8 Chiltern Close, Chelmsford, CM1 2GJ

UPRN:10013264111Purpose Built Flat1 bedsBuilt 2007-2011

LeaseholdCouncil Tax: Band BEPC: C (79)

Data freshness:Listing· freshPrice Paid· freshPlanning· 4mo agoEPC· 4mo agoRisk· 5mo agoConnectivity· 1mo agoAmenities· 1mo agoArea· Census 2021

HP Score

/ 100

Mixed

Verdict

3 days ago

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Mixed signals - investigate

Evidence

20 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£169,000

£161k - £178kHigh

Estimate

£169k

Range

£161k – £178k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£1,000

£950 - £1k

Monthly

£1,000

Yield

8.00%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

8 Chiltern Close earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 71/100. Investment score 62/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Crime intensity is low. Walkability is limited (48/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is leasehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressDefra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)Walk ScoreONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry company ownershipHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry leasesHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

71/ 100

Mixed

Investment Score

62/ 100

Moderate

Crime Score

22/ 100

Moderate

Walkability

48/ 100

Mixed

Transit & Bike

Transit 27Bike 49

Walk Score, out of 100

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Reduced confidence2 independent sourcesListing checked 30 Oct 2026

Fewer independent sources agree, or a component could not be scored.

Valuation edge2.5/15
claims [AVM +11.2% (HIGH), sold-comps +26.5%, £/sqft +26.5%] → measured edge +0.50pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (HIGH confidence) · snapshot 9 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 10013264111· as of 9 Oct 2026
- property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 12 comps, dispersion 16.3%· as of 21 Oct 2026
Rental economics24/40
gross yield 8.0%; range width penalty ×1.00
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1000/mo (range 950-1050)· as of 9 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -132/mo, -13% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; disclosed service charge and ground rent); fails the stress - earns nothing
- listing_factsservice charge / ground rent from the advert· as of 30 Oct 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 251 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 30 Oct 2026
Risk & liquidity14.6/15
673 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 10%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£112,500£172,500

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£150,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£1,000/mo

Evidenced range £950-£1,050

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £46,800
Net cash flow: £186/mo
Cash on cash: 4.8%
Score at this price: 41

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.98 - clears the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 10013264111Valuation edge · as of 9 Oct 2026
property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 12 comps, dispersion 16.3%Valuation edge · as of 21 Oct 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1000/mo (range 950-1050)Rental economics · as of 9 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
listing_factsservice charge / ground rent from the advertStress margin · as of 30 Oct 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 30 Oct 2026

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is reduced
fewer independent sources agree, or a component could not be scored
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 1000/mo (range 950-1050)
Seller motivation could not be scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 251 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge

Property risk deep-dive →

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Treat the gap to the estimate as unproven - compare recent sold prices on the street yourself before pricing an offer around it.
On later completions, homes listed below their estimate sold at the same share of the asking price as the rest.
3. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£169,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£1,000

Gross Yield8.00%

1y Growth-

3y Growth+0.4%

5y Growth+1.1%

10y Growth+2.7%

Last Sold Price£164,000 (2016-05-31)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceSignificant
RadonLow
MiningUnknown
LandslideLow
Air QualityLow
NoiseLow

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

0CM1 2GJ

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

23/00195/NMAT/2
Non Material Amendment for planning permission - 23/00195/FUL- (AMENDED SCHEME: updated Transport Statement/Flood Risk Assessment/ changes to fenestration) Demolition of existing garaging and redevelopment to provide 6 new affordable homes with associated access improvements, parking, private amenity space and land) - To vary the wording of Condition 20
Pending
26/00327/DOC/1
Condition 4 - Large scale drawings - Eaves, verge , garage doors , door & porch
Pending
26/05221/TPO
T5 - Oak - Reduce tree by 2m to previously approved pruning points. To maintain overall size and shape in keeping with the rest of the garden.
Pending

View Planning Timeline