4 Harebell Avenue, Stotfold, Hitchin, SG5 4QZ

UPRN:10014615924Detached House3 bedsBuilt 2012 onwards

FreeholdCouncil Tax: Band DEPC: C (74)

Data freshness:Planning· 4mo agoOwnership· freshEPC· 6mo agoRisk· 5mo agoConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 1mo agoAmenities· 2mo agoArea· Census 2021Council Tax· 1mo ago

4 Harebell Avenue, Stotfold, Hitchin, SG5 4QZ

HP Score

/ 100

Strong

Verdict

2 days ago

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Strong fundamentals; flood risk not assessed

Evidence

19 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£507,000

£482k - £532kHigh

Estimate

£507k

Range

£482k – £532k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£2,000

£2k - £2k

Monthly

£2,000

Yield

4.80%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

4 Harebell Avenue earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 76/100. Investment score 65/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Crime intensity is low. Walkability is limited (60/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is freehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressDefra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)Walk ScoreONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry leasesHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

76/ 100

Strong

Investment Score

65/ 100

Moderate

Crime Score

18/ 100

Moderate

Walkability

60/ 100

Moderate

Transit & Bike

Transit 24Bike 62

Walk Score, out of 100

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence0 independent sourcesListing checked 12 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Valuation edge0/15
claims [AVM +1.4% (HIGH), sold-comps -8.0%, £/sqft -8.0%] → measured edge +0.00pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (HIGH confidence) · snapshot 13 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 10014615924· as of 13 Oct 2026
- property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 12 comps, dispersion 15.1%· as of 4 Nov 2026
Rental economics0/40
gross yield 4.8%; range width penalty ×0.80
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 2000/mo (range 1800-2200)· as of 13 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -769/mo, -38% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 12 Nov 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 38 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 12 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity14.7/15
352 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 10%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£375,000£575,000

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£500,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£2,000/mo

Evidenced range £1,800-£2,200

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £166,300
Net cash flow: -£303/mo
Cash on cash: -2.2%
Score at this price: 15

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.19 - below the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 10014615924Valuation edge · as of 13 Oct 2026
property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 12 comps, dispersion 15.1%Valuation edge · as of 4 Nov 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 2000/mo (range 1800-2200)Rental economics · as of 13 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 12 Nov 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 12 Nov 2026

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 2000/mo (range 1800-2200)
Seller motivation could not be scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 38 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge

Property risk deep-dive →

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Treat the gap to the estimate as unproven - compare recent sold prices on the street yourself before pricing an offer around it.
On later completions, homes listed below their estimate sold at the same share of the asking price as the rest.
3. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£507,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£2,000

Gross Yield4.80%

1y Growth+3.3%

3y Growth+1.2%

5y Growth+0.7%

10y Growth+2.6%

Last Sold Price£490,000 (2025-05-23)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceModerate
RadonLow
MiningLow
LandslideLow
Air QualityLow
NoiseLow

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

0SG5 4QZ

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

CB/26/03299/DOC
Discharge of Condition 4 against planning permission ref: CB/24/02744/RM
Pending
CB/26/03101/NMA
Non-material amendment to planning permission CB/25/03310/VOC, Amendments sought: Plans to reflect design refinements to the proposed residential units, including: Minor adjustments to footprints of some existing house type. Substituting new standard house types and associated floorplans. Omission of garden rooms for all relevant plots that are not constructed.
Approved
CB/26/02998/FULL
Ground floor rear extension following demolition of the conservatory and part conversion of the garage. First floor side extension and replacement windows and doors to the front porch
Pending

View Planning Timeline

Ownership

Corporate Ownership64.4%
Overseas OwnershipNo
Lease Term Remaining-
CovenantsRestrictive
Lease TypeFreehold
Last Ownership Change2025-05-23
SourceLand Registry

View Ownership Details

Connectivity

Broadband (Standard)

9 Mbps

Mobile 4G/5G Coverage

EEThreeO2Vodafone

EV Charger

PTAL Rating

View Connectivity Map

Area Profile

Median EarningsLocal authority£36,622

Population Density1,172 /km²

Owner Occupied78%

Age Distribution

0-15 28%16-64 63%65+ 9%

View Area Profile

Schools Nearby

Roecroft Lower School
0.2 mi
Area grades2025
Inspected after Ofsted withdrew the single overall grade.
Pix Brook Academy
0.4 mi
Good
St Mary's CofE Academy Stotfold
0.4 mi
Inspected as St Mary's VC Lower School (URN 109606) on 16 Oct 2008
Etonbury Academy
0.8 mi
Good

3 of 11 nearby schools with published figures were oversubscribed in 2026 - demand, not a catchment.

View All Schools

Comparables

View All

4 Harebell Avenue
-
£490k
-
2 Harebell Avenue
-
£425k
-
21 Harebell Avenue
-
£410k
-
8 Harebell Avenue
-
£527k
-

Boundary data not available for this property

No registered title polygon, building footprint, or street match for this property yet.

Why: No HMLR INSPIRE / OSM footprint / OS Open USRN match for this UPRN

Source: HM Land Registry INSPIRE / OpenStreetMap / OS Open USRN