38 Vines Cross Way, Skelmersdale, WN8 6HP

UPRN:10012364410Semi-Detached House3 bedsBuilt 2023

FreeholdCouncil Tax: Band CEPC: B (84)

Data freshness:Listing· freshPlanning· 4mo agoOwnership· freshEPC· 6mo agoRisk· 5mo agoConnectivity· 1mo agoAmenities· 2mo agoArea· Census 2021Council Tax· 1mo ago

38 Vines Cross Way, Skelmersdale, WN8 6HP

HP Score

/ 100

Mixed

Verdict

yesterday

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Mixed signals - investigate

Evidence

20 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£239,000

£227k - £251kHigh

Estimate

£239k

Range

£227k – £251k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£1,450

£1k - £2k

Monthly

£1,450

Yield

7.10%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

38 Vines Cross Way earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 72/100. Investment score 69/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Crime intensity is very low. Walkability is limited (26/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is freehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressDefra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)Walk ScoreONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry company ownershipHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry leasesHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

72/ 100

Mixed

Investment Score

69/ 100

Moderate

Crime Score

14/ 100

Low

Walkability

26/ 100

Low

Transit & Bike

Transit 10Bike 21

Walk Score, out of 100

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence1 independent sourceListing checked 11 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Valuation edge0/15
claims [AVM -2.5% (HIGH)] → measured edge +0.00pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (HIGH confidence) · snapshot 13 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 10012364410· as of 13 Oct 2026
Rental economics16.7/40
gross yield 7.1%; range width penalty ×0.99
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1450/mo (range 1350-1500)· as of 13 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -98/mo, -7% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 11 Nov 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 267 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 11 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity14.6/15
507 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 10%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£184,000£282,000

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£245,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£1,450/mo

Evidenced range £1,350-£1,500

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £77,200
Net cash flow: £177/mo
Cash on cash: 2.8%
Score at this price: 31

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.75 - clears the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 10012364410Valuation edge · as of 13 Oct 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1450/mo (range 1350-1500)Rental economics · as of 13 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 11 Nov 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 11 Nov 2026
property_intelligencetransactions_12moRisk & liquidity

Sold comparables in depth

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 1450/mo (range 1350-1500)
Seller motivation could not be scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 267 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge

Property risk deep-dive →

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£239,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£1,450

Gross Yield7.10%

1y Growth-

3y Growth+0.6%

5y Growth+1.2%

10y Growth+2.2%

Last Sold Price£222,995 (2023-02-28)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceLow
RadonModerate
MiningUnknown
LandslideLow
Air QualityLow
NoiseLow

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

0WN8 6HP

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

2026/0856/LDC
Certificate of Lawfulness - Use of buildings for domestic storage and land for residential amenity purposes associated with the dwelling known as Brymar, Higher Lane, Dalton, WN8 7RP.
Pending
2026/0633/FUL
Retrospective construction of agricultural storage shed for agricultural tending equipment. The request is for a wooden structure that is 7 foot by 7 foot with an enclosed wooden roof covered with bitumen felt. There will be 2 wooden access doors to enter the structure.
Approved
2026/0604/LDC
Certificate of Lawfulness - Relating to the use of the site edged red on Plan 1. The buildings have been, and continue to be, used for domestic storage purposes, the land has been, and continues to be, used as residential amenity, both ancillary to the dwelling known as Brymar, Higher Lane, Dalton, WN8 7RP.
Rejected

View Planning Timeline

Ownership

Corporate Ownership73.2%
Overseas OwnershipNo
Lease Term Remaining-
CovenantsRestrictive
Lease TypeFreehold
Last Ownership Change2023-02-28
SourceLand Registry

View Ownership Details

Connectivity

Broadband (Standard)

22 Mbps

Mobile 4G/5G Coverage

EEThreeO2Vodafone

EV Charger

PTAL Rating

View Connectivity Map

Area Profile

Median EarningsLocal authority£31,884

Population Density2,103 /km²

Owner Occupied90%

Age Distribution

0-15 16%16-64 68%65+ 16%

View Area Profile

Schools Nearby

Maharishi Free School
0.1 mi
Area grades2025
Inspected after Ofsted withdrew the single overall grade.
St James' Catholic Primary School, Skelmersdale
0.5 mi
Good
Dalton St Michael's Church of England Primary School
0.7 mi
Good
Our Lady Queen of Peace Catholic High School
0.7 mi
Inspected as Our Lady Queen of Peace Catholic Engineering College (URN 119782) on 23 Apr 2025

5 of 13 nearby schools with published figures were oversubscribed in 2026 - demand, not a catchment.

View All Schools

Comparables

View All

74 Vines Cross Way
-
£264k
-
76 Vines Cross Way
-
£264k
-
84 Vines Cross Way
-
£86k
-
82 Vines Cross Way
-
£108k
-

Boundary data not available for this property

No registered title polygon, building footprint, or street match for this property yet.

Why: No HMLR INSPIRE / OSM footprint / OS Open USRN match for this UPRN

Source: HM Land Registry INSPIRE / OpenStreetMap / OS Open USRN