on cash: 0.6%
Score at this price: 23

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.52 - clears the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 10012344355Valuation edge · as of 9 Oct 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 2050/mo (range 1900-2200)Rental economics · as of 9 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 30 Oct 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 30 Oct 2026
property_intelligencetransactions_12moRisk & liquidity

Sold comparables in depth

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 2050/mo (range 1900-2200)
Seller motivation could not be scored
context, not scored: 1 price cut(s), 460 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge

Property risk deep-dive →

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Ask the agent why the price was reduced and whether a previous sale fell through.
1 price cut(s) recorded on the listing history.
3. Treat the gap to the estimate as unproven - compare recent sold prices on the street yourself before pricing an offer around it.
On later completions, homes listed below their estimate sold at the same share of the asking price as the rest.
4. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£402,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£2,050

Gross Yield6.15%

1y Growth-

3y Growth+1.2%

5y Growth+2.5%

10y Growth+3.5%

Last Sold Price£210,000 (2011-05-19)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceModerate
RadonLow
MiningUnknown
LandslideLow
Air QualityLow
NoiseLow

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

0PR8 3HA

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

DC/2026/01776
Prior approval submission for a proposed rear extension projecting 3.11m metres from the rear wall of the original dwellinghouse with a height of 2.75 metres at the eaves and a maximum height of 2.48 metres (Valid from 19.10.2026)
Pending
DC/2026/01807
Conversion of commercial property to 4.no flats.
Pending
DC/2026/01211
Proposing to demolish existing outrigger and glass lean to and extend out from the rear of the existing house by 4 metres.
Pending

View Planning Timeline

Ownership

Corporate Ownership70%
Overseas OwnershipNo
Lease Term Remaining999+ yrs
CovenantsRestrictive
Lease TypeLeasehold
Last Ownership Change2011-05-19
SourceLand Registry

View Ownership Details

Connectivity

Broadband (Standard)

16 Mbps

Mobile 4G/5G Coverage

EEThreeO2Vodafone

EV Charger

PTAL Rating

View Connectivity Map

Area Profile

Median EarningsLocal authority£31,884

Population Density78 /km²

Owner Occupied84%

Age Distribution

0-15 15%16-64 57%65+ 28%

View Area Profile

Schools Nearby

Ainsdale St John's Church of England Primary School
0.3 mi
Report card2026
Ofsted no longer awards a single overall grade.
Birkdale High School
0.7 mi
Report card2026
Ofsted no longer awards a single overall grade.
Kings Meadow Primary School and Early Years Education Centre
0.8 mi
Good
Merefield School
0.9 mi
-

4 of 13 nearby schools with published figures were oversubscribed in 2026 - demand, not a catchment.

View All Schools

Comparables

View All

2 Elm Park Drive
-
£305k
-
18 Elm Park Drive
-
£340k
-
15 Elm Park Drive
-
£320k
-
11 Elm Park Drive
-
£330k
-

Boundary data not available for this property

No registered title polygon, building footprint, or street match for this property yet.

Why: No HMLR INSPIRE / OSM footprint / OS Open USRN match for this UPRN

Source: HM Land Registry INSPIRE / OpenStreetMap / OS Open USRN