Flat 1, Samphire House, 39 Old Hill, Chislehurst, BR7 5NA

UPRN:10013149349Purpose Built Flat2 bedsBuilt 2003-2006

LeaseholdCouncil Tax: Band EEPC: C (79)

Data freshness:Listing· freshPrice Paid· freshPlanning· 4mo agoEPC· 6mo agoRisk· 5mo agoConnectivity· 1mo agoAmenities· 1mo agoArea· Census 2021

Flat 1, Samphire House, 39 Old Hill, Chislehurst, BR7 5NA

HP Score

/ 100

Strong

Verdict

2 days ago

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Strong fundamentals; flood risk not assessed

Evidence

20 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£520,000

£494k - £546kHigh

Estimate

£520k

Range

£494k – £546k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£2,200

£2k - £2k

Monthly

£2,200

Yield

5.28%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

Flat 1 earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 75/100. Investment score 66/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Crime intensity is very low. Walkability is limited (45/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is leasehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressDefra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)Walk ScoreONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry company ownershipHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry leasesHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

75/ 100

Strong

Investment Score

66/ 100

Moderate

Crime Score

11/ 100

Low

Walkability

45/ 100

Mixed

Transit & Bike

Transit 15Bike 33

Walk Score, out of 100

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence1 independent sourceListing checked 2 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Valuation edge2.5/15
claims [AVM +3.8% (HIGH), sold-comps +7.4%, £/sqft +7.4%] → measured edge +0.50pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (HIGH confidence) · snapshot 12 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 10013149349· as of 12 Oct 2026
- property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 7 comps, dispersion 18.8%· as of 30 Oct 2026
Rental economics1.9/40
gross yield 5.3%; range width penalty ×0.84
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 2200/mo (range 2000-2400)· as of 12 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -891/mo, -40% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; disclosed service charge and ground rent); fails the stress - earns nothing
- listing_factsservice charge / ground rent from the advert· as of 2 Nov 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 1 price cut(s), 133 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 2 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity14.6/15
183 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 10%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£375,000£575,000

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£500,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£2,200/mo

Evidenced range £2,000-£2,400

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £166,300
Net cash flow: -£164/mo
Cash on cash: -1.2%
Score at this price: 19

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.30 - clears the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 10013149349Valuation edge · as of 12 Oct 2026
property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 7 comps, dispersion 18.8%Valuation edge · as of 30 Oct 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 2200/mo (range 2000-2400)Rental economics · as of 12 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
listing_factsservice charge / ground rent from the advertStress margin · as of 2 Nov 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 2 Nov 2026

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 2200/mo (range 2000-2400)
Seller motivation could not be scored
context, not scored: 1 price cut(s), 133 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge

Property risk deep-dive →

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Ask the agent why the price was reduced and whether a previous sale fell through.
1 price cut(s) recorded on the listing history.
3. Treat the gap to the estimate as unproven - compare recent sold prices on the street yourself before pricing an offer around it.
On later completions, homes listed below their estimate sold at the same share of the asking price as the rest.
4. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£520,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£2,200

Gross Yield5.28%

1y Growth-

3y Growth+2.0%

5y Growth+1.0%

10y Growth+2.2%

Last Sold Price£315,000 (2005-04-15)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceSignificant
RadonLow
MiningSignificant
LandslideLow
Air QualityLow
NoiseModerate

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

0BR7 5NA

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

26/04098/HPA
Erection of a single-storey detached annexe in the rear garden, with associated excavation to form a level base and timber sleeper retaining walls.
Pending
26/04099/HPA
Excavation of ground to form a level platform and erection of timber sleeper retaining walls in the rear garden.
Pending
26/04064/TCA
Mature dead Elm located on right hand rear boundary - Dismantle to as close to the ground level as possible. Mature dead tree located on right hand rear boundary - Dismantle to as close to the ground level as possible. Mature Holly located on rear boundary – Crown reduce by approx 2m.
Pending

View Planning Timeline

Ownership

Corporate Ownership68.2%
Overseas OwnershipNo
Lease Term Remaining101 yrs
CovenantsRestrictive
Lease TypeLeasehold
Last Ownership Change2005-04-15
SourceLand Registry

View Ownership Details

Connectivity

Broadband (Standard)

17 Mbps

Mobile 4G/5G Coverage

EEThreeO2Vodafone

EV Charger

PTAL Rating

View Connectivity Map

Area Profile

Median EarningsLocal authority£43,981

Population Density3,440 /km²

Owner Occupied71%

Age Distribution

0-15 18%16-64 66%65+ 16%

View Area Profile

Schools Nearby

Bullers Wood School
0.3 mi
Good
Bickley Park School
0.7 mi
Inspected by ISI
Babington House School
0.7 mi
Inspected by ISI
St Nicholas Church of England Primary
0.8 mi
Area grades2024
Inspected after Ofsted withdrew the single overall grade.

2 of 10 nearby schools with published figures were oversubscribed in 2026 - demand, not a catchment.

View All Schools

Comparables

View All

Samphire House, 39 Old Hill
-
£465k
-
Samphire House, 39 Old Hill
-
£545k
-
Samphire House, 39 Old Hill
-
£505k
-
Samphire House, 39 Old Hill
-
£510k
-

Boundary data not available for this property

No registered title polygon, building footprint, or street match for this property yet.

Why: No HMLR INSPIRE / OSM footprint / OS Open USRN match for this UPRN

Source: HM Land Registry INSPIRE / OpenStreetMap / OS Open USRN