Gwernafon, Marianglas, LL73 8PL

UPRN:10013458380Detached House3 bedsBuilt 1950-1966

FreeholdCouncil Tax: Band EEPC: F (38)

Data freshness:EPC· 6mo agoRisk· 2y agoConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 1mo agoAmenities· 2mo agoArea· Census 2021

HP Score

/ 100

Strong

Verdict

4 days ago

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Strong fundamentals; flood risk not assessed

Evidence

16 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£529,000

£476k - £582kMedium

Estimate

£529k

Range

£476k – £582k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£2,050

£2k - £2k

Monthly

£2,050

Yield

4.92%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

Gwernafon earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 76/100. Investment score 60/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Crime intensity is very low. Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is freehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry company ownershipHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

76/ 100

Strong

Investment Score

60/ 100

Moderate

Crime Score

10/ 100

Low

Walkability

No data

Transit & Bike

No data

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence1 independent sourceListing checked 2 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Valuation edge2.5/15
claims [AVM +5.5% (MEDIUM), sold-comps +9.1%, £/sqft +9.1%] → measured edge +0.50pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (MEDIUM confidence) · snapshot 12 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 10013458380· as of 12 Oct 2026
- property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 10 comps, dispersion 14.4%· as of 24 Oct 2026
Rental economics0/40
gross yield 4.9%; range width penalty ×0.81
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 2050/mo (range 1850-2250)· as of 12 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -733/mo, -36% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 2 Nov 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
no listing-history inputs (first published date, price changes)
Risk & liquidity4.2/15
1 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 20%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£375,000£575,000

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£500,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£2,050/mo

Evidenced range £1,850-£2,250

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £166,300
Net cash flow: -£268/mo
Cash on cash: -1.9%
Score at this price: 7

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.21 - below the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 10013458380Valuation edge · as of 12 Oct 2026
property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 10 comps, dispersion 14.4%Valuation edge · as of 24 Oct 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 2050/mo (range 1850-2250)Rental economics · as of 12 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 2 Nov 2026
property_intelligencetransactions_12moRisk & liquidity

Sold comparables in depth

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 2050/mo (range 1850-2250)
Seller motivation could not be scored
no listing-history inputs (first published date, price changes)

Property risk deep-dive →flood, subsidence, crime, environment - the full domain

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Treat the gap to the estimate as unproven - compare recent sold prices on the street yourself before pricing an offer around it.
On later completions, homes listed below their estimate sold at the same share of the asking price as the rest.
3. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£529,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£2,050

Gross Yield4.92%

1y Growth-

3y Growth+20.5%

5y Growth+11.2%

10y Growth+5.3%

Last Sold Price£295,000 (2015-10-09)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceLow
RadonModerate
MiningLow
LandslideLow
Air QualityLow
NoiseWithheld

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

-LL73 8PL

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

HHP/2025/178
Cais llawn ar gyfer addasu ac ehangu yn / Full application for alterations and extensions at
Pending
SCR/2025/42
Barn sgrinio ar gyfer lleoli caban gwyliau ychwanegol ar faes carafannau presennol er mwyn cynyddu nifer yr unedau gwyliau a osodir ar y safle o 30 i 31 yn / Screening opinion for the siting of an additional holiday chalet on an existing caravan park to increase the number of holiday let units on the site from 30 to 31 at
Pending
FPL/2025/236
Cais llawn ar gyfer lleoli caban gwyliau ychwanegol ar faes carafannau presennol er mwyn cynyddu nifer yr unedau gwyliau a osodir ar y safle o 30 i 31 yn / Full application for the siting of an additional holiday chalet on an existing caravan park to increase the number of holiday let units on the site from 30 to 31 at
Pending

View Planning Timeline