22 Thomas Kitching Way, Bardney, Lincoln, LN3 5SB

UPRN:10013813537Mid Terrace House3 bedsBuilt 2007 onwards

FreeholdCouncil Tax: Band BEPC: C (76)

Data freshness:Listing· freshPlanning· freshOwnership· freshEPC· 6mo agoRisk· 5mo agoCrime· freshConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 1mo agoAmenities· 2mo agoArea· Census 2021Council Tax· 1mo ago

22 Thomas Kitching Way, Bardney, Lincoln, LN3 5SB

HP Score

/ 100

Mixed

Verdict

2 days ago

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Mixed signals - investigate

Evidence

20 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£169,000

£161k - £178kHigh

Estimate

£169k

Range

£161k – £178k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£850

£800 - £900

Monthly

£850

Yield

6.00%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

22 Thomas Kitching Way earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 53/100. Investment score 57/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Crime intensity is low. Walkability is limited (0/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is freehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressDefra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)Walk ScoreONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry company ownershipHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry leasesHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

53/ 100

Mixed

Investment Score

57/ 100

Moderate

Crime Score

29/ 100

Moderate

Walkability

0/ 100

Low

Transit & Bike

Transit 7Bike 44

Walk Score, out of 100

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence1 independent sourceListing checked 10 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Valuation edge2.5/15
claims [AVM -0.6% (HIGH), sold-comps +3.4%, £/sqft +3.4%] → measured edge +0.50pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (HIGH confidence) · snapshot 14 Nov 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 10013813537· as of 14 Nov 2026
- property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 9 comps, dispersion 14.5%· as of 9 Nov 2026
Rental economics7.7/40
gross yield 6.0%; range width penalty ×0.96
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 850/mo (range 800-900)· as of 14 Nov 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -222/mo, -26% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 10 Nov 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 57 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 10 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity14.6/15
89 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 10%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£127,500£195,500

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£170,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£850/mo

Evidenced range £800-£900

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £53,200
Net cash flow: £15/mo
Cash on cash: 0.3%
Score at this price: 25

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.48 - clears the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 10013813537Valuation edge · as of 14 Nov 2026
property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 9 comps, dispersion 14.5%Valuation edge · as of 9 Nov 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 850/mo (range 800-900)Rental economics · as of 14 Nov 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 10 Nov 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 10 Nov 2026

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 850/mo (range 800-900)
Seller motivation could not be scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 57 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge

Property risk deep-dive →

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Treat the gap to the estimate as unproven - compare recent sold prices on the street yourself before pricing an offer around it.
On later completions, homes listed below their estimate sold at the same share of the asking price as the rest.
3. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£169,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£850

Gross Yield6.00%

1y Growth+4.1%

3y Growth-0.2%

5y Growth+2.0%

10y Growth+3.6%

Last Sold Price£170,000 (2024-10-11)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceSignificant
RadonLow
MiningUnknown
LandslideLow
Air QualityLow
NoiseLow

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

1LN3 5SB

Approval Rate

100%12mo

Development

low

151397
Application for non-material amendment to planning permission 136737 granted 2 July 2018 - wording of condition 18.
Approved
151398
Request for confirmation of compliance with conditions 15, 16, 20, 21(highways) & 23(construction management plan) of planning permission 136737 granted 26 July 2018.
Pending
151365
Application for non-material amendment to planning permission WL/2026/00228 granted 30 July 2026 - New condition 5 wording
Approved

View Planning Timeline