Fossil Cottage, 11A High Street, Avening, Tetbury, GL8 8LU

UPRN:10022849879Detached House4 bedsBuilt 2021

FreeholdCouncil Tax: Band FEPC: B (85)

Data freshness:Listing· freshPlanning· 5mo agoEPC· 6mo agoRisk· 5mo agoConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 1mo agoAmenities· 2mo agoArea· Census 2021

Fossil Cottage, 11A High Street, Avening, Tetbury, GL8 8LU

HP Score

/ 100

Mixed

Verdict

3 days ago

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Mixed signals - investigate

Evidence

20 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£795,000

£755k - £835kHigh

Estimate

£795k

Range

£755k – £835k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£3,250

£3k - £4k

Monthly

£3,250

Yield

5.20%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

Fossil Cottage earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 71/100. Investment score 66/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Crime intensity is very low. Walkability is limited (20/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is freehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressDefra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)Walk ScoreONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry company ownershipHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry leasesHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

71/ 100

Mixed

Investment Score

66/ 100

Moderate

Crime Score

7/ 100

Low

Walkability

20/ 100

Low

Transit & Bike

Transit 12Bike 25

Walk Score, out of 100

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence0 independent sourcesListing checked 2 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Valuation edge0/15
claims [AVM +5.7% (HIGH)] → measured edge +0.00pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (HIGH confidence) · snapshot 12 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 10022849879· as of 12 Oct 2026
Rental economics1.3/40
gross yield 5.2%; range width penalty ×0.83
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 3250/mo (range 2950-3550)· as of 12 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -905/mo, -28% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 2 Nov 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 2 price cut(s), 207 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 2 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity14.6/15
141 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 10%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£562,500£862,500

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£750,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£3,250/mo

Evidenced range £2,950-£3,550

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £253,800
Net cash flow: -£281/mo
Cash on cash: -1.3%
Score at this price: 16

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.28 - clears the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 10022849879Valuation edge · as of 12 Oct 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 3250/mo (range 2950-3550)Rental economics · as of 12 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 2 Nov 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 2 Nov 2026
property_intelligencetransactions_12moRisk & liquidity

Sold comparables in depth

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 3250/mo (range 2950-3550)
Seller motivation could not be scored
context, not scored: 2 price cut(s), 207 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge

Property risk deep-dive →

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Ask the agent why the price was reduced and whether a previous sale fell through.
2 price cut(s) recorded on the listing history.
3. Treat the gap to the estimate as unproven - compare recent sold prices on the street yourself before pricing an offer around it.
On later completions, homes listed below their estimate sold at the same share of the asking price as the rest.
4. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£795,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£3,250

Gross Yield5.20%

1y Growth-

3y Growth+0.0%

5y Growth+0.5%

10y Growth+2.5%

Last Sold Price£900,000 (2026-03-19)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceModerate
RadonModerate
MiningSignificant
LandslideSignificant
Air QualityLow
NoiseLow

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

1GL8 8LU

Approval Rate

100%12mo

Development

low

26/03349/TCONR
Acer (T1) - Pollard to 1.5m above ground level to favour the adjacent silver birch Ash (T2) - reduce the crown from 20m to 15m above ground level to allow more light into the neighbours garden and reduce the northern side of the crown to the fence line to prevent the overhang above the other neighbour's garden
Pending
26/03219/FUL
Erection of single storey extension, replacement window and doors with glass Juliette balcony to front elevation and the addition of Cotswold stone slips to existing keyed Bradstone walling on principle elevations and painted smooth render to side and rear elevations
Pending
26/02863/TCONR
T1 Dawn Redwood - Prune canopy to manage property clearance and rebalance asymmetrical growth to the east See statement for full specification
Approved

View Planning Timeline

Ownership

Corporate Ownership67.4%
Overseas OwnershipNo
Lease Term Remaining-
CovenantsRestrictive
Lease TypeFreehold
Last Ownership Change2026-03-19
SourceLand Registry

View Ownership Details

Connectivity

Broadband (Standard)

6 Mbps

Mobile 4G/5G Coverage

EEThreeO2Vodafone

EV Charger

PTAL Rating

View Connectivity Map

Area Profile

Median EarningsLocal authority£32,927

Population Density34 /km²

Owner Occupied65%

Age Distribution

0-15 17%16-64 59%65+ 24%

View Area Profile

Schools Nearby

Avening Primary School
0.1 mi
Report card2026
Ofsted no longer awards a single overall grade.
Minchinhampton Primary Academy
1.9 mi
Area grades2025
Inspected after Ofsted withdrew the single overall grade.
Cotswold Chine School
2.1 mi
Good
The Acorn School
2.2 mi
Outstanding

2 of 11 nearby schools with published figures were oversubscribed in 2026 - demand, not a catchment.

View All Schools

Comparables

View All

11A High Street
-
£900k
-
2 High Street
-
£610k
-
Simon House High Street
-
£185k
-
Simon House High Street
-
£226k
-

Boundary data not available for this property

No registered title polygon, building footprint, or street match for this property yet.

Why: No HMLR INSPIRE / OSM footprint / OS Open USRN match for this UPRN

Source: HM Land Registry INSPIRE / OpenStreetMap / OS Open USRN