4 The Orchard, Fairford, GL7 4BL

UPRN:10013397936Bungalow Property3 bedsBuilt 1996-2002

LeaseholdCouncil Tax: Band FEPC: D (59)

Data freshness:Planning· 4mo agoOwnership· 1mo agoRisk· 5mo agoConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 1mo agoAmenities· 2mo agoArea· Census 2021

HP Score

/ 100

Strong

Verdict

4 days ago

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Strong fundamentals; flood risk not assessed

Evidence

19 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£489,000

£465k - £514kHigh

Estimate

£489k

Range

£465k – £514k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£2,200

£2k - £2k

Monthly

£2,200

Yield

7.14%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

4 The Orchard earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 78/100. Investment score 61/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Crime intensity is very low. Walkability is limited (68/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is leasehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressDefra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)Walk ScoreONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry leasesHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

78/ 100

Strong

Investment Score

61/ 100

Moderate

Crime Score

5/ 100

Low

Walkability

68/ 100

Moderate

Transit & Bike

Transit 10Bike 32

Walk Score, out of 100

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence0 independent sourcesLead to verifyListing checked 2 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Check before relying on this score: the estimate sits 24% above the ask; lead to verify: leasehold with no service charge disclosed - the stress test assumes GBP 0. It ranks after every home whose inputs are verified.

Valuation edge0/15
claims [AVM +24.3% (HIGH)] → measured edge +0.00pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (HIGH confidence) · snapshot 12 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 10013397936· as of 12 Oct 2026
Rental economics15.1/40
gross yield 7.1%; range width penalty ×0.88; the estimate this rent rides on sits 24% above the ask - check the rent describes the advertised home
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 2200/mo (range 2000-2350)· as of 12 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
- valuation_snapshotssale estimate 24% above the ask on the same snapshot - verify the rent describes this home· as of 12 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -74/mo, -3% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing; leasehold with no service charge disclosed - the stress assumes GBP 0
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 2 Nov 2026· verify before relying on this
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 32 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 2 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity14.6/15
499 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 10%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£277,500£425,500

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£370,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£2,200/mo

Evidenced range £2,000-£2,350

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £120,800
Net cash flow: £274/mo
Cash on cash: 2.7%
Score at this price: 30

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.76 - clears the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 10013397936Valuation edge · as of 12 Oct 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 2200/mo (range 2000-2350)Rental economics · as of 12 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
valuation_snapshotssale estimate 24% above the ask on the same snapshot - verify the rent describes this homeRental economics · as of 12 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 2 Nov 2026 · verify before relying on this
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 2200/mo (range 2000-2350)
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
sale estimate 24% above the ask on the same snapshot - verify the rent describes this home

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The market estimate this rent rides on sits far above the asking price, so the rent may describe a different home.
2. Treat the gap to the estimate as unproven - compare recent sold prices on the street yourself before pricing an offer around it.
On later completions, homes listed below their estimate sold at the same share of the asking price as the rest.
3. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£489,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£2,200

Gross Yield7.14%

1y Growth-

3y Growth-2.5%

5y Growth+1.6%

10y Growth+3.4%

Last Sold Price£320,000 (2015-06-19)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceModerate
RadonModerate
MiningUnknown
LandslideLow
Air QualityLow
NoiseLow

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

0GL7 4BL

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

26/03310/NONMAT
Non-Material Amendment (design) to permission 26/01103/FUL - Erection of single-storey side extension and installation of solar panels with associated works
Pending
26/03141/TCONR
2x Port Orford Cedars (Chamaecyparis lawsoniana) - Fell both trees to ground level, including removal or grinding of stumps where practicable, subject to the location of underground services.
Pending
26/03124/TCONR
1 - Silver Birch - 2.0m overall crown reduction. G1 - Birch and Cherry - clear back from wires by 0.5m. 2 - Hazel - 1.5m overall crown reduction. 3 - Apple - trim ivy. 5 - Beech - reduce crown back to previous pruning points.
Approved

View Planning Timeline

Ownership

Corporate Ownership68.6%
Overseas OwnershipNo
Lease Term Remaining999+ yrs
CovenantsRestrictive
Lease TypeLeasehold
Last Ownership Change2015-06-19
SourceLand Registry

View Ownership Details

Connectivity

Broadband (Standard)

18 Mbps

Mobile 4G/5G Coverage

EEThreeO2Vodafone

EV Charger

PTAL Rating

View Connectivity Map

Area Profile

Median EarningsLocal authority£32,927

Population Density214 /km²

Owner Occupied71%

Age Distribution

0-15 19%16-64 54%65+ 27%

View Area Profile

Schools Nearby

Farmor's School
0.4 mi
Report card2026
Ofsted no longer awards a single overall grade.
Fairford Church of England Primary School
0.4 mi
-
Meysey Hampton Church of England Primary School
2.3 mi
Good
Hatherop Castle School
2.5 mi
Inspected by ISI

3 of 12 nearby schools with published figures were oversubscribed in 2026 - demand, not a catchment.

View All Schools

Comparables

View All

19 The Orchard
-
£310k
-
2 The Orchard
-
£465k
-
13 The Orchard
-
£395k
-
29 The Orchard
-
£385k
-

Boundary data not available for this property

No registered title polygon, building footprint, or street match for this property yet.

Why: No HMLR INSPIRE / OSM footprint / OS Open USRN match for this UPRN

Source: HM Land Registry INSPIRE / OpenStreetMap / OS Open USRN