Green Fold, 188 Upper Welland Road, Malvern, WR14 4LA

UPRN:10014093750Detached Property4 bedsBuilt 2007-2011

FreeholdCouncil Tax: -EPC: C (79)

Data freshness:Listing· freshPrice Paid· freshPlanning· 4mo agoEPC· 4mo agoRisk· 5mo agoConnectivity· 1mo agoAmenities· 1mo agoArea· Census 2021

Green Fold, 188 Upper Welland Road, Malvern, WR14 4LA

HP Score

/ 100

Mixed

Verdict

3 days ago

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Mixed signals - investigate

Evidence

17 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£592,000

£562k - £621kHigh

Estimate

£592k

Range

£562k – £621k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£2,200

£2k - £2k

Monthly

£2,200

Yield

4.80%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

Green Fold earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 62/100. Investment score 51/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Crime intensity is very low. Walkability is limited (6/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is freehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)Defra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)Walk ScoreONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry company ownershipHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

62/ 100

Mixed

Investment Score

51/ 100

Moderate

Crime Score

11/ 100

Low

Walkability

6/ 100

Low

Transit & Bike

Transit 3Bike 18

Walk Score, out of 100

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence0 independent sourcesListing checked 30 Oct 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Valuation edge0/15
claims [AVM +7.1% (HIGH)] → measured edge +0.00pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (HIGH confidence) · snapshot 9 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 10014093750· as of 9 Oct 2026
Rental economics0/40
gross yield 4.8%; range width penalty ×0.79
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 2200/mo (range 1950-2400)· as of 9 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
- listing_factslisting text signals condition works - budget before trusting any yield· as of 30 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -833/mo, -38% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 30 Oct 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 251 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 30 Oct 2026
Risk & liquidity14.6/15
363 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 10%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£412,500£632,500

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£550,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£2,200/mo

Evidenced range £1,950-£2,400

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £183,800
Net cash flow: -£333/mo
Cash on cash: -2.2%
Score at this price: 15

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.19 - below the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 10014093750Valuation edge · as of 9 Oct 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 2200/mo (range 1950-2400)Rental economics · as of 9 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
listing_factslisting text signals condition works - budget before trusting any yieldRental economics · as of 30 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 30 Oct 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 30 Oct 2026

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 2200/mo (range 1950-2400)
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
listing text signals condition works - budget before trusting any yield

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Treat the gap to the estimate as unproven - compare recent sold prices on the street yourself before pricing an offer around it.
On later completions, homes listed below their estimate sold at the same share of the asking price as the rest.
3. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£592,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£2,200

Gross Yield4.80%

1y Growth-

3y Growth-1.1%

5y Growth+0.7%

10y Growth+3.3%

Last Sold Price-

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceLow
RadonLow
MiningUnknown
LandslideModerate
Air QualityLow
NoiseModerate

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

0WR14 4LA

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

M/26/01396/FUL
Change of use of land and two existing buildings to mixed agricultural and private equestrian use (retrospective)
Pending
M/26/00722/TPOA
Trim north-eastern portion of tree’s canopy starting at a cut point approximately above the road edge, and shaping the canopy above and around this point, blending it with the main body of the tree’s canopy and remove dead wood and any broken and fractured branches from throughout the remaining tree canopy, as detailed in the amended specification for works
Approved
M/26/00590/CLE
Certificate of Lawfulness for the Existing Use of land as a caravan and camping site for holiday makers including 10 touring caravan pitches and camping site.
Approved

View Planning Timeline