Ash Lodge, Stourpaine, Blandford Forum, DT11 8PW

UPRN:10013279666Detached House4 bedsBuilt 2003-2006

FreeholdCouncil Tax: Band GEPC: D (66)

Data freshness:Listing· freshOwnership· freshEPC· 6mo agoRisk· 5mo agoConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 1mo agoAmenities· 2mo agoArea· Census 2021Council Tax· 4mo ago

Ash Lodge, Stourpaine, Blandford Forum, DT11 8PW

HP Score

/ 100

Mixed

Verdict

yesterday

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Mixed signals - investigate

Evidence

19 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£1,323,000

£1.19M - £1.46MMedium

Estimate

£1.32M

Range

£1.19M – £1.46M

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£3,750

£3k - £4k

Monthly

£3,750

Yield

3.33%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

Ash Lodge earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 61/100. Investment score 58/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Crime intensity is very low. Walkability is limited (4/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is freehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressDefra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)Walk ScoreONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry company ownershipHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

61/ 100

Mixed

Investment Score

58/ 100

Moderate

Crime Score

14/ 100

Low

Walkability

4/ 100

Low

Transit & Bike

Transit 36Bike 22

Walk Score, out of 100

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence0 independent sourcesListing checked 6 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Valuation edge0/15
claims [AVM -2.0% (MEDIUM), sold-comps -58.3%, £/sqft -58.3%] → measured edge +0.00pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (MEDIUM confidence) · snapshot 9 Nov 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 10013279666· as of 9 Nov 2026
- property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 3 comps, dispersion 15.8%· as of 9 Nov 2026
Rental economics0/40
gross yield 3.3%; range width penalty ×0.61
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 3750/mo (range 3200-4300)· as of 9 Nov 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -3,069/mo, -82% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 6 Nov 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 323 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 6 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity12.8/15
305 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 20%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£1,012,500£1,552,500

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£1,350,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£3,750/mo

Evidenced range £3,200-£4,300

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £485,050
Net cash flow: -£1,960/mo
Cash on cash: -4.8%
Score at this price: 13

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 0.82 - below the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 10013279666Valuation edge · as of 9 Nov 2026
property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 3 comps, dispersion 15.8%Valuation edge · as of 9 Nov 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 3750/mo (range 3200-4300)Rental economics · as of 9 Nov 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 6 Nov 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 6 Nov 2026

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 3750/mo (range 3200-4300)
Seller motivation could not be scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 323 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge

Property risk deep-dive →

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£1,323,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£3,750

Gross Yield3.33%

1y Growth-22.9%

3y Growth+1.1%

5y Growth+2.2%

10y Growth+2.8%

Last Sold Price£1,298,500 (2022-06-01)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceModerate
RadonLow
MiningLow
LandslideLow
Air QualityLow
NoiseModerate

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

3DT11 8PW

Approval Rate

100%12mo

Development

low

P/TRC/2026/06087
T1 - Sycamore - Pollard at a height of 4m as per annotated photograph.
Pending
P/TRC/2026/05878
Bay - Reduce entire crown by 2m. Acer - Reduce entire crown by 1-2m. Hawthorn - Reduce entire crown by 1m. Hornbeam - Reduce entire crown by 2m. Plum - Reduce entire crown by 2m.
Pending
P/TRC/2026/05711
T1 - Ash - Dismantle to ground level.
Pending

View Planning Timeline

Ownership

Corporate Ownership73.3%
Overseas OwnershipNo
Lease Term Remaining-
CovenantsRestrictive
Lease TypeFreehold
Last Ownership Change2022-06-01
SourceLand Registry

View Ownership Details

Connectivity

Broadband (Standard)

19 Mbps

Mobile 4G/5G Coverage

EEThreeO2Vodafone

EV Charger

PTAL Rating

View Connectivity Map

Area Profile

Median EarningsLocal authority£31,444

Population Density73 /km²

Owner Occupied64%

Age Distribution

0-15 17%16-64 56%65+ 27%

View Area Profile

Schools Nearby

Durweston Church of England Primary School
1.2 mi
Report card2026
Ofsted no longer awards a single overall grade.
Hanford School
1.3 mi
Inspected by ISI
Bryanston School
1.9 mi
Inspected by ISI
Shillingstone Church of England Primary School
2.1 mi
Good

1 of 10 nearby schools with published figures were oversubscribed in 2026 - demand, not a catchment.

View All Schools

Comparables

View All

Ash Farm
-
£370k
-
Ash Farm
-
£480k
-
Ash Lodge
-
£1.30M
-
Ash Farm
-
£638k
-

Boundary data not available for this property

No registered title polygon, building footprint, or street match for this property yet.

Why: No HMLR INSPIRE / OSM footprint / OS Open USRN match for this UPRN

Source: HM Land Registry INSPIRE / OpenStreetMap / OS Open USRN