3 Tyn Y Morfa Cottages, Gwespyr, Holywell, CH8 9JW

UPRN:10013698346Semi-Detached HouseBeds -Built before 1900

FreeholdCouncil Tax: -EPC: C (77)

Data freshness:Listing· freshPrice Paid· freshPlanning· 4mo agoEPC· 4mo agoRisk· 2y agoConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 1mo agoAmenities· 1mo agoArea· Census 2021

3 Tyn Y Morfa Cottages, Gwespyr, Holywell, CH8 9JW

HP Score

/ 100

Mixed

Verdict

yesterday

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Mixed signals - investigate

Evidence

15 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£189,000

£151k - £227kLow

Estimate

£189k

Range

£151k – £227k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£850

£750 - £900

Monthly

£850

Yield

5.67%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

3 Tyn Y Morfa Cottages earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 71/100. Investment score 64/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Crime intensity is low. Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is freehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

71/ 100

Mixed

Investment Score

64/ 100

Moderate

Crime Score

33/ 100

Moderate

Walkability

No data

Transit & Bike

No data

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence0 independent sourcesListing checked 2 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Valuation edge0/15
claims [sold-comps -2.3%, £/sqft -2.1%] → measured edge +0.00pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp; AVM excluded (estimate confidence LOW below scoring floor)
estimate confidence LOW below scoring floor · snapshot 12 Oct 2026
- property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 12 comps, dispersion 23.1%· as of 1 Nov 2026
Rental economics4.5/40
gross yield 5.7%; range width penalty ×0.85
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 850/mo (range 750-900)· as of 12 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -265/mo, -31% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 2 Nov 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 39 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 2 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity9.2/15
193 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 40%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£135,000£207,000

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£180,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£850/mo

Evidenced range £750-£900

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £56,400
Net cash flow: -£19/mo
Cash on cash: -0.4%
Score at this price: 14

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.40 - clears the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 12 comps, dispersion 23.1%Valuation edge · as of 1 Nov 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 850/mo (range 750-900)Rental economics · as of 12 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 2 Nov 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 2 Nov 2026
property_intelligencetransactions_12moRisk & liquidity

Sold comparables in depth

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 850/mo (range 750-900)
Seller motivation could not be scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 39 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge

Property risk deep-dive →

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£189,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£850

Gross Yield5.67%

1y Growth-

3y Growth+2.1%

5y Growth+1.7%

10y Growth+2.6%

Last Sold Price£133,000 (2007-03-14)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceLow
RadonLow
MiningSignificant
LandslideModerate
Air QualityLow
NoiseWithheld

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

0CH8 9JW

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

FUL/000784/26
Proposed demolition of existing dwelling and erection of new dwelling and garage together with associated development including landscaping and parking. Resubmisison following appeal decision under FUL/000464/24.
Pending
OUT/000461/26
Use of part garden of Kilnocyn for the construction of affordable housing to satisfy an identifiable local need.
Rejected
FUL/000700/25
Sitting of caravan within garden area to be used as extension to main dwelling
Approved

View Planning Timeline