Erw Bach, Pentre Halkyn, Holywell, CH8 8BD

UPRN:10013694522Bungalow Property3 bedsBuilt before 1900

FreeholdCouncil Tax: -EPC: G (20)

Data freshness:Planning· freshEPC· 6mo agoRisk· 2y agoConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 1mo agoAmenities· 2mo agoArea· Census 2021

Erw Bach, Pentre Halkyn, Holywell, CH8 8BD

HP Score

/ 100

Strong

Verdict

3 days ago

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Strong fundamentals; flood risk not assessed

Evidence

16 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£347,000

£330k - £365kHigh

Estimate

£347k

Range

£330k – £365k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£1,300

£1k - £1k

Monthly

£1,300

Yield

1.31%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

Erw Bach earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 75/100. Investment score 64/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Crime intensity is very low. Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is freehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry company ownershipHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry leasesHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

75/ 100

Strong

Investment Score

64/ 100

Moderate

Crime Score

14/ 100

Low

Walkability

No data

Transit & Bike

No data

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence0 independent sourcesLead to verifyListing checked 2 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Check before relying on this score: the advert has 7 bedrooms but the valuation snapshot describes 3 - an extension, conversion or HMO the evidence does not reflect, or a different home. It ranks after every home whose inputs are verified.

Valuation edge-1.6/15
claims [AVM -244.4% (HIGH)] → measured edge -0.33pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp; asking more than 10% above the estimate (measured -0.33pp)
Market estimate used (HIGH confidence) · snapshot 13 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 10013694522· as of 13 Oct 2026
Rental economics0/40
gross yield 1.3%; range width penalty ×0.82
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1300/mo (range 1150-1400)· as of 13 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -4,216/mo, -324% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 2 Nov 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
no listing-history inputs (first published date, price changes)
Risk & liquidity14.6/15
193 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 10%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£896,000£1,374,000

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£1,195,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£1,300/mo

Evidenced range £1,150-£1,400

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £423,050
Net cash flow: -£3,133/mo
Cash on cash: -8.9%
Score at this price: 13

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 0.32 - below the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 10013694522Valuation edge · as of 13 Oct 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1300/mo (range 1150-1400)Rental economics · as of 13 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 2 Nov 2026
property_intelligencetransactions_12moRisk & liquidity

Sold comparables in depth Valuation methodology

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 1300/mo (range 1150-1400)
Seller motivation could not be scored
no listing-history inputs (first published date, price changes)

Property risk deep-dive →flood, subsidence, crime, environment - the full domain

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£347,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£1,300

Gross Yield1.31%

1y Growth+4.7%

3y Growth+2.1%

5y Growth+1.7%

10y Growth+2.6%

Last Sold Price£340,000 (2025-03-14)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceLow
RadonModerate
MiningSignificant
LandslideModerate
Air QualityLow
NoiseWithheld

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

2CH8 8BD

Approval Rate

100%12mo

Development

low

FUL/000891/26
Proposed extensions and alterations
Pending
FUL/000743/26
Change of use of an existing single-storey residential building, known as The Bungalow, to provide a gym and fitness facility ancillary to the Springfield Hotel together with associated internal and external alterations.
Approved
FUL/000504/26
Proposed Single Storey Rear Extension with Roof Terrace. Removal of existing conservatory. Conversion of existing garage into home office. Replacement of existing wooden shed with solid structure.
Republication period opened

View Planning Timeline