Data freshness:●Price Paid· freshPrice Paid: fresh, refreshed 3d ago (2026-11-01T07:37:52.921687+00:00)●Planning· 4mo agoPlanning: stale, refreshed 4mo ago (2026-07-10T08:15:07.701187+00:00)●EPC· 6mo agoEPC: stale, refreshed 6mo ago (2026-05-20T10:58:39.129138+00:00)●Risk· 5mo agoRisk: stale, refreshed 5mo ago (2026-06-18T00:00:00+00:00)●Connectivity· 1mo agoConnectivity: ageing, refreshed 1mo ago (2026-10-03T06:43:10.905825+00:00)●Amenities· 1mo agoAmenities: ageing, refreshed 1mo ago (2026-09-23T00:00:00+00:00)●Area· Census 2021Area: static reference data (Census 2021); authoritative and does not refresh
HP Score
79
/ 100
Strong
Verdict
3 days ago
Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Strong fundamentals; flood risk not assessed
Evidence
18 of 21 sources
Sale Estimate
£234,000
£222k - £245kHigh
Estimate
£234k
Range
£222k – £245k
Rent Estimate (pcm)
£1,550
£2k - £2k
Monthly
£1,550
Yield
9.54%
Verdict
Derived from HomePortfolio scores
4 Ferndale earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 79/100. Investment score 69/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Crime intensity is very low. Walkability is good (72/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is freehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.
Application for Tree Works: Works to Trees Subject to a Tree Preservation Order (TPO). 4T - Sycamore – remove due to risks of deadwood falling onto traffic. 3T - Sycamore - remove defective branch.
Pending
260639
Demolish existing detached garage and erect single storey rear / side extension
Pending
260610
Application for Tree Works: Works to Trees Subject to a Tree Preservation Order (TPO). TPO259 - T1 - Sycamore - 2m crown reduction - reduce shading. TPO258 -T2 - Sycamore - 2m crown reduction - reduce shading.
Low confidence0 independent sourcesLead to verifyListing checked 28 Oct 2026
This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.
Check before relying on this score: the estimate sits 17% above the ask. It ranks after every home whose inputs are verified.
Valuation edge0/15
claims [AVM +16.7% (HIGH), sold-comps -1.0%, £/sqft -1.2%] → measured edge +0.00pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (HIGH confidence) · snapshot 9 Oct 2026
valuation_snapshotsestimate for 10012834259· as of 9 Oct 2026
property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 12 comps, dispersion 22.1%· as of 21 Oct 2026
Rental economics36.3/40
gross yield 9.5%; range width penalty ×1.00; the estimate this rent rides on sits 17% above the ask - check the rent describes the advertised home
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1550/mo (range 1500-1650)· as of 9 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
valuation_snapshotssale estimate 17% above the ask on the same snapshot - verify the rent describes this home· as of 9 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin12/30
stressed cash flow +187/mo, +12% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); passes the stress
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 28 Oct 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 44 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 28 Oct 2026
Risk & liquidity14.7/15
364 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 10%
property_intelligencetransactions_12mo
4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.
Economics
What happens to your money
Price sensitivityScores 80+ up to £146,000
£146,000£224,000
The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.
Your assumptions
£195,000
At the asking price
£1,550/mo
Evidenced range £1,500-£1,650
5.4%
75%
Cash required
£61,200
Net cash flow
£415/mo
Cash on cash
8.1%
Score at this price
63
After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 2.36 - clears the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.
Evidence
Where every number comes from
valuation_snapshotsestimate for 10012834259Valuation edge · as of 9 Oct 2026
property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 12 comps, dispersion 22.1%Valuation edge · as of 21 Oct 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1550/mo (range 1500-1650)Rental economics · as of 9 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
valuation_snapshotssale estimate 17% above the ask on the same snapshot - verify the rent describes this homeRental economics · as of 9 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert
Risks
What could kill this deal
Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 1550/mo (range 1500-1650)
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
sale estimate 17% above the ask on the same snapshot - verify the rent describes this home
Plan
Before you offer
1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The market estimate this rent rides on sits far above the asking price, so the rent may describe a different home.
2. Set your walk-away price before viewing - above £146,000 the deal stops scoring well.
Computed by re-running the score at higher prices.
3. Treat the gap to the estimate as unproven - compare recent sold prices on the street yourself before pricing an offer around it.
On later completions, homes listed below their estimate sold at the same share of the asking price as the rest.
4. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.
Stress margin · as of 28 Oct 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 28 Oct 2026