21 The Forge, Woodlands Road, Wickford, SS12 0AL

UPRN:10024198533Purpose Built Flat2 bedsBuilt 2007-2011

LeaseholdCouncil Tax: Band CEPC: B (82)

Data freshness:Listing· freshPrice Paid· freshPlanning· 2mo agoEPC· 6mo agoRisk· 5mo agoConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 1mo agoAmenities· 1mo agoArea· Census 2021

21 The Forge, Woodlands Road, Wickford, SS12 0AL

HP Score

/ 100

Mixed

Verdict

yesterday

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Mixed signals - investigate

Evidence

20 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£221,000

£210k - £232kHigh

Estimate

£221k

Range

£210k – £232k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£1,050

£950 - £1k

Monthly

£1,050

Yield

6.30%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

21 The Forge earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 74/100. Investment score 69/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Crime intensity is moderate. Walkability is good (82/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is leasehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressDefra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)Walk ScoreONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry company ownershipHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry leasesHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

74/ 100

Mixed

Investment Score

69/ 100

Moderate

Crime Score

51/ 100

Elevated

Walkability

82/ 100

High

Transit & Bike

Transit 23Bike 47

Walk Score, out of 100

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence1 independent sourceListing checked 4 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Valuation edge2.5/15
claims [AVM +9.5% (HIGH), sold-comps +9.1%, £/sqft +9.2%] → measured edge +0.50pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (HIGH confidence) · snapshot 9 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 10024198533· as of 9 Oct 2026
- property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 6 comps, dispersion 10.3%· as of 20 Oct 2026
Rental economics9.5/40
gross yield 6.3%; range width penalty ×0.91
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1050/mo (range 950-1100)· as of 9 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -235/mo, -22% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; disclosed service charge and ground rent); fails the stress - earns nothing
- listing_factsservice charge / ground rent from the advert· as of 4 Nov 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 64 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 4 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity14.6/15
232 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 10%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£150,000£230,000

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£200,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£1,050/mo

Evidenced range £950-£1,100

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £62,800
Net cash flow: £52/mo
Cash on cash: 1.0%
Score at this price: 27

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.56 - clears the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 10024198533Valuation edge · as of 9 Oct 2026
property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 6 comps, dispersion 10.3%Valuation edge · as of 20 Oct 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1050/mo (range 950-1100)Rental economics · as of 9 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
listing_factsservice charge / ground rent from the advertStress margin · as of 4 Nov 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 4 Nov 2026

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 1050/mo (range 950-1100)
Seller motivation could not be scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 64 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge

Property risk deep-dive →

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Treat the gap to the estimate as unproven - compare recent sold prices on the street yourself before pricing an offer around it.
On later completions, homes listed below their estimate sold at the same share of the asking price as the rest.
3. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£221,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£1,050

Gross Yield6.30%

1y Growth+25.6%

3y Growth+0.9%

5y Growth+2.1%

10y Growth+3.0%

Last Sold Price£196,500 (2017-03-02)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceSignificant
RadonLow
MiningUnknown
LandslideLow
Air QualityLow
NoiseModerate

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

1SS12 0AL

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

26/01136/TPOBAS
TPO/07/11 - T1 Oak - Fell. he tree works are proposed to stop the influence of the tree(s) on the soil below building foundation level and provide long term stability 45 Laburnum Avenue, Wickford, SS12 0DB Estimated costs of repair to the building are ?61,600 if the influence of the tree(s) remain and ?6,365 if the proposed tree works are allowed to proceed. Granting permission will limit these costs. In the event of a refusal we, or our clients, will seek to secure compensation for the additional costs incurred through Section 202(e). Should the tree/s remain the total cost of repairs will be the Superstructural repairs + Alternative method of repairs = ?67,965 It is the expert opinion of both the case engineer and arboriculturalist that on the balance of probabilities the supporting information demonstrates the influence of the tree(s). Note: Further monitoring results may be submitted if these become available during the course of this application.
Pending
26/05207/TPO
T1 Oak - Reduce by 4m MAX. Reason: The span is very wide
Pending
26/01073/LDCP
To establish the lawfulness of the proposed widening the existing footprint of a single storey rear extension to the full width of the existing house. Depth and height of new extension to match existing. New windows / door & roof lantern proposed.
Approved

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