20 Pastoral Way, Warley, Brentwood, CM14 5WF

UPRN:10013535702Purpose Built Flat2 bedsBuilt 1996-2002

LeaseholdCouncil Tax: Band EEPC: C (70)

Data freshness:Listing· freshOwnership· 1mo agoEPC· 6mo agoRisk· 5mo agoConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 1mo agoAmenities· 2mo agoArea· Census 2021Council Tax· 6mo ago

20 Pastoral Way, Warley, Brentwood, CM14 5WF

HP Score

/ 100

Strong

Verdict

yesterday

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Strong fundamentals; flood risk not assessed

Evidence

20 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£417,000

£396k - £437kHigh

Estimate

£417k

Range

£396k – £437k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£2,100

£2k - £2k

Monthly

£2,100

Yield

6.30%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

20 Pastoral Way earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 79/100. Investment score 69/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Crime intensity is very low. Walkability is limited (59/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is leasehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressDefra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)Walk ScoreONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry company ownershipHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry leasesHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

79/ 100

Strong

Investment Score

69/ 100

Moderate

Crime Score

10/ 100

Low

Walkability

59/ 100

Moderate

Transit & Bike

Transit 17Bike 45

Walk Score, out of 100

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence0 independent sourcesLead to verifyListing checked 9 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Check before relying on this score: leasehold with no service charge disclosed - the stress test assumes GBP 0. It ranks after every home whose inputs are verified.

Valuation edge0/15
claims [AVM +4.1% (HIGH), sold-comps -8.1%, £/sqft -8.0%] → measured edge +0.00pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (HIGH confidence) · snapshot 12 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 10013535702· as of 12 Oct 2026
- property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 12 comps, dispersion 20.9%· as of 8 Nov 2026
Rental economics9.5/40
gross yield 6.3%; range width penalty ×0.91
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 2100/mo (range 1950-2250)· as of 12 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -274/mo, -13% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing; leasehold with no service charge disclosed - the stress assumes GBP 0
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 9 Nov 2026· verify before relying on this
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 39 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 9 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity14.7/15
278 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 10%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£300,000£460,000

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£400,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£2,100/mo

Evidenced range £1,950-£2,250

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £131,300
Net cash flow: £104/mo
Cash on cash: 0.9%
Score at this price: 24

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.56 - clears the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 10013535702Valuation edge · as of 12 Oct 2026
property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 12 comps, dispersion 20.9%Valuation edge · as of 8 Nov 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 2100/mo (range 1950-2250)Rental economics · as of 12 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 9 Nov 2026 · verify before relying on this
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 9 Nov 2026

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 2100/mo (range 1950-2250)
Stress margin needs verification before you rely on it
costs not disclosed by the advert

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Treat the gap to the estimate as unproven - compare recent sold prices on the street yourself before pricing an offer around it.
On later completions, homes listed below their estimate sold at the same share of the asking price as the rest.
3. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£417,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£2,100

Gross Yield6.30%

1y Growth-

3y Growth+2.0%

5y Growth+1.2%

10y Growth+1.7%

Last Sold Price£415,000 (2021-11-10)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceSignificant
RadonLow
MiningUnknown
LandslideLow
Air QualityLow
NoiseLow

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

2CM14 5WF

Approval Rate

50%12mo

Development

low

26/01194/S192
Application for a Lawful Development Certificate for a proposed use or development for demolish 1x chimney stack, hip to gable loft conversion with rear loft dormer with a rendered finish. Addition of Juilet balcony, 3x front roof lights and alteration to fenestrations.
Pending
26/01056/S192
Application for a Lawful Development Certificate for a proposed use or development for a hip to gable roof extension, rear dormer, front rooflights and removal of side chimney
Pending
23/01422/COND/1
Discharge of Condition 3 (Soft Landscaping) of application 23/01422/FUL (Construct 1.8m high fencing to side boundary and front garden enclosing land as additional garden area, construct single storey side/rear extension with alterations to fenestration including insertion of rooflight).
Pending

View Planning Timeline