20 Horsemarket, Caistor, Market Rasen, LN7 6UP

UPRN:10013810096Semi-Detached House3 bedsBuilt before 1900

FreeholdCouncil Tax: Band CEPC: D (66)

Data freshness:Listing· freshPrice Paid· freshPlanning· 4mo agoEPC· 6mo agoRisk· 5mo agoConnectivity· 1mo agoAmenities· 1mo agoArea· Census 2021

20 Horsemarket, Caistor, Market Rasen, LN7 6UP

HP Score

/ 100

Mixed

Verdict

yesterday

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Mixed signals - investigate

Evidence

19 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£281,000

£225k - £337kLow

Estimate

£281k

Range

£225k – £337k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£1,150

£1k - £1k

Monthly

£1,150

Yield

3.94%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

20 Horsemarket earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 69/100. Investment score 62/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Crime intensity is low. Walkability is limited (65/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is freehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)Defra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)Walk ScoreONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry company ownershipHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry leasesHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

69/ 100

Mixed

Investment Score

62/ 100

Moderate

Crime Score

31/ 100

Moderate

Walkability

65/ 100

Moderate

Transit & Bike

Transit 12Bike 43

Walk Score, out of 100

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence1 independent sourceLead to verifyListing checked 3 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Check before relying on this score: the advert has 5 bedrooms but the valuation snapshot describes 3 - an extension, conversion or HMO the evidence does not reflect, or a different home. It ranks after every home whose inputs are verified.

Valuation edge2.5/15
claims [sold-comps +10.7%, £/sqft +10.8%] → measured edge +0.50pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp; AVM excluded (estimate confidence LOW below scoring floor)
estimate confidence LOW below scoring floor · snapshot 9 Oct 2026
- property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 8 comps, dispersion 22.4%· as of 31 Oct 2026
Rental economics0/40
gross yield 3.9%; range width penalty ×0.85
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1150/mo (range 1050-1250)· as of 9 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -761/mo, -66% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 3 Nov 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 55 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 3 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity9.3/15
56 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 40%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£262,500£402,500

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£349,995

At the asking price

Monthly rent£1,150/mo

Evidenced range £1,050-£1,250

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £113,799
Net cash flow: -£385/mo
Cash on cash: -4.1%
Score at this price: 12

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 0.97 - below the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 8 comps, dispersion 22.4%Valuation edge · as of 31 Oct 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1150/mo (range 1050-1250)Rental economics · as of 9 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 3 Nov 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 3 Nov 2026
property_intelligencetransactions_12moRisk & liquidity

Sold comparables in depth

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 1150/mo (range 1050-1250)
Seller motivation could not be scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 55 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge

Property risk deep-dive →

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Treat the gap to the estimate as unproven - compare recent sold prices on the street yourself before pricing an offer around it.
On later completions, homes listed below their estimate sold at the same share of the asking price as the rest.
3. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£281,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£1,150

Gross Yield3.94%

1y Growth-

3y Growth+2.3%

5y Growth+3.6%

10y Growth+5.9%

Last Sold Price-

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceModerate
RadonModerate
MiningUnknown
LandslideSignificant
Air QualityLow
NoiseLow

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

0LN7 6UP

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

151454
Notice to carry out tree works: T1 - Spruce - fell. Within the Caistor conservation area.
Pending
151344
Application for non-material amendment to planning permission 145152 granted 19 August 2022 - changes to the window and door positions, and slight floor area increase.
Rejected
151181
Planning application for change of use from sui generis & storage facility to general convenience store & off-licence.
Conditions

View Planning Timeline

Ownership

Corporate Ownership76.5%
Overseas OwnershipNo
Lease Term Remaining-
CovenantsRestrictive
Lease TypeFreehold
Last Ownership Change-
SourceLand Registry

View Ownership Details

Connectivity

Broadband (Standard)

16 Mbps

Mobile 4G/5G Coverage

EEThreeO2Vodafone

EV Charger

PTAL Rating

View Connectivity Map

Area Profile

Median EarningsLocal authority£30,741

Population Density27 /km²

Owner Occupied51%

Age Distribution

0-15 11%16-64 58%65+ 31%

View Area Profile

Schools Nearby

Caistor Grammar School
0.1 mi
Good
Caistor CofE and Methodist Primary School
0.1 mi
Good
Caistor Yarborough Academy
0.3 mi
Report card2025
Ofsted no longer awards a single overall grade.
Nettleton Community Primary School
0.9 mi
Good

1 of 13 nearby schools with published figures were oversubscribed in 2026 - demand, not a catchment.

View All Schools

Comparables

View All

15 Horse Market
-
£390k
-
5 Horse Market
-
£98k
-
22 Horse Market
-
£121k
-
20 Horse Market
-
£173k
-

Boundary data not available for this property

No registered title polygon, building footprint, or street match for this property yet.

Why: No HMLR INSPIRE / OSM footprint / OS Open USRN match for this UPRN

Source: HM Land Registry INSPIRE / OpenStreetMap / OS Open USRN