Apartment 2, Heatherwood Lodge, Church Hill, Totland Bay, PO39 0EU

UPRN:10013854987Flat/Maisonette2 bedsBuilt 1976-1982

LeaseholdCouncil Tax: Band DEPC: C (74)

Data freshness:Price Paid· freshPlanning· 3mo agoEPC· 6mo agoRisk· 5mo agoConnectivity· 1mo agoAmenities· 1mo agoArea· Census 2021

Apartment 2, Heatherwood Lodge, Church Hill, Totland Bay, PO39 0EU

HP Score

/ 100

Mixed

Verdict

3 days ago

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Mixed signals - investigate

Evidence

20 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£288,000

£274k - £303kHigh

Estimate

£288k

Range

£274k – £303k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£900

£800 - £1k

Monthly

£900

Yield

4.41%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

Apartment 2 earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 67/100. Investment score 63/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Crime intensity is very low. Walkability is limited (24/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is leasehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressDefra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)Walk ScoreONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry company ownershipHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry leasesHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

67/ 100

Mixed

Investment Score

63/ 100

Moderate

Crime Score

11/ 100

Low

Walkability

24/ 100

Low

Transit & Bike

Transit 12Bike 27

Walk Score, out of 100

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence0 independent sourcesListing checked 28 Oct 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Valuation edge0/15
claims [AVM +14.9% (HIGH)] → measured edge +0.00pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (HIGH confidence) · snapshot 9 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 10013854987· as of 9 Oct 2026
Rental economics0/40
gross yield 4.4%; range width penalty ×0.64
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 900/mo (range 800-1050)· as of 9 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -651/mo, -72% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; disclosed service charge and ground rent); fails the stress - earns nothing
- listing_factsservice charge / ground rent from the advert· as of 28 Oct 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 166 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 28 Oct 2026
Risk & liquidity14.6/15
26 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 10%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£184,000£282,000

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£245,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£900/mo

Evidenced range £800-£1,050

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £77,200
Net cash flow: -£204/mo
Cash on cash: -3.2%
Score at this price: 15

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.09 - below the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 10013854987Valuation edge · as of 9 Oct 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 900/mo (range 800-1050)Rental economics · as of 9 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
listing_factsservice charge / ground rent from the advertStress margin · as of 28 Oct 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 28 Oct 2026
property_intelligencetransactions_12moRisk & liquidity

Sold comparables in depth

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 900/mo (range 800-1050)
Seller motivation could not be scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 166 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge

Property risk deep-dive →

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Treat the gap to the estimate as unproven - compare recent sold prices on the street yourself before pricing an offer around it.
On later completions, homes listed below their estimate sold at the same share of the asking price as the rest.
3. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£288,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£900

Gross Yield4.41%

1y Growth-

3y Growth-7.4%

5y Growth-3.2%

10y Growth+1.8%

Last Sold Price£275,000 (2018-12-06)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceSignificant
RadonLow
MiningUnknown
LandslideLow
Air QualityLow
NoiseModerate

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

1PO39 0EU

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

26/01515/TW
T1; Dead crack willow (Salix fragilis) Remove to ground level. Reason: For safety following tree assessment. T2, T3 & T4; Group of sycamores - Remove to ground level. These trees are in poor health condition with a large amount of decay present throughout, bark delamination and panic growth.
Pending
26/01483/TW
Ash - Coppice. Previously coppiced, multi-stemmed tree. Reason: Signs of dieback in some stems. Coppicing now will mitigate risk of further harm to the tree and allow rejuvenation.
Pending
26/01441/HOU
Proposed first floor extension, over existing ground floor garage, with a single storey rear extension
Pending

View Planning Timeline

Ownership

Corporate Ownership72.3%
Overseas OwnershipNo
Lease Term Remaining999+ yrs
CovenantsRestrictive
Lease TypeLeasehold
Last Ownership Change2018-12-06
SourceLand Registry

View Ownership Details

Connectivity

Broadband (Standard)

15 Mbps

Mobile 4G/5G Coverage

EEThreeO2Vodafone

EV Charger

PTAL Rating

View Connectivity Map

Area Profile

Median EarningsLocal authority£26,740

Population Density299 /km²

Owner Occupied81%

Age Distribution

0-15 9%16-64 41%65+ 50%

View Area Profile

Schools Nearby

St Saviour's Catholic Primary School
0.3 mi
Requires improvement
Freshwater & Yarmouth Church of England Aided Primary School
2.7 mi
Good
Milford-on-Sea Church of England Primary School
4.2 mi
Area grades2024
Inspected after Ofsted withdrew the single overall grade.
Shalfleet Church of England Primary School
5.0 mi
Good

3 of 11 nearby schools with published figures were oversubscribed in 2026 - demand, not a catchment.

View All Schools

Comparables

View All

Cornerbrook Church Hill
-
£470k
-
Mulberry Lodge Church Hill
-
£465k
-
Lyndhurst Church Hill
-
£425k
-
Heatherwood Lodge Church Hill
-
£290k
-

Boundary data not available for this property

No registered title polygon, building footprint, or street match for this property yet.

Why: No HMLR INSPIRE / OSM footprint / OS Open USRN match for this UPRN

Source: HM Land Registry INSPIRE / OpenStreetMap / OS Open USRN