30 Clos Pen y Cae, Ebbw Vale, NP23 6AW

UPRN:10014118015Detached HouseBeds -Built 2007-2011

FreeholdCouncil Tax: Band EEPC: C (78)

Data freshness:Planning· 4mo agoOwnership· freshEPC· 1mo agoRisk· 2y agoConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 1mo agoAmenities· 2mo agoArea· Census 2021Council Tax· 1mo ago

HP Score

/ 100

Strong

Verdict

2 days ago

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Strong fundamentals; flood risk not assessed

Evidence

15 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£360,000

£342k - £378kHigh

Estimate

£360k

Range

£342k – £378k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£1,550

£1k - £2k

Monthly

£1,550

Yield

4.96%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

30 Clos Pen y Cae earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 76/100. Investment score 74/100 reflects strong fundamentals. Crime intensity is low. Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is freehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

76/ 100

Strong

Investment Score

74/ 100

High

Crime Score

34/ 100

Moderate

Walkability

No data

Transit & Bike

No data

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence0 independent sourcesListing checked 5 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Valuation edge0/15
claims [AVM -4.2% (HIGH)] → measured edge +0.00pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (HIGH confidence) · snapshot 13 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 10014118015· as of 13 Oct 2026
Rental economics0/40
gross yield 5.0%; range width penalty ×0.88
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1550/mo (range 1400-1650)· as of 13 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -573/mo, -37% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 5 Nov 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 62 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 5 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity14.6/15
296 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 10%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£281,000£431,000

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£375,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£1,550/mo

Evidenced range £1,400-£1,650

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £122,550
Net cash flow: -£193/mo
Cash on cash: -1.9%
Score at this price: 15

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.22 - below the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 10014118015Valuation edge · as of 13 Oct 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1550/mo (range 1400-1650)Rental economics · as of 13 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 5 Nov 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 5 Nov 2026
property_intelligencetransactions_12moRisk & liquidity

Sold comparables in depth

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 1550/mo (range 1400-1650)
Seller motivation could not be scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 62 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge

Property risk deep-dive →

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£360,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£1,550

Gross Yield4.96%

1y Growth-

3y Growth-0.4%

5y Growth+3.6%

10y Growth+5.2%

Last Sold Price£220,000 (2017-12-12)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceLow
RadonModerate
MiningLow
LandslideSignificant
Air QualityLow
NoiseWithheld

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

0NP23 6AW

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

P/2026/0132
Retrospective planning application for the continued use of premises as a licensed bar (A3 use class)
Pending
P/2026/0117
Application for discharge of condition 4 (Tree planting details) of planning permission P/2025/0003 (Retrospective Application for Proposed Change of Use from C3 Dwelling House to C2 Children's Residential Care Home up to three children and up to six carers)
Conditions
P/2026/0097
Detached flat roof residential garage
Pending

View Planning Timeline