Flat 1, Caxton Lodge, 3 Dellsome Lane, Welham Green, North Mymms, Hatfield, AL9 7DY

UPRN:10014212007Purpose Built Flat1 bedsBuilt 2003-2006

LeaseholdCouncil Tax: -EPC: D (67)

Data freshness:Listing· freshPlanning· 4mo agoOwnership· 1mo agoEPC· 6mo agoRisk· 5mo agoConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 1mo agoAmenities· 2mo agoArea· Census 2021

Flat 1, Caxton Lodge, 3 Dellsome Lane, Welham Green, North Mymms, Hatfield, AL9 7DY

HP Score

/ 100

Mixed

Verdict

4 days ago

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Mixed signals - investigate

Evidence

20 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£217,000

£206k - £228kHigh

Estimate

£217k

Range

£206k – £228k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£1,000

£950 - £1k

Monthly

£1,000

Yield

5.45%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

Flat 1 earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 69/100. Investment score 56/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Crime intensity is low. Walkability is limited (57/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is leasehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressDefra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)Walk ScoreONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry company ownershipHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry leasesHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

69/ 100

Mixed

Investment Score

56/ 100

Moderate

Crime Score

32/ 100

Moderate

Walkability

57/ 100

Moderate

Transit & Bike

Transit 16Bike 47

Walk Score, out of 100

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence0 independent sourcesListing checked 4 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Valuation edge0/15
claims [AVM -1.4% (HIGH), sold-comps -23.6%, £/sqft -23.6%] → measured edge +0.00pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (HIGH confidence) · snapshot 12 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 10014212007· as of 12 Oct 2026
- property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 12 comps, dispersion 17.7%· as of 24 Oct 2026
Rental economics3.3/40
gross yield 5.5%; range width penalty ×0.90
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1000/mo (range 950-1100)· as of 12 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -365/mo, -36% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; disclosed service charge and ground rent); fails the stress - earns nothing
- listing_factsservice charge / ground rent from the advert· as of 4 Nov 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 158 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 4 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity14.6/15
90 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 10%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£165,000£253,000

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£220,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£1,000/mo

Evidenced range £950-£1,100

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £69,200
Net cash flow: -£50/mo
Cash on cash: -0.9%
Score at this price: 18

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.35 - clears the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 10014212007Valuation edge · as of 12 Oct 2026
property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 12 comps, dispersion 17.7%Valuation edge · as of 24 Oct 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1000/mo (range 950-1100)Rental economics · as of 12 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
listing_factsservice charge / ground rent from the advertStress margin · as of 4 Nov 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 4 Nov 2026

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 1000/mo (range 950-1100)
Seller motivation could not be scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 158 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge

Property risk deep-dive →

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£217,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£1,000

Gross Yield5.45%

1y Growth-0.9%

3y Growth+3.6%

5y Growth+2.1%

10y Growth+2.6%

Last Sold Price£215,000 (2023-05-24)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceSignificant
RadonLow
MiningModerate
LandslideLow
Air QualityLow
NoiseLow

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

0AL9 7DY

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

6/2026/1723/PN24
Prior approval for the installation of 2051 solar panels to the roof of the building and associated electrical works
Pending
6/2026/1596/HOUSE
Erection of first floor side extension and timber cladding and rendering to existing front elevation
Pending
6/2026/1537/COND
Submission of details pursuant to Condition 15 (Fire Hydrants) on planning permission 6/2024/2418/MAJ
Approved

View Planning Timeline

Ownership

Corporate Ownership67.9%
Overseas OwnershipNo
Lease Term Remaining107 yrs
CovenantsRestrictive
Lease TypeLeasehold
Last Ownership Change2023-05-24
SourceLand Registry

View Ownership Details

Connectivity

Broadband (Standard)

5 Mbps

Mobile 4G/5G Coverage

EEThreeO2Vodafone

EV Charger

PTAL Rating

View Connectivity Map

Area Profile

Median EarningsLocal authority£37,805

Population Density1,501 /km²

Owner Occupied59%

Age Distribution

0-15 17%16-64 63%65+ 20%

View Area Profile

Schools Nearby

St Mary's Church of England VA Primary School, Welham Green
0.1 mi
Area grades2025
Inspected after Ofsted withdrew the single overall grade.
Brookmans Park Primary School
1.0 mi
Good
De Havilland Primary School
1.0 mi
Good
Links Hatfield Academy
1.1 mi
Good

4 of 11 nearby schools with published figures were oversubscribed in 2026 - demand, not a catchment.

View All Schools

Comparables

View All

41 Dellsome Lane
-
£317k
-
Caxton Lodge, 3 Dellsome Lane
-
£235k
-
Caxton Lodge, 3 Dellsome Lane
-
£240k
-
57 Dellsome Lane
-
£180k
-

Boundary data not available for this property

No registered title polygon, building footprint, or street match for this property yet.

Why: No HMLR INSPIRE / OSM footprint / OS Open USRN match for this UPRN

Source: HM Land Registry INSPIRE / OpenStreetMap / OS Open USRN