The Old Dairy, Lincoln Road, Welton le Wold, Louth, LN11 0QS

UPRN:10023810876Detached Bungalow5 bedsBuilt 2003-2006

FreeholdCouncil Tax: Band EEPC: C (73)

Data freshness:Listing· freshPlanning· 4mo agoOwnership· freshEPC· 6mo agoRisk· 5mo agoCrime· freshConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 1mo agoAmenities· 2mo agoArea· Census 2021Council Tax· 1mo ago

The Old Dairy, Lincoln Road, Welton le Wold, Louth, LN11 0QS

HP Score

/ 100

Mixed

Verdict

2 days ago

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Mixed signals - investigate

Evidence

17 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£588,000

£559k - £618kHigh

Estimate

£588k

Range

£559k – £618k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£1,800

£2k - £2k

Monthly

£1,800

Yield

3.69%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

The Old Dairy earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 53/100. Investment score 59/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Crime intensity is low. Walkability is limited (0/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is freehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)Defra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)Walk ScoreONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

53/ 100

Mixed

Investment Score

59/ 100

Moderate

Crime Score

19/ 100

Moderate

Walkability

0/ 100

Low

Transit & Bike

Transit 14Bike 27

Walk Score, out of 100

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence0 independent sourcesListing checked 13 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Valuation edge0/15
claims [AVM +0.5% (HIGH)] → measured edge +0.00pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (HIGH confidence) · snapshot 9 Nov 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 10023810876· as of 9 Nov 2026
Rental economics0/40
gross yield 3.7%; range width penalty ×0.70
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1800/mo (range 1550-2000)· as of 9 Nov 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -1,275/mo, -71% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 13 Nov 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 254 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 13 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity14.6/15
324 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 10%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£439,000£673,000

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£585,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£1,800/mo

Evidenced range £1,550-£2,000

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £196,050
Net cash flow: -£728/mo
Cash on cash: -4.5%
Score at this price: 15

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 0.91 - below the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 10023810876Valuation edge · as of 9 Nov 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1800/mo (range 1550-2000)Rental economics · as of 9 Nov 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 13 Nov 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 13 Nov 2026
property_intelligencetransactions_12moRisk & liquidity

Sold comparables in depth

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 1800/mo (range 1550-2000)
Seller motivation could not be scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 254 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge

Property risk deep-dive →

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Treat the gap to the estimate as unproven - compare recent sold prices on the street yourself before pricing an offer around it.
On later completions, homes listed below their estimate sold at the same share of the asking price as the rest.
3. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£588,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£1,800

Gross Yield3.69%

1y Growth-

3y Growth+0.3%

5y Growth+1.4%

10y Growth+4.2%

Last Sold Price-

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceLow
RadonLow
MiningUnknown
LandslideLow
Air QualityLow
NoiseLow

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

0LN11 0QS

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

N/200/00305/25
Environmental Impact Assessment (E.E.C. Directive 85/337/E.E.C. as amended by Council Directive 97/11E.C.) for a screening opinion with respect to the erection of a timber outbuilding to provide a games room.
Approved
00305/25/ESR
Environmental Impact Assessment (E.E.C. Directive 85/337/E.E.C. as amended by Council Directive 97/11E.C.) for a screening opinion with respect to the erection of a timber outbuilding to provide a games room.
Approved
N/200/00304/25
Planning Permission - Erection of a detached timber outbuilding to provide a gym/bar.
Pending

View Planning Timeline

Ownership

Corporate Ownership74.7%
Overseas OwnershipNo
Lease Term Remaining-
CovenantsRestrictive
Lease TypeFreehold
Last Ownership Change-
SourceLand Registry

View Ownership Details

Connectivity

Broadband (Standard)

4 Mbps

Mobile 4G/5G Coverage

EEThreeO2Vodafone

EV Charger

PTAL Rating

View Connectivity Map

Area Profile

Median EarningsLocal authority£26,705

Population Density16 /km²

Owner Occupied68%

Age Distribution

0-15 16%16-64 57%65+ 27%

View Area Profile

Schools Nearby

King Edward VI Grammar School
2.6 mi
Good
Kidgate Academy
2.9 mi
Area grades2024
Inspected after Ofsted withdrew the single overall grade.
Greenwich House School
3.0 mi
Good
St Michael's Church of England School, Louth
3.2 mi
Good

2 of 12 nearby schools with published figures were oversubscribed in 2026 - demand, not a catchment.

View All Schools

Comparables

View All

Vale End Lincoln Road
-
£575k
-
The Old Forge Lincoln Road
-
£475k
-
Vale End Lincoln Road
-
£435k
-
Bunkers Grange Lincoln Road
-
£535k
-

Boundary data not available for this property

No registered title polygon, building footprint, or street match for this property yet.

Why: No HMLR INSPIRE / OSM footprint / OS Open USRN match for this UPRN

Source: HM Land Registry INSPIRE / OpenStreetMap / OS Open USRN