The Larch House, Hay Lane, Horsley, Stroud, GL6 0QD

UPRN:10014284191Detached House4 bedsBuilt 2012-2021

FreeholdCouncil Tax: Band GEPC: C (76)

Data freshness:Listing· freshPrice Paid· freshPlanning· 4mo agoEPC· 3mo agoRisk· 5mo agoConnectivity· 1mo agoAmenities· 1mo agoArea· Census 2021

The Larch House, Hay Lane, Horsley, Stroud, GL6 0QD

HP Score

/ 100

Mixed

Verdict

3 days ago

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Mixed signals - investigate

Evidence

18 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£1,243,000

£1.18M - £1.31MHigh

Estimate

£1.24M

Range

£1.18M – £1.31M

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£5,050

£5k - £6k

Monthly

£5,050

Yield

4.85%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

The Larch House earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 69/100. Investment score 61/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Crime intensity is very low. Walkability is limited (12/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is freehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressDefra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)Walk ScoreONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

69/ 100

Mixed

Investment Score

61/ 100

Moderate

Crime Score

7/ 100

Low

Walkability

12/ 100

Low

Transit & Bike

Transit 3Bike 26

Walk Score, out of 100

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence0 independent sourcesListing checked 31 Oct 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Valuation edge0/15
claims [AVM -0.6% (HIGH)] → measured edge +0.00pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (HIGH confidence) · snapshot 9 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 10014284191· as of 9 Oct 2026
Rental economics0/40
gross yield 4.8%; range width penalty ×0.80
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 5050/mo (range 4550-5550)· as of 9 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -1,692/mo, -33% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 31 Oct 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 1 price cut(s), 177 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 31 Oct 2026
Risk & liquidity14.6/15
232 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 10%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£937,500£1,437,500

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£1,250,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£5,050/mo

Evidenced range £4,550-£5,550

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £445,050
Net cash flow: -£723/mo
Cash on cash: -1.9%
Score at this price: 15

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.20 - below the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 10014284191Valuation edge · as of 9 Oct 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 5050/mo (range 4550-5550)Rental economics · as of 9 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 31 Oct 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 31 Oct 2026
property_intelligencetransactions_12moRisk & liquidity

Sold comparables in depth

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 5050/mo (range 4550-5550)
Seller motivation could not be scored
context, not scored: 1 price cut(s), 177 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge

Property risk deep-dive →

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Ask the agent why the price was reduced and whether a previous sale fell through.
1 price cut(s) recorded on the listing history.
3. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£1,243,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£5,050

Gross Yield4.85%

1y Growth-

3y Growth-4.4%

5y Growth-1.8%

10y Growth+2.6%

Last Sold Price£751,000 (2012-07-30)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceModerate
RadonModerate
MiningUnknown
LandslideSignificant
Air QualityLow
NoiseLow

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

0GL6 0QD

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

S.26/1698/FUL
Retrospective change of use of equestrian land to a dog exercise paddock (sui generis).
Pending
S.26/1517/HHOLD
Erection of a two storey and single storey side extension, and a replacement garage.
Pending
S.26/1483/DISCON
Discharge of condition 7 (sample panel for repointing) from S.24/0701/LBC.
Approved

View Planning Timeline

Ownership

Corporate Ownership74.6%
Overseas OwnershipNo
Lease Term Remaining-
CovenantsRestrictive
Lease TypeFreehold
Last Ownership Change2012-07-30
SourceLand Registry

View Ownership Details

Connectivity

Broadband (Standard)

6 Mbps

Mobile 4G/5G Coverage

EEThreeO2Vodafone

EV Charger

PTAL Rating

View Connectivity Map

Area Profile

Median EarningsLocal authority£33,495

Population Density-

Owner Occupied80%

Age Distribution

0-15 18%16-64 58%65+ 24%

View Area Profile

Schools Nearby

Horsley Church of England Primary School
0.4 mi
Good
Ruskin Mill College
0.8 mi
-
The Acorn School
1.4 mi
Outstanding
Nailsworth Church of England Primary School
1.6 mi
Area grades2024
Inspected after Ofsted withdrew the single overall grade.

1 of 11 nearby schools with published figures were oversubscribed in 2026 - demand, not a catchment.

View All Schools

Comparables

View All

Worthy View Hay Lane
-
£700k
-
Worthy View Hay Lane
-
£600k
-
The Larch House Hay Lane
-
£751k
-
Old Well Cottage Hay Lane
-
£165k
-

Boundary data not available for this property

No registered title polygon, building footprint, or street match for this property yet.

Why: No HMLR INSPIRE / OSM footprint / OS Open USRN match for this UPRN

Source: HM Land Registry INSPIRE / OpenStreetMap / OS Open USRN