22 Discovery Drive, Swanley, BR8 8FH

UPRN:10013775477Semi-Detached House4 bedsBuilt -

FreeholdCouncil Tax: Band EEPC: B (86)

Data freshness:Price Paid· freshPlanning· 4mo agoEPC· 6mo agoRisk· 5mo agoConnectivity· 1mo agoAmenities· 1mo agoArea· Census 2021Council Tax· 4mo ago

HP Score

/ 100

Strong

Verdict

3 days ago

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Strong fundamentals; flood risk not assessed

Evidence

18 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£552,000

£524k - £580kHigh

Estimate

£552k

Range

£524k – £580k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£2,850

£3k - £3k

Monthly

£2,850

Yield

6.51%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

22 Discovery Drive earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 85/100. Investment score 75/100 reflects strong fundamentals. Crime intensity is very low. Walkability is good (72/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is freehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressDefra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)Walk ScoreONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

85/ 100

Strong

Investment Score

75/ 100

High

Crime Score

7/ 100

Low

Walkability

72/ 100

High

Transit & Bike

Transit 16Bike 64

Walk Score, out of 100

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence1 independent sourceListing checked 27 Oct 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Valuation edge0.5/15
claims [AVM +4.9% (HIGH), sold-comps +0.6%, £/sqft +0.7%] → measured edge +0.09pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (HIGH confidence) · snapshot 12 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 10013775477· as of 12 Oct 2026
- property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 6 comps, dispersion 7.8%· as of 27 Oct 2026
Rental economics11.1/40
gross yield 6.5%; range width penalty ×0.92
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 2850/mo (range 2650-3050)· as of 12 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -250/mo, -9% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 27 Oct 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 1 price cut(s), 78 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 27 Oct 2026
Risk & liquidity14.6/15
229 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 10%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£394,000£604,000

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£525,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£2,850/mo

Evidenced range £2,650-£3,050

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £175,050
Net cash flow: £201/mo
Cash on cash: 1.4%
Score at this price: 26

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.61 - clears the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 10013775477Valuation edge · as of 12 Oct 2026
property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 6 comps, dispersion 7.8%Valuation edge · as of 27 Oct 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 2850/mo (range 2650-3050)Rental economics · as of 12 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 27 Oct 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 27 Oct 2026

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 2850/mo (range 2650-3050)
Seller motivation could not be scored
context, not scored: 1 price cut(s), 78 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge

Property risk deep-dive →

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Ask the agent why the price was reduced and whether a previous sale fell through.
1 price cut(s) recorded on the listing history.
3. Treat the gap to the estimate as unproven - compare recent sold prices on the street yourself before pricing an offer around it.
On later completions, homes listed below their estimate sold at the same share of the asking price as the rest.
4. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£552,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£2,850

Gross Yield6.51%

1y Growth-

3y Growth+2.2%

5y Growth+2.4%

10y Growth+3.5%

Last Sold Price£432,950 (2018-11-30)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceSignificant
RadonLow
MiningLow
LandslideLow
Air QualityLow
NoiseLow

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

0BR8 8FH

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

26/02439/FUL
Erection of single storey side extension to form new storage area
Pending
26/02430/HOUSE
Erection of two-storey side extension with roof light. Re-positioning of existing side porch to form new front porch. Associated alterations to fenestration.
Pending
26/02322/PAE
Prior notification of a single storey rear extension which extends 4.50m beyond the rear wall of the original dwelling house with a maximum height of 3.20m and eaves height of 2.85m.
Approved

View Planning Timeline

Ownership

Corporate Ownership66.8%
Overseas OwnershipNo
Lease Term Remaining-
CovenantsRestrictive
Lease TypeFreehold
Last Ownership Change2018-11-30
SourceLand Registry

View Ownership Details

Connectivity

Broadband (Standard)

15 Mbps

Mobile 4G/5G Coverage

EEThreeO2Vodafone

EV Charger

PTAL Rating

View Connectivity Map

Area Profile

Median EarningsLocal authority£34,969

Population Density-

Owner Occupied90%

Age Distribution

0-15 19%16-64 62%65+ 19%

View Area Profile

Schools Nearby

High Firs Primary School
0.1 mi
Good
SupaJam Education In Music and Media
0.3 mi
-
Orchards Academy
0.3 mi
Area grades2025
Inspected after Ofsted withdrew the single overall grade.
St Mary's Church of England Voluntary Aided Primary School
0.4 mi
Good

5 of 10 nearby schools with published figures were oversubscribed in 2026 - demand, not a catchment.

View All Schools

Comparables

View All

30 Discovery Drive
-
£480k
-
26 Discovery Drive
-
£490k
-
2 Discovery Drive
-
£430k
-
30 Discovery Drive
-
£432k
-

Boundary data not available for this property

No registered title polygon, building footprint, or street match for this property yet.

Why: No HMLR INSPIRE / OSM footprint / OS Open USRN match for this UPRN

Source: HM Land Registry INSPIRE / OpenStreetMap / OS Open USRN