1 Castle Road, Pencader, SA39 9BS

UPRN:10024020095End Terrace House2 bedsBuilt before 1900

FreeholdCouncil Tax: Band BEPC: G (19)

Data freshness:Listing· freshPrice Paid· freshPlanning· 4mo agoEPC· 6mo agoRisk· 2y agoConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 1mo agoAmenities· 1mo agoArea· Census 2021

HP Score

/ 100

Mixed

Verdict

yesterday

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Mixed signals - investigate

Evidence

18 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£124,000

£111k - £136kMedium

Estimate

£124k

Range

£111k – £136k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£500

£450 - £550

Monthly

£500

Yield

1.85%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

1 Castle Road earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 74/100. Investment score 67/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Crime intensity is low. Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is freehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry company ownershipHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry leasesHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

74/ 100

Mixed

Investment Score

67/ 100

Moderate

Crime Score

19/ 100

Moderate

Walkability

No data

Transit & Bike

No data

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence0 independent sourcesListing checked 4 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Valuation edge-0.6/15
claims [AVM -162.1% (MEDIUM)] → measured edge -0.12pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp; asking more than 10% above the estimate (measured -0.33pp)
Market estimate used (MEDIUM confidence) · snapshot 13 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 10024020095· as of 13 Oct 2026
Rental economics0/40
gross yield 1.8%; range width penalty ×0.80
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 500/mo (range 450-550)· as of 13 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -1,134/mo, -227% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 4 Nov 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 1 price cut(s), 358 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 4 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity12.8/15
26 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 20%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£244,000£374,000

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£325,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£500/mo

Evidenced range £450-£550

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £105,050
Net cash flow: -£751/mo
Cash on cash: -8.6%
Score at this price: 12

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 0.46 - below the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 10024020095Valuation edge · as of 13 Oct 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 500/mo (range 450-550)Rental economics · as of 13 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 4 Nov 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 4 Nov 2026
property_intelligencetransactions_12moRisk & liquidity

Sold comparables in depth

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 500/mo (range 450-550)
Seller motivation could not be scored
context, not scored: 1 price cut(s), 358 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge

Property risk deep-dive →

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Ask the agent why the price was reduced and whether a previous sale fell through.
1 price cut(s) recorded on the listing history.
3. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£124,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£500

Gross Yield1.85%

1y Growth-

3y Growth-2.3%

5y Growth+2.9%

10y Growth+2.6%

Last Sold Price£88,000 (2021-10-28)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceModerate
RadonModerate
MiningLow
LandslideModerate
Air QualityLow
NoiseWithheld

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

0SA39 9BS

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

PL/10901
The renovation and extension of a listed farmhouse. The renovation of an attached agricultural range as well as the renovation of an agricultural barn. The construction of replacement stables and the retention of an existing polytunnel
Pending
PL/10893
The renovation and extension of a listed farmhouse. The renovation of an attached agricultural range as well as the renovation of an agricultural barn. The construction of replacement stables and the retention of an existing polytunnel
Pending
PL/10091
Variation of Condition 2 on PL/00398 (To update the approved plans to reflect the as-built dwelling, which includes a basement area that arose directly from the natural topography of the site)
Conditions

View Planning Timeline